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Registros recuperados: 7
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SURE Impact? An Empirical Investigation of Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection Behavior AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Smith, Vincent H.; Watts, Myles J..
The Supplemental Revenue Assistance Payments (SURE) program, enacted under the 2008 Farm Bill, is intended to provide indemnity payments to producers whose crop losses exceed 50% of their historical average yields. However, indemnification does not require that the farm is located in a region designated a disaster relief area -- a provision that can create significant moral hazard incentives. This study is the first to perform an empirical analysis of possible moral hazard behavior in corn, soybean, and wheat markets in response to the SURE program. Results suggest that an increase in crop insurance demand after the enactment of SURE may be due to the program's moral hazard incentives.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61154
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The Housing Boom and Its Effect on Farmland Acreage AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton.
This paper examines farmers land ownership decision to keep their farmland or sell the acreage to a non-agricultural enterprise. The boom in housing demand during the early 21st century caused a subsequent rise in land demand by housing construction companies. This, in turn, has significant effects on farmers choice to sell their farmland endowment and leave farming. Data from several public sources, including the USDA-NASS, U.S. Census, BLS, and BEA-REIS, is used to analyze the relationship of farm acreage with housing permit values. The Arellano-Bond dynamic panel estimator is used within a GMM framework to examine land ownership behavior of forward-looking farmers. Results indicate that a rise in demand for new housing significantly influences a...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Farmland ownership; Housing values; Dynamic panel estimator; GMM; Forward-looking farmer; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9697
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Spatial Analysis of Market Linkages in North Carolina Using Threshold Autoregression Models with Variable Transaction Costs AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Goodwin, Barry K.; Piggott, Nicholas E..
In North Carolina, where soybeans and corn are the two primary crops, the recent increase in the demand for U.S. corn has triggered a shift of farm acreage from soybeans to corn, leading to a rapid rise in prices of both commodities. However, the rate of the price changes, as well as the price level, is significantly different in markets that are located in different parts of the state. This study extends the literature that examines linkages between spatially separated markets by using a threshold autoregressive model with a less restrictive assumption for estimating the transaction cost neutral band -- the band within which trade is not profitable. This generalization allows the neutral band of transactions costs to change according to various external...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Threshold autoregression; Spatially separated markets; Impulse response; Neutral band; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49282
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Spatio-temporal Risk and Severity Analysis of Soybean Rust in the United States AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Goodwin, Barry K.; Piggott, Nicholas E..
Soybean rust is a highly mobile infectious disease and can be transmitted across short and long distances. Soybean rust is estimated to cause yield losses that can range between 1%-25%. An analysis of spatio-temporal infection risks within the United States is performed through the use of a unique data set. Observations from over 35,000 field-level inspections between 2005 and 2007 are used to conduct a county-level analysis. Statistical inferences are derived by employing zero-inflated Poisson and negative binomial models. In addition, the model is adjusted to account for potential endogeneity between inspections and soybean rust finds. Past soybean rust finds and inspections in the county and in the surrounding counties, weather and overwintering...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Insurance contracts; Risk analysis; Soybean rust; Zero-inflated model; Crop Production/Industries; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46564
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The SURE Program: An Investigation of Moral Hazard Opportunities and Adverse Selection Effects AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Smith, Vincent H.; Watts, Myles J..
The Supplemental Revenue Assistance Payments (SURE) program, introduced in the 2008 Farm Bill, provides disaster aid payments to producers in counties eligible for disaster payments and individual producers with crop production losses that exceed 50% of their expected yields. We show that the program’s "rules of the game" create moral hazard and adverse selection incentives. Then, we empirically analyze possible moral hazard and adverse selection behavior in response to the SURE program by corn, soybean, and wheat producers. Results suggest that recent increases in crop insurance participation may be due to increased moral hazard and adverse selection incentives.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124178
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An Empirical Assessment of Simultaneous Ethanol Policy Changes on U.S. Agricultural Markets AgEcon
Brown, James A.; Bekkerman, Anton; Atwood, Joseph A.; Watts, Myles J..
In the late 2000s, corn prices rose rapidly and were closely followed by prices of other major agricultural commodities. A widespread explanation for these market changes is an increased demand for corn in the production of ethanol, prompted by the introduction of programs intended to encourage biofuels production in the United States. In response to political pressures, the U.S. Congress considered amending three ethanol policies. It is likely that the interaction among the three policies can exacerbate these distortions. This study seeks to model the effects of simultaneous policy changes on multiple sectors of the blended gasoline marketing channel.
Tipo: Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2012 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/124177
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Basis Volatilities of Corn and Soybean in Spatially Separated Markets: The Effect of Ethanol Demand AgEcon
Bekkerman, Anton; Pelletier, Denis.
The 2006 spike in corn-based ethanol demand has contributed to the increase in basis volatility in corn and soybean markets across the United States, which has, to a significant degree, led to the observed large jumps in the prices of the two commodities. Despite the overall rise in basis volatility, there remain differences in the degree of volatility that exists across spatially separated markets, which might be caused by factors such as transportation costs, seasonality, and time-to-delivery. The focus of this study is threefold first, this work models basis data for six corn and soybean markets by using a multivariate GARCH model that incorporates the spatial linkages of these markets; next, the model is used to investigate whether the increase in...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Basis; Spatially separated markets; Multivariate GARCH; Volatility; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q14; G13.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49281
Registros recuperados: 7
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