|
|
|
| Registros recuperados: 13 | |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero; Velazquez, Beatriz E.. |
| The paper is aimed at assessing the impact of reducing and/or eliminating EU export subsidies within the next WTO round. The Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and database are employed to study the effects of the two main proposals put forward in the Doha Round on this matter by the EU and the US. Results of the simulations confirm the common knowledge that the elimination of EU export subsidies would imply increasing prices, exports and production for several net exporters of agricultural products. At the same time, such effects are all relatively small in size, particularly on trade, production and welfare, even under the more radical scenario that simulates the elimination of export subsidies. Despite some net importing countries would suffer... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
| Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14801 |
| |
|
|
| Antimiani, Alessandro; Conforti, Piero; Salvatici, Luca. |
| The article explores possible outcomes of the Doha Development Agenda by simulating agricultural liberalization scenarios with a modified version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and the related version 6.0 database. A 2013 baseline is employed to analyze two hypotheses in the areas of market access and export competition. Proportional cuts in tariffs are compared with a Swiss-formula approach. Welfare gains arise both in developed and developing countries, and, at least in principle, both groups should support deep reforms. Results suggest that the choice of the nature of the formula is not crucial in determining an effective increase in market access. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23889 |
| |
|
| |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero; de Filippis, Fabrizio; Salvatici, Luca. |
| The paper is aimed at assessing the effects of the reforms proposed by the European Commission in July 2002 for the Mid Term Review (MTR) of Agenda 2000. The proposals are described in the framework of the long standing CAP reform process driven by political priorities such as the enlargement to the Central and Eastern European countries, the budget issues, and the ongoing WTO negotiations. The most important measures proposed are the full decoupling of direct payments, the modulation of direct payments, and changes in the support regimes for cereals and rice. Altogether, the proposals for the MTR appear substantial, especially considering the conservative attitude of the EU decision-making process. The Applied General Equilibrium model provided by the... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14802 |
| |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero. |
| The paper is aimed at assessing the effects of the reform of the Common Market Organisation for rice proposed by the EU Commission in 2000. AGLINK, the OECD partial model, is employed to simulate the effects for the EU as a whole, both in terms of deviations from the standard baseline, and from a modified baseline that includes indica and japonica rice as two different products. Results in terms of change in market prices are introduced as exogenous price shocks in a Positive Mathematical Programming Model, run for Italian rice-producing provinces on the basis of the Farm Accounting Data Network data, in order to assess the effects on local supply. Results indicate a fall in EU rice prices ranging from 15% to 25% as a consequence of the proposed reform,... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Industrial Organization. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14805 |
| |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero; Velazquez, Beatriz E.. |
| The article is aimed at assessing the impact of reducing and/or eliminating EU export subsidies within the next WTO round. The Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and database are employed to study the effects of the two main proposals put forward on this matter by the EU and the U.S. Results of the simulations confirm the common knowledge that the elimination of EU export subsidies would bring about increases in prices, exports and production for several net exporters of agricultural products. At the same time, such effects are all relatively small in size, particularly the effects on trade, production and welfare, even under the more radical scenario that simulates the elimination of export subsidies. Despite the fact that some net importing... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Export competition; GTAP model; WTO negotiations; International Relations/Trade. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23848 |
| |
|
| |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero; Londero, Pierluigi. |
| The paper presents a general introduction to the structure and the characteristics of AGLINK, in comparison with the other most important global multi-commodity partial equilibrium models. Special reference is made to policy modelling, and particularly to the representation of the most important CAP tools, grouped into four types; direct price support, trade measures, supply management tools, and partially decoupled payments. The model is one of the most interesting efforts, especially in terms of its ability to effectively represent EU agricultural policy tools. The high level of institutional control exerted by the OECD member countries provides AGLINK with a particularly high-level of expertise, and a constant update of information; but it also prevents... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
| Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14808 |
| |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero. |
| The paper reviews seven partial equilibrium global models used over the last 10 years to the analysis of the Common Agricultural Policy (ESIM, FAO-WFM, FAPRI-CARD, MISS, SPEL/EU, SWOPSIM and WATSIM). The discussion starts from the basic modelling assumptions, the data and parameters employed, by looking first at the common aspects of the models, and then at the unique characteristics of each model for simulating the effects of the CAP. Then the effectiveness of the modelling of five specific CAP tools is discussed; these are - direct price support, trade measures, supply management tools, partially "decoupled" payments, and voluntary schemes. It is argued that considerable improvements have taken place in the ability to capture the effects of changes in... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods. |
| Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14806 |
| |
|
| |
|
|
| Antimiani, Alessandro; Conforti, Piero; Salvatici, Luca. |
| The paper explores an important issue in multilateral agricultural trade negotiations, namely the approach taken to reduce tariffs, simulating possible liberalization scenarios. The analysis is based on the model of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), and on the related version 6.0 database. Scenarios are run on a 2013 baseline, built by taking into account a number of events that have affected (and will further affect) world agricultural markets up to that period, focusing on the effects that are specifically attributable to further trade liberalization in the Doha Round. The policy strategies analyzed are two hypothetical liberalization scenarios in terms of market access and export competition, plus a free agricultural trade benchmark scenario.... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade; F13; Q17. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18878 |
| |
|
| |
|
|
| Conforti, Piero; Rapsomanikis, George. |
| The changes recently introduced in the EU Common Market Organization for sugar will interact with preferential imports from developing countries and least developed countries that enjoy preferential treatment for exports to the EU, as well as by trade and adjustment costs. This paper focuses on the impact of the EU Commissions sugar policy reform and the Everything But Arms initiative on the African, Caribbean and Pacific countries and the Least Developed Countries. Simulations are run with an empirical model structure comprising a partial equilibrium model for the world sugar market and a gravity model to replicate least developed countries bilateral trade with Europe. Particularly, the gravity approach is employed to model the abolition of import... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: EBA; Sugar; Gravity; Trade; C53; International Relations/Trade; Q18; C23. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25641 |
| |
| Registros recuperados: 13 | |
|
|
|
