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HOUSEHOLD DEMAND FOR FRESH POTATOES: A DISAGGREGATED CROSS-SECTIONAL ANALYSIS 31
Cox, Thomas L.; Ziemer, Rod F.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
A model of household fresh potato consumption incorporating prices, income, family size and other socioeconomic effects is estimated by maximum likelihood Tobit procedures. The effects of truncation bias due to non-purchasing households are evaluated and decompositions of the Tobit elasticities are performed for various sub-groups of the data. The market development implications of this type of disaggregated commodity analysis are explored.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety.
Ano: 1984 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32373
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ON MARKET EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cox, Thomas L..
The paper develops the implications of competitive market equilibrium for production and household behavior when some prices are endogenously determined. The properties of market equilibrium functions are explored, including the effects of pricing policy. A Slutsky-type equation relating compensated and uncompensated market equilibrium functions is derived. Implications for multi-market welfare analysis are presented, focusing on the effects of pricing policy and technical change.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12615
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An Analysis of Pricing in the U.S. Cotton Seed Market 31
Shi, Guanming; Stiegert, Kyle W.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
The purpose of the research in this paper is to investigate the impact of differentiated vertical strategies by agricultural biotechnology firms in the U.S. cottonseed market. The model advances the measurement of industry concentration to consider substitution/complementarity relationships among differentiated products delivered under different vertical structures. We find evidence of sub-additive pricing in the stacking of bundled biotech traits. Prices paid by farmers for cottonseed sold under vertical integration are found to be higher than under licensing. The model is flexible and allows for evaluation of the effects of changing market structures. The parameters on traditional measures of concentration indicate that higher concentration leads to...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Modal Vertical Strategy; Imperfect competition; Cotton seed; Biotechnology; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization; L13; L4; L65.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51617
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ON THE ECONOMIC RATIONALITY OF MARKET PARTICIPANTS: THE CASE OF EXPECTATIONS IN THE U.S. PORK MARKET 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul.
This study investigates the nature of price expectations in a competitive market. The approach is illustrated in an application to the U.S. pork market, which exhibits cyclical patterns and biological production lags. Pork price equations are estimated under different expectation regimes. The empirical results suggest the presence of heterogeneous price expectations among market participants. A large proportion of the market (73%) is found to be associated with backward-looking expectations, where future prices are anticipated on the basis of their observed historical patterns.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30882
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INTERREGIONAL ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACTS OF ELIMINATING EUROPEAN UNION MILK PRODUCTION QUOTAS 31
Bouamra-Mechemache, Zohra; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cox, Thomas L.; Requillart, Vincent.
An hedonic spatial equilibrium model of the European Union dairy sector is used to evaluate the interregional impacts of eliminating milk production quotas under a variety of domestic policy (intervention prices and domestic production/consumption subsidies) and trade policies (tariff rate quotas and export subsidies). The simulation results indicate that the removal of the EU milk production quotas is welfare improving both only with substantial liberalization of trade. Hence, production quota removal by itself is not a desirable policy alternative for either the EU or the world. Rather, policy reform should involve the joint consideration of domestic and trade policy instruments.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20677
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A Cost Approach to Economic Analysis under Production Uncertainty 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul.
This paper explores the economics of input decision by a firm facing production uncertainty. It relies on a state-contingent approach to production uncertainty. First, the paper develops a methodology to specify and estimate cost-minimizing input decisions under a state-contingent technology. Second, the analysis is applied to time series data on US agriculture. It finds strong empirical evidence that, in the analysis of input choices, expected output alone does not provide an appropriate representation of production uncertainty. The results provide empirical support for an output-cubical technology. This indicates that an ex post analysis of stochastic technology (as commonly found in previous research) appears appropriate. The analysis also provides...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Production uncertainty; State contingent; Cost; Cubical technology.; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C3; D21; D8.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21081
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AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF CORN YIELD, CORN PROFITABILITY, AND RISK AT THE EDGE OF THE CORN BELT 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Kim, Kwansoo; Lauer, Joseph G.; Klemme, Richard M.; Bland, William L..
This study investigates the recent evolution of corn yield, with a special focus on the tradeoff between corn profitability and risk. The analysis relies on time-series data from Wisconsin experimental farms at the edge of the Corn Belt. An econometric model of corn yield, corn grain moisture, and corn profitability is specified. Both conditional means and conditional variances are estimated for different sites in Wisconsin. The empirical analysis shows the changes in corn yield and profit over time and across space. The evidence suggests that yield trends are due mostly to technical progress, with smaller effects generated by climate change. On average, corn yield and profitability have improved faster in northern Wisconsin than in the Corn Belt....
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/31152
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On the Microeconomics of Diversification under Uncertainty and Learning 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Barham, Bradford L..
This paper investigates the microeconomics of diversification, based on a two-period model of an owner-managed firm facing uncertainty. The analysis utilizes a general state-contingent representation of uncertainty and learning. Economies of diversification are defined based on a certainty equivalent, which has three components: expected profit, the risk premium (measuring the cost of risk aversion), and the value of information associated with learning. The influence of scale effects, “trans-ray concavity” effects, and income effects on economies of diversification are examined in detail. We argue that, while scope economies and risk aversion can provide general incentives for diversification, information and learning can have the opposite effect. By...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92141
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TECHNICAL CHANGE AND EFFICIENCY AT US LAND GRANT UNIVERSITIES: IS THERE ANY FAT LEFT TO CUT? 31
Foltz, Jeremy D.; Barham, Bradford L.; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Kim, Kwansoo.
This work uses non-parametric efficiency analysis and a unique panel data set to analyze efficiency and technical change at US universities from 1981-1998 with a special emphasis on Land Grant institutions. The analysis demonstrates that Land Grants are on average more efficient than their counterparts. While in the 1980s they had higher levels of technological change, in the 1990s that declined to levels similar to other types of universities. Identifying factors influencing efficiency and technological progress in university production provides key insights into the future of the Land Grant system.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20237
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INTERREGIONAL ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACTS OF DEREGULATION ON U.S. DAIRY SECTOR 31
Cox, Thomas L.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
The late 1990's is a period of substantive change in U.S. dairy policy with respect to import quotas, export subsidies, and classified pricing under state and federal milk marketing orders. An interregional model of the U.S. dairy sector is used to provide quantitative measures of the regional impacts of alternative deregulation scenarios.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20900
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A GENERALIZED DISTANCE FUNCTION AND THE ANALYSIS OF PRODUCTION EFFICIENCY 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cox, Thomas L..
A generalization of Shephard's distance functions is proposed, extending the usefulness of distance functions in economic analysis. Applications to efficiency measurements and productivity analysis are presented. New indexes of productivity, and technical, allocative and scale efficiency are proposed and analyzed. Interpretation of these indexes in terms of ray-average cost, ray-average revenue, and cost-to-revenue ratio is discussed.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Production Economics.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12601
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An Empirical Assessment of Endogeneity Issues In Demand Analysis for Differentiated Products 31
Dhar, Tirtha Pratim; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Gould, Brian W..
This article explores the issue of price and expenditure endogeneity in empirical demand analysis. The analysis focuses on the US carbonated soft drink market. We test the null hypothesis that price and expenditures are exogenous in the demand for carbonated soft drinks. Using an Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) specification, we strongly reject exogeneity for both prices and expenditures. We find that accounting for price/expenditures endogeneity significantly impacts demand elasticity estimates. We also evaluate the implications of endogeneity issues for testing weak separability.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Endogeneity; Separability; Carbonated soft drinks; Almost Ideal Demand System; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25227
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An Econometric Analysis of Brand Level Strategic Pricing Between Coca Cola and Pepsi Inc. 31
Dhar, Tirtha Pratim; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cotterill, Ronald W.; Gould, Brian W..
Market structure and strategic pricing for leading brands sold by Coca Cola and Pepsi Inc. are investigated in the context of a flexible demand specification and structural price equations. This approach is more general than prior studies that rely upon linear approximations and interactions of an inherently nonlinear problem. We test for Bertrand equilibrium, Stackelberg equilibrium, collusion, and a general conjectural variation (CV) specification. This nonlinear Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) estimation approach provides useful information on the nature of imperfect competition and the extent of market power.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Market structure; Strategic pricing; Conjectural variations; Price reaction; Carbonated soft drinks; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25231
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On Microeconomic Efficiency and Entrepreneurship under Bounded Rationality 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Barham, Bradford L..
We present a dynamic model of economic behavior of an owner-operated firm under bounded rationality, and develop the implications for the assessment of economic efficiency and the understanding of entrepreneurship. Under bounded rationality, information about technology and market conditions is not perfectly known, creating the possibility for learning. Uncertainty is represented using a general state-contingent approach. Efficiency analysis is explored using a certainty equivalent measure, which is the sum of three parts: expected net income, a conditional value of information, and a risk premium (measuring the implicit cost of private risk bearing). The analysis yields critical insights about the role of learning in technical efficiency, allocative...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92142
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SUNK COSTS AND RESOURCE MOBILITY: IMPLICATIONS FOR ECONOMIC AND POLICY ANALYSIS 31
Barham, Bradford L.; Chavas, Jean-Paul.
The implications of sunk costs for many key questions in agricultural economics have yet to be explored. This paper uses a dynamic model of investment behavior to explore how sunk costs can shape market outcomes in ways that might not match predictions of standard competitive models. Applying the model to several key issues in agricultural markets and international trade offers new perspectives that challenge conventional wisdoms. Institutional and policy innovations are also examined for their potential to improve welfare outcomes when sunk costs impede factor mobility.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12686
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MARKET STRUCTURE AND SPATIAL PRICE DYNAMICS 31
Brorsen, B. Wade; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Grant, Warren R..
A method was developed with time series models to test hypotheses about the relationship between market structure and spatial price dynamics. Long-run dynamic multipliers measuring the magnitude of lagged adjustments for spatial milled rice prices were calculated from the time series model and used as the dependent variable in a regression model that included a number of factors expected to influence price determination. Results show that price adjustments were slower as regional submarket concentration increased and were faster in the regions with a higher market share. Arkansas, the state with the largest market share, was consistently a price leader
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30057
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE ROLE OF FUTURES PRICES, CASH PRICES AND GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS IN ACREAGE RESPONSE 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Pope, Rulon D.; Kao, Robert S..
An integrated investigation of futures price, cash price, and government programs is presented in the context of an econometric model of acreage supply response for U.S. corn and soybeans. The analysis refines the role of different sources of price information in the farmers' acreage decision. It is found that the government corn support price program plays a major role in corn and soybean production decisions. Also, the results indicate that futures prices are not good proxies for expected future cash prices in the presence of government programs. This raises questions about the information efficiency of futures prices when government intervenes in the market place.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1983 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32481
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An Econometric Analysis of Price Dynamics in the Presence of a Price Floor: The Case of American Cheese 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Kim, Kwansoo.
In this paper, we present an econometric analysis for the effects of a price floor on price dynamics and price volatility. A price floor (implemented as a part of government pricing policy) provides a censoring mechanism for price determination. We specify and estimate a dynamic Tobit model under time-varying volatility. The model is applied to analyze the effects of a price support program on price dynamics and price volatility in the U.S. American cheese market. The econometric analysis provides useful insights on price dynamics in the presence of a government-determined price floor.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Censored regression; Market liberalization; Model selection; Price dynamics; Price volatility; Demand and Price Analysis; Q0; D4; C5.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43628
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An Economic Analysis of Product Differentiation under Latent Separability 31
Dhar, Tirtha Pratim; Chavas, Jean-Paul; Cotterill, Ronald W..
This paper develops an analysis of markets for differentiated products. It relies on the concept of latent separability for consumer preferences. As proposed by Blundell and Robin, latent separability assumes that purchased products are allocated in the production of latent intermediate utility-yielding goods. Product differentiation can arise when each product makes a different contribution to the production of the latent goods. Latent separability is particularly attractive in the investigation of markets for branded products where the number of brands is large. It allows focusing on the demand for a smaller number of latent goods. Our approach is based on a quadratic almost ideal demand system (Q-AIDS), which provides a flexible representation of...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21892
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NONLINEAR DYNAMICS AND ECONOMIC INSTABILITY: THE OPTIMAL MANAGEMENT OF A BIOLOGICAL POPULATION 31
Chavas, Jean-Paul; Holt, Matthew T..
Assuming a competitive market, conditions are determined for when a steady-state equilibrium does not exist in the optimal dynamic management of a biological population. Irregular and unpredictable behavior (called “"chaos"”) can arise from fully rational economic decision making. High interest rate, adjustment costs, and an inelastic demand can contribute to market instability.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30770
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