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Perceptions of wheat producers towards risk and risk management strategies: A case study from Turkey Ciência Rural
Hayran,Seyit.
ABSTRACT: In this study, risk perception of wheat producers in Turkey was examined based on a case study conducted in Bitlis Province. The data set used in the study was obtained from 157 farmers randomly. Factor analysis was employed to classify risk sources and management strategies, and then multiple regression was used to investigate the relationship between farmers perceptions and some characteristic. Results of this study have shown that economic-based risks were perceived more strongly by farmers. Farmers’ also used more than one risk management strategy to minimize the impact of the risks they face. So, in order to ensure social and economic sustainability and predictability in wheat production and wheat market, the government should be considered...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Risk; Risk management; Wheat; Turkey.
Ano: 2019 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0103-84782019001200201
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Accommodating the Challenges of Climate Change Adaptation and Governance in Conventional Risk Management: Adaptive Collaborative Risk Management (ACRM) Ecology and Society
May, Bradley; Adaptation and Impacts Research Section, Environment Canada; Bradley.May@ec.gc.ca; Plummer, Ryan; Brock University, Canada; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University; ryan.plummer@brocku.ca.
Risk management is a well established tool for climate change adaptation. It is facing new challenges with the end of climate stationarity and the need to meaningfully engage people in governance issues. The ways in which conventional approaches to risk management can respond to these challenges are explored. Conventional approaches to risk management are summarized, the manner in which they are being advanced as a tool for climate change adaptation is described, and emerging themes in risk management and climate change adaption are documented. It is argued that conventional risk management for climate change adaptation can benefit from the insights and experiences of adaptive co-management. A hybrid approach termed adaptive collaborative risk management...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Synthesis Palavras-chave: Adaptive collaborative risk management; Adaptive co-management; Climate change adaptation; Climate change governance; Risk management.
Ano: 2011
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Using Expert Judgment and Stakeholder Values to Evaluate Adaptive Management Options Ecology and Society
Failing, Lee; Compass Resource Management; lfailing@compassrm.com; Horn, Graham; ; ghorn@planit.bc.ca; Higgins, Paul; ; paul.Higgins@bchydro.bc.ca.
This paper provides an example of a practical integration of probabilistic policy analysis and multi-stakeholder decision methods at a hydroelectric facility in British Columbia, Canada. A structured decision-making framework utilizing the probabilistic judgments of experts, a decision tree, and a Monte Carlo simulation provided insight to a decision to implement an experimental flow release program. The technical evaluation of the expected costs and benefits of the program were integrated into the multi-stakeholder decision process. The framework assessed the magnitude of the uncertainty, its potential to affect water management decisions, the predictive ability of the experiment, the value of the expected costs and benefits, and the preferences of...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Adaptive management; Decision analysis; Expert judgment; Hydroelectricity; Multi-attribute evaluation; Multi-stakeholder consultation; Risk management; Value of information.
Ano: 2004
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Truths and governance for adaptive management Ecology and Society
Loftin, M. Kent; SynInt Inc.; CAMNet; kloftin@synint.com.
Managing large-scale water resources and ecosystem projects is a never ending job, and success should be measured in terms of achieving desired project performance and not just meeting prescriptive requirements of planning and constructing a project simply on time and within budget. Success is more than studying, planning, designing, or operating projects. It is developing the right plan, getting it implemented, and seeing that it is operated and performs properly. Success requires all of these, and failing any of these results in wasted resources and potential for doing great harm. Adaptive management can help make success possible by providing a means for solving the most complex problems, answering unanswered questions, and, in general, reducing...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Synthesis Palavras-chave: Adaptive management; Ecosystem restoration; Governance; Implementation; Integrating risk and uncertainty; Performance; Project management; Resolutional sufficiency; Resolving uncertainties; Risk management; Stakeholders; Success; Uncertainty.
Ano: 2014
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Clima e agricultura: desafios para a produção de alimentos: mudanças climáticas e o aumento do risco de eventos meteorológicos adversos afetam a produção agrícola e a oferta de alimentos. Infoteca-e
MONTEIRO, J. E. B. de A.; CUADRA, S. V.; ALMEIDA, I. R. de; BAMBINI, M. D.; VICTORIA, D. de C.; PELLEGRINO, G. Q.; OLIVEIRA, A. F. de.
Variabilidade natural e mudanças climáticas. Gestão de riscos climáticos na agricultura. Cultivando a cultura da gestão de riscos.
Tipo: Artigo na mídia Palavras-chave: Mudanças climáticas; Gestão de riscos climáticos; Agricultura; Clima; Agriculture; Climate; Climate change; Risk management.
Ano: 2022 URL: http://www.infoteca.cnptia.embrapa.br/infoteca/handle/doc/1145847
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Mapeamento das oportunidades e ameaças em processos organizacionais da Embrapa Meio Ambiente. Infoteca-e
CRIPPA, M. E. N.; PEREIRA, S. E. M.; ROSSO, C. R. S. de; OLIVEIRA, B. P. de.
A Embrapa Meio Ambiente apresenta neste documento a estratégia que foi adotada para implantar a mentalidade de gestão de risco em seus processos internos. O objetivo inicial desta iniciativa foi o de atender aos requisitos da norma ABNT NBR ISO 9001:2015. Ela está integrada à iniciativa institucional de integração estratégica orientada a impactos, operacionalizada por meio do projeto especial "Integração estratégica orientada para impactos" (Projeto FOCUS), além de contemplar, em parte, os requisitos da política da Embrapa de gestão de riscos, integridade, conformidade e controles internos.
Tipo: Folhetos Palavras-chave: Administração de risco; Administração de Empresa; Planejamento Administrativo; Norma; Risk management.
Ano: 2020 URL: http://www.infoteca.cnptia.embrapa.br/infoteca/handle/doc/1123824
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Critério para classificação de risco de regiões do Alerta Fitossanitário do psilídeo-dos-citros no cinturão citrícola de São Paulo e Triângulo/Sudoeste Mineiro. Infoteca-e
MOREIRA, A. S.; BARBOSA, F. F. L.; BASSANEZI, R. B.; BARBOSA, J. C.; GIRARDI, E. A.; SALA, I..
Resumo O monitoramento populacional de Diaphorina citri, o psilídeo--dos-citros, é essencial para o manejo regional deste inseto vetor da bactéria Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus associada ao Huanglongbing (HLB), especialmente no cinturão citrícola de São Paulo e Triângulo/Sudoeste Mineiro, onde há a maior concentração populacional de D. citri e de plantas com sintomas da doença. Nesse sentido, o Fundo de Defesa da Citricultura (Fundecitrus) estabeleceu em 2013 o Alerta Fitossanitário para monitorar, por meio de armadilhas adesivas amarelas, a população do psilídeo em diferentes regiões do Estado de São Paulo e do Triângulo/Sudoeste Mineiro. Atualmente, o Alerta monitora 15 regiões e, a cada quinzena, gera dados de abundância (psilídeos/armadilha),...
Tipo: Folhetos Palavras-chave: HLB; Doença de Planta; Fruta Cítrica; Armadilha; Diaphorina citri; Sticky traps; Pest monitoring; Risk management.
Ano: 2023 URL: http://www.infoteca.cnptia.embrapa.br/infoteca/handle/doc/1157332
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Evidence for the Range Expansion of Ciguatera in French Polynesia: A Revisit of the 2009 Mass-Poisoning Outbreak in Rapa Island (Australes Archipelago) ArchiMer
Chinain, Mireille; Mahana Iti Gatti, Clémence; Ung, André; Cruchet, Philippe; Revel, Taina; Viallon, Jérôme; Sibat, Manoella; Varney, Patrick; Laurent, Victoire; Hess, Philipp; Taiana Darius, Hélène.
Ciguatera poisoning (CP) results from the consumption of seafood contaminated with ciguatoxins (CTXs). This disease is highly prevalent in French Polynesia with several well-identified hotspots. Rapa Island, the southernmost inhabited island in the country, was reportedly free of CP until 2007. This study describes the integrated approach used to investigate the etiology of a fatal mass-poisoning outbreak that occurred in Rapa in 2009. Symptoms reported in patients were evocative of ciguatera. Several Gambierdiscus field samples collected from benthic assemblages tested positive by the receptor binding assay (RBA). Additionally, the toxicity screening of ≈250 fish by RBA indicated ≈78% of fish could contain CTXs. The presence of CTXs in fish was confirmed...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Ciguatera poisoning; French Polynesia; Gambierdiscus; Ciguatoxins; Epidemiology; Toxicological analyses; Risk management; Climate change.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00662/77362/78933.pdf
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L'argent (Ag, nanoAg) comme contaminant émergeant dans l'Estuaire de la Gironde : évaluations scientifiques et gouvernance des risques ArchiMer
Salles, Denis; Roumezi, Alexis; Lanceleur, Laurent; Schaefer, Jorg; Petit, Jerome; Blanc, Gerard; Coynel, Alexandra; Chiffoleau, Jean-francois; Auger, Dominique.
This article presents the results of multidisciplinary research (geochemistry, sociology) into the increasing concentrations of silver (Ag and nanoAg) in the environment and their potential impact on aquatic environments. We investigate simultaneously the risk of contamination of these environments by silver and the process of the social and political construction of this risk by water managers, health authorities, agencies and committees responsible for expert evaluations, environmental associations, and potential users of silver or nano-silver. Four updated models of risk construction allow us to understand the logic of arguments mobilized at this stage of the emerging risk. This interdisciplinary cooperation opens up possibilities for dealing with some...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Environment; Estuaries; Geochemistry; Interdisciplinary communication; Nanotechnology; Risk assessment; Risk management; Silver; Sociology; Water pollutants.
Ano: 2013 URL: http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00156/26736/24939.pdf
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The 2016 red tide crisis in southern Chile: Possible influence of the mass oceanic dumping of dead salmons ArchiMer
Armijo, Julien; Oerder, Vera; Auger, Pierre-amaël; Bravo, Angela; Molina, Ernesto.
In 2016, a massive harmful algal bloom (HAB) of Alexandrium catenella around Chiloé island caused one of the major socio-ecological crisis in Chilean history. This red tide occurred in two distinct pulses, the second, most anomalous, bursting with extreme toxicity on the Pacific coast, weeks after the highly controversial dumping off Chiloé of 4,700 t of rotting salmons, killed by a previous HAB of Pseudochattonella verruculosa. We study the transport of this pollution, analyzing the physical oceanographic conditions during and after the dumping. We find that a cyclonic gyre was present between the dumping site and the coast, visible in satellite altimetry and sea surface temperature data. Using Lagrangian simulations, we confirm that near-surface currents...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Harmful algal blooms; Aquaculture; Pollution control; Ocean transport; Ecological crisis; Risk management.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00593/70486/69183.pdf
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Hazard awareness and risk mitigation in integrated coastal management (ICAM). OceanDocs
Arthurton, Russell.
Supported by IOC for UNESCO.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Integrated coastal zone management; Weather hazards; Risk management.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1834/4465
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Is sustainability certification for biochar the answer to environmental risks? PAB
Cowie,Annette L.; Downie,Adriana E.; George,Brendan H.; Singh,Bhupinder-Pal; Van Zwieten,Lukas; O'Connell,Deborah.
Biochar has the potential to make a major contribution to the mitigation of climate change, and enhancement of plant production. However, in order for biochar to fulfill this promise, the industry and regulating bodies must take steps to manage potential environmental threats and address negative perceptions. The potential threats to the sustainability of biochar systems, at each stage of the biochar life cycle, were reviewed. We propose that a sustainability framework for biochar could be adapted from existing frameworks developed for bioenergy. Sustainable land use policies, combined with effective regulation of biochar production facilities and incentives for efficient utilization of energy, and improved knowledge of biochar impacts on ecosystem health...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Climate change; Life cycle assessment; Risk management; Sustainable land management.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2012000500002
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Managerial reputation and the "endgame" AgEcon
Berck, Peter; Lipow, Jonathan.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Bayesian analysis; Equilibrium (economics); Risk management; Risk and Uncertainty; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43912
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Analyzing Risk and Uncertainty of New Product Marketing: The Case of eMerge Interactive and VerifEYE® AgEcon
Gunderson, Michael A.; Roucan, Maud; Boehlje, Michael; Gray, Allan W..
This teaching case focuses on the application of decision tools to assist managers making choices in an uncertain business climate. The case considers the difficult task of introducing a new product into the market. Under consideration is a sophisticated, surface-scanning technology that has applications in the food processing, food retail, and health industry sectors. Management of eMerge Interactive is faced with uncertainties in legislation, demand, and competitor response. The case can be used as part of a course in strategy and/or risk management where tools such as influence diagrams, scenario and payoff matrices, decision trees, and real options are introduced.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk management; Influence diagrams; Payoff matrices; Decision trees; And real options; Marketing.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8200
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THE CHANGING FACE OF THE U.S. GRAIN SYSTEM: DIFFERENTIATION AND IDENTITY PRESERVATION TRENDS AgEcon
Elbehri, Aziz.
This report examines current trends in the U.S. grain industry. Many identity preservation(IP) grain systems have emerged recently, driven by a confluence of supply and demand factors. IP grain requirements for specific production protocols, marketing channels, and quality assurance depend on whether the crops are trait-specific, non-GM (genetically modified), organic, or pharmaceutical. Cost structures vary according to the relative importance of segregation and risk management. High information management, greater market coordination, and frequent reliance on contracts characterize IP grains. IP grain markets are also inherently riskier, with volatile supply, inelastic demand, and fluctuating price premiums. Increasing grain differentiation is altering...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Identity preservation; Production differentiation; Specialty grain; Segregation cost; Traceability; Quality assurance; Grain attributes; Risk management; Information management; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7185
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The Value of Plant Disease Early-Warning Systems: A Case Study of USDA's Soybean Rust Coordinated Framework AgEcon
Roberts, Michael J.; Schimmelpfennig, David E.; Ashley, Elizabeth; Livingston, Michael J.; Ash, Mark S.; Vasavada, Utpal.
Early-warning systems for plant diseases are valuable when the systems provide timely forecasts that farmers can use to inform their pest management decisions. To evaluate the value of the systems, this study examines, as a case study, USDA’s coordinated framework for soybean rust surveillance, reporting, prediction, and management, which was developed before the 2005 growing season. The framework’s linchpin is a website that provides real-time, county-level information on the spread of the disease. The study assesses the value of the information tool to farmers and factors that influence that value. The information’s value depends most heavily on farmers’ perceptions of the forecast’s accuracy. The study finds that the framework’s information is valuable...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Soybean rust; Farmers’ perceptions; Forecast accuracy; Updating beliefs; Value of information; Real-time disease location; Plant disease management; Pest management; Risk management; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7208
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The Niger Food Crisis: Causes and Implications for Research and Development from an Integrated Agricultural Economics Perspective AgEcon
Abele, Steffen; Twine, Edgar.
During the 2004 food crisis in Niger, the weakness of the main production system, millet, to produce enough food to sustain short term crises, has been revealed. Questions arise how the Nigerian smallholder systems can be assisted by research and development policies to intensify production and improve food security. The paper assesses technical options according to their economic sustainability. A sequence of models is applied: On plot level, production functions of inter cropping systems were estimated to determine yields and their variability of the major crops. These data were fed in a nonlinear program to test the inn ovations, first at stable prices, then at declining prices that were obtained from an interregional trade model. The latter was shocked...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food security; Niger; Small scale farming; Risk management; Food Security and Poverty; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; O13; Q01; Q12; Q16.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25557
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THE 2002 FARM ACT: PROVISIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR COMMODITY MARKETS AgEcon
Westcott, Paul C.; Young, C. Edwin; Price, J. Michael.
The Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (2002 Farm Act), which governs agricultural programs through 2007, was signed into law in May 2002. This report presents an initial evaluation of the new legislation's effects on agricultural commodity markets, based on sectorwide model simulations under alternative policy assumptions. The analysis shows that loan rate changes under the marketing assistance loan program of the 2002 Farm Act initially result in an increase in total planted acreage of eight major program crops. This increase in plantings, however, is relatively small (less than 1 percent), partly due to the inelasticity of acreage response in the sector. In the longer run, the simulations indicate that overall plantings of the eight program...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Farm legislation; 2002 Farm Act; Agricultural programs; Commodity programs; Marketing loans; Counter-cyclical payments; Direct payments; Planting flexibility; Base acres; Payment yields; Farm income; Risk management; FAPSIM; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33745
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Discussion: What Have We Learned from the New Suite of Risk Management Programs of the Food, Conservation, and Energy Act of 2008? AgEcon
Lubben, Bradley D.; Novak, James L..
New revenue-based support programs in the 2008 Farm Bill represent a fundamental shift in farm programs and risk management decision-making. However, complexity, uncertainty, economics, and, arguably, an incomplete analysis of the new Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) program all contributed to low enrollment in the new program in 2009. An effective analysis of ACRE should consider farm programs as part of an integrated risk management portfolio, including crop insurance, marketing, and other risk management tools as opposed to a separate lottery program. Improving this integration could be one of the most significant consequences of the 2008 Farm Bill.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Farm bill; Commodity programs; Risk management; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Land Economics/Use; Political Economy; Public Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92591
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Risk Management and the Role of Off-farm Income AgEcon
Freshwater, David; Jette-Nantel, Simon.
The majority of farm households in OECD countries earn more off-farm income than farm income, even including government payments. While this is a well recognized fact its implications for risk management have not been well recognized. Current efforts to reform farm support have focused on the variability of farm household income and largely ignored the variability of total farm household income. Since it is common for farm households to allocate labor and capital across both farm and non-farm opportunities, it is also likely that their attitude to risk in farming can best be understood by seeing farm risk and return in a household portfolio of income. This approach immediately leads to farm risk being less problematic the more diversified the portfolio...
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Off-farm income; Risk management; Agricultural policy; Farm household; Farm income; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120184
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