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International sorghum trade: United States beyond the Mexican dependency? AgEcon
Duch-Carvallo, Teresa; Malaga, Jaime E..
This research proposes the estimation of a partial equilibrium econometric and simulation international trade model for sorghum: United States and Mexico component. Sixteen equations were simultaneously estimated and validated as a system using seemingly unrelated regression. Results on parameter estimates agree with economic theory and a working model for simulation and forecast was obtained. Forecast scenarios suggest that the dependency of sorghum trade between US and Mexico will continue.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Supply; Demand; NAFTA; International trade; Sorghum; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/46862
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United States chicken and grain exports to Mexico: competing for the same market? AgEcon
Duch-Carvallo, Teresa; Malaga, Jaime E..
The impacts of maintaining increasing rates of Mexican chicken meat imports from the United States on United States grain sorghum price and Mexican GS imports from the United States were modeled using a non-spatial, partial equilibrium, econometric, and simulation international trade model. Twenty five equations were simultaneously estimated and validated as a system using three stages least squares. A 9-year baseline was estimated under existing projections and the impacts of the increasing rates of Mexican chicken meat imports from the United States were simulated and compared with the baseline.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Supply; Demand; NAFTA; International trade; Grain sorghum; Chicken meat exports; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98828
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Did Mexican Meat Demand Change under NAFTA? AgEcon
Malaga, Jaime E.; Pan, Suwen; Duch-Carvallo, Teresa.
A censored non linear QUAIDS model was applied to estimate Mexican meat demand parameters using annual household survey data for six years from 1992 to 2004. Results suggest that in Mexico and throughout the analyzed period, beef and pork meat were luxury items while chicken was a normal good. Small but insignificant changes in meat demand parameters were found after NAFTA implementation suggesting that changes on consumer behavior due to macroeconomic variables might take longer periods to be quantifiable.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: QUAIDS model; Mexico meat demand; NAFTA; Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51430
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