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| Chen, Xiaomei; Wang, H. Holly; Mittelhammer, Ronald C.. |
| The linear two-moment mean-variance (MV) model has been widely used in finance and economic decision analysis as an approximation of Von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility (EU) model. The introduction of third or higher moments not only can improve the accuracy of the approximation, but is also suitable to represent investors¡¯ skewness preference (prudence) with the latter supported by empirical evidence. The goal of this paper is to develop a general MVS model and compare it and the traditional MV model against the EU model in the setting of an individual producer hedging in the futures market. Results show: 1) the derived linear MVS model maintains the analytical convenience of MV model, 2) it can generate different results as MV, 3) it approximate... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21485 |
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| Makus, Larry D.; Wang, H. Holly; Chen, Xiaomei. |
| Risk management strategies (market and insurance based) are evaluated for selected small grain producers in the Pacific Northwest using expected utility maximization. Equivalent variation (EV) compares alternative risk management portfolios to cash sales under specified restrictions and conditions. Resulting EV's are strongly influenced by government payments, and hedging-based strategies are not used when counter cyclical payments are included in government programs. Optimum risk management portfolios include extensive coverage by insurance-based products only when such products have premiums that are heavily subsidized, or have premiums with no significant expense load. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty. |
| Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/22257 |
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| Chen, Xiaomei; Wang, H. Holly; Makus, Larry D.. |
| This paper empirically examines the income risks for Pacific Northwest apple growers, both conventional and organic. Current yield based apple production insurance, the Growers Yield Certification (GYC), and hypothesized revenue based insurance are also examined for their risk management effect on growers. Results show that organic apple production is more risky but has higher expected return than its conventional counterpart. The current GYC is subsidized and subsidized more for organic growers. However, the current low price selection levels prevent these programs from offering effective risk reducing effect, and they also prevent the hypothesized revenue insurance from showing its advantage over yield insurance as in the case of other major field... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9381 |
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| Wang, H. Holly; Makus, Larry D.; Chen, Xiaomei. |
| The 2002 Food Security and Rural Investment (FSRI) Act introduced a price protection program called Counter Cyclical Payments (CCP) to major grain producers in the US. The CCP program is an addition to the Loan Deficiency Payment (LDP) and Direct Payment (DP) programs from the previous 1996 Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform (FAIR) Act. At the same time, US federally subsidized crop revenue insurance programs also protect farmers from market and production risks. These government policy programs may crowd out the traditional price risk management role of hedging in commodity futures markets. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36259 |
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