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Doha scenarios, trade reforms, and poverty in the Philippines: A CGE Analysis AgEcon
Cororaton, Caesar B.; Cockburn, John; Corong, Erwin L..
The paper examines the possible impact of Doha agreement on Philippine poverty. Using a detailed CGE analysis, the agreement is observed to depress world demand for Philippine agricultural exports, and thus slightly increase poverty, especially among rural households. However, an ambitious full trade liberalization scenario, which involves free world trade and domestic liberalization, leads to increased industrial exports that favor urban households. These impacts are driven primarily by domestic trade liberalization, as free world trade favors the agricultural sector by increasing the cost of competing agricultural imports.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Doha agreement; Computable general equilibrium (CGE); Free trade; Food Security and Poverty; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/59825
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Agricultural Price Distortions, Poverty and Inequality in the Philippines AgEcon
Cororaton, Caesar B.; Corong, Erwin L.; Cockburn, John.
This paper analyzes the poverty and inequality implications of removing agricultural and non-agricultural price distortions in the domestic market of the Philippines and abroad. Liberalization in the rest of the world is poverty and inequality reducing, whereas full domestic liberalization increases national poverty and inequality. Poverty declines while inequality increases marginally in the combined scenario of both global and domestic agriculture reform. Although the reduction in the national poverty headcount is small in the latter scenario, the poorest of the poor – particularly those living in the rural areas – emerge as “winners”, given their strong reliance on agricultural production and unskilled labor wages.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Distorted incentives; Agricultural and trade policy reforms; National agricultural development; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; F13; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52790
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Would Freeing Up World Trade Reduce Poverty and Inequality? The Vexed Role of Agricultural Distortions AgEcon
Anderson, Kym; Cockburn, John; Martin, William J..
Trade policy reforms in recent decades have sharply reduced the distortions that were harming agriculture in developing countries, yet global trade in farm products continues to be far more distorted than trade in nonfarm goods. Those distortions reduce some forms of poverty and inequality but worsen others, so the net effects are unclear without empirical modeling. This paper summarizes a series of new economy-wide global and national empirical studies that focus on the net effects of the remaining distortions to world merchandise trade on poverty and inequality globally and in various developing countries. The global LINKAGE model results suggest that removing those remaining distortions would reduce international inequality, largely by boosting net farm...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Poverty; Income inequality; Price distortions; Farm trade policy; International Development.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/58880
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