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Registros recuperados: 12 | |
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Bergmann, Holger; Thomson, Kenneth J.. |
A modified version of a system dynamics model constructed for an EU-wide case-study project (TOP-MARD) using STELLA software was used to simulate the effects of a number of development scenarios for a remote rural area in Northern Scotland, i.e. Caithness & Sutherland, which is characterised by a high regional importance of agriculture for the local economy. In this paper, the context of the modelling work in policy and socio-economic terms is first described. This is followed by the specification of the model and of the several modelling scenarios, which relate to the reconfiguration of Pillar 2 spending within the area and an reversal of recent Structural Funds spending for 2007 onwards. The modelling results are discussed, in terms of regional... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Modelling; Input-output; Systems dynamics; Rural viability; Marketing. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52645 |
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Bergmann, Holger; Thomson, Kenneth J.. |
A modified version of a system dynamics model constructed for an EU-wide case-study project (TOPMARD) using STELLA software was used to simulate the effects of a number of development scenarios for a remote rural area in Northern Scotland, i.e. Caithness & Sutherland, which is characterised by multifunctional agriculture. In this paper, the context of the modelling work in policy and socioeconomic terms is first described. This is followed by the specification of the model and of the modelling scenarios, one of which relates to the “decommissioning” (run-down) of a major industrial site (Dounreay) within the area. The modelling results are discussed, in terms of regional population, land use, economic and other terms, from 2001 to 2015/2031. Finally,... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Modelling; Multifunctionality; Input-output; Systems dynamics; Rural policy; Agricultural and Food Policy; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Public Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6596 |
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Bergmann, Holger; Dax, Thomas; Hocevar, Vida; Hovorka, Gerhard; Juvancic, Luka; Kroger, Melanie; Thomson, Kenneth J.. |
With the ongoing “Health Check” and the decisions needed for after 2013, the Common Agricultural Policy is likely to see another major reform and an increase in compulsory modulation. By employing a regional model, this paper compares the long-term impact of spending along the Pillar 2 Axes in NUTS3 areas on selected indicators of sustainability in several peripheral areas across Europe. The four case study areas are: Pinzgau-Pongau (a tourism-dominated alpine area in Austria), the Wetterau (an urbanised industrial area in Germany), Gorenjska (a tourism and manufacturing dominated area in Slovenia) and Caithness-Sutherland (a remote area in Scotland). The results suggest although devolution in European rural development policy has taken over the last 10... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: CAP; Pillar 2; Rural development; Agricultural and Food Policy; R15; Q18; Q01. |
Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44793 |
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Bergmann, Holger; Thompson, Kenneth J.. |
In the past, much rural development planning has relied on the concept of growth poles. With the “new rural paradigm”, we find that place-specific development and bottom-up approaches have become more popular than ever. Such place-based development often envisages the use of social capital. However, insofar as social capital is a local asset that is incorporated in individuals, it can easily be destroyed but not easily rebuilt. Continued out-migration and low in-migration into rural areas can have detrimental effects on social capital, and subsequently weaken bottom-up processes in the short and medium term. This paper - based on a survey of 1412 persons in northern Scotland - suggests that intensified migratory processes destroy social capital in rural... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Migration; Social capital; Rural Scotland; New rural paradigm; Trust; Community/Rural/Urban Development; R23; R58; Z13; D71. |
Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94914 |
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Bergmann, Holger; Thomson, Kenneth J.. |
With the latest reform of EU Structural Policy, the Highlands and Islands have been excluded from further support by Structural Funds beyond 2013, but the new Scottish Rural Development Programme has increased CAP Pillar 2 expenditures in Scotland. A modified version of a system dynamics model constructed for an EU-wide case-study project (TOP-MARD) was used to simulate the effects of these and other policy changes in Caithness and Sutherland (C&S), a remote rural area in Northern Scotland. Several alternative modelling scenarios were developed, mostly relating to reconfigurations of Pillar 2 spending within the area. The modelling results, i.e. projections from 2001 to 2021, are discussed in terms of agricultural employment, regional population, and... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Rural development; CAP reform; Scotland; Pillar 2; Regional modelling; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Q01; Q18; R23; R50. |
Ano: 2009 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50935 |
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Registros recuperados: 12 | |
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