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| Achterbosch, Thom J.; Dopfer, Dorte D.V.; Tabeau, Andrzej A.. |
| Projections of live cattle trade in the EU-25 assist to reduce the uncertainty on the risk of importing animal diseases in the Netherlands. The accession of 10 member states to the European Union has a potentially large impact on livestock trade in the EU as it liberalized in one stroke a trade that was administered by the Management Committee for Beef until May 1, 2004. The approach combines AG-Memod partial equilibrium with GTAP general equilibrium modelling in order to estimate the impact of quota liberalization. Quota removal will substantially alter the regional structure of livestock imports, as the share of new EU member states in the east triples to 25%. The risk outlook indicates a need for enhanced animal health services in the new member states. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Livestock; Animal disease; Trade; Projections; Quota; EU-enlargement; Risk and Uncertainty; F17; I18; Q17. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24558 |
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| Achterbosch, Thom J.; Dopfer, Dorte D.V.. |
| This study examines the risk of importing animal diseases into the Netherlands through livestock trade. It presents projections of Dutch cattle imports until 2010, and applies quantitative epidemiology to estimate the related probabilities of importing three animal diseases (foot and mouth disease, bovine tuberculosis, and leptospirosis). A key result is that trade flows involving large numbers of cattle from a large number of small-scale farms poses alarming risks to veterinary health in the Netherlands. |
| Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29089 |
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