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Analyzing Relationships Between Cash and Futures Dairy Markets Using Partially Overlapping Time Series AgEcon
Bozic, Marin; Fortenbery, T. Randall.
Replaced with revised version of paper 02/10/10.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Partially overlapping time series; Spectral analysis; Risk premium; Futures markets; Dairy policy; Dairy industry; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Q13; Q14; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/56545
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Visualizing Risk Premiums in Commodity Futures Markets AgEcon
Bozic, Marin; Fortenbery, T. Randall.
Replaced with revised version of poster 07/21/10.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91378
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The Dynamics of the U.S. Milk Supply: Implications for Changes in U.S. Dairy Policy AgEcon
Bozic, Marin; Gould, Brian W..
There is continuing pressure by various farm groups to attempt to solve the chronic problems in the U.S. dairy industry represented by increased milk price variability, inability to generate positive returns at the farm level, increasing role of dairy exports as an important market for U.S. dairy products, etc. As such it is important for analysts and policy makers obtain an estimate as to how responsive dairy producers are to changing economic and technological conditions. Examples of previous research used to examine supply response in the U.S. dairy sector include LaFrance and deGorter (1985), Chavas and Klemme (1986), Thraen and Hammond (1987), Chavas, Krauss and Jesse (1990), Chavas and Krauss (1990), Yavuz, et al, (1996) and USDA (2007). These...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Milk supply; Long-run elasticities; Dairy policy; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Livestock Production/Industries; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53818
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Pricing Options on Commodity Futures: The Role of Weather and Storage AgEcon
Bozic, Marin; Fortenbery, T. Randall.
Options on agricultural futures are popular financial instruments used for agricultural price risk management and to speculate on future price movements. Poor performance of Black’s classical option pricing model has stimulated many researchers to introduce pricing models that are more consistent with observed option premiums. However, most models are motivated solely from the standpoint of the time series properties of futures prices and need for improvements in forecasting and hedging performance. In this paper we propose a novel arbitrage pricing model motivated from the economic theory of optimal storage, and consistent with implications of plant physiology on the importance of weather stress. We introduce a pricing model for options on futures based...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Arbitrage pricing model; Options on futures; Generalized lambda distribution; Theory of storage; Skewness; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Crop Production/Industries; Financial Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Risk and Uncertainty; G13; Q11; Q14.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103638
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