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Registros recuperados: 15
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MARKET OUTLOOK AND THE ECONOMICS OF PRODUCING AND MARKETING MICHIGAN WHEAT AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
No abstract available. Note: Figures 1-11 and Appendix B (Tables B1-B6) omitted from electronic copy--contact author for information.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11500
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Trends in Real Food Prices in Six Sub-Saharan African Countries AgEcon
Jayne, Thomas S.; Mukumbu, Mulinge; Duncan, John; Staatz, John M.; Howard, Julie A.; Lundberg, Mattias K.A.; Aldridge, Kim; Nakaponda, Bethel; Ferris, John N.; Keita, Francis; Sanankoua, Abdel Kader.
The objectives of the study are: to assess the direction and magnitude of changes in real staple food prices since the implementation of food sector policy reforms in Africa; to identify the major factors affecting changes in these food prices; and to assess the resulting effects of food system reform on household food security.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Food security; Food policy; Food Security and Poverty; Downloads July 2008-June 2009: 9; R11.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54695
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Potential for Corn Oil Extracted from Distillers’ Dried Grain and Solubles as a Feedstock for Biodiesel AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Rising prices on vegetable oils and animal fats have enabled dry mill ethanol plants to profitably extract corn oil from distillers’ dried grain. While the mandates under the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 for grain based ethanol will level off at 15 billion gallons in 2015, the mandates for biodiesel will likely continue to increase from 1.0 billion gallons in 2012 to nearly 2.0 billion gallons in 2022. Corn oil from distillers’ dried grain can provide the needed profits and diversification of feedstock to assist the biodiesel industry in meeting the mandates.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115632
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF ENSO (EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) ON GLOBAL CROP YIELDS AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Forecasts of global crop yields prior to planting have generally been single values, based on entirely past trends. Regression analysis testing a combination of data from ENSO (El Nino/Southern Oscillation) and ARMA models suggests that yield forecasting errors can be reduced, generating more normal distributions of these errors.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21517
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Forecasting World Crop Yields as Probability Distributions AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Traditionally, agricultural forecasts, whether for the coming year or several years into the future, have been based on assumptions of normal weather and trend crop yields. That weather is seldom normal and that yields seldom fit trends are well recognized. However, relatively little attention has been given to projecting crop yields stochastically even though computer capacity and software programs are available to do so. One reason is that the task is more challenging than to assign standard deviations to various crop yields and simulate normal distributions using random number generators. For one, deviations of crop yields from trends may be correlated especially if the locations of the crops overlap such as is the case with US corn and soybeans....
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11740
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF ENSO (EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) ON GLOBAL CROP YIELDS AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Forecasts of global crop yields prior to planting have generally been single values, based entirely on past trends. Regression analysis testing a combination of data from ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) and ARMA models suggests that yield forecasting errors can be reduced, generating more normal distributions of these errors. Keywords: El Niño, ENSO, forecasting crop yields, long range weather forecasting, agricultural modeling, food security, risk management
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: El Niño; ENSO; Forecasting crop yields; Long range weather forecasting; Agricultural modeling; Food security; Risk management; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11741
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Forecasting World Crop Yields as Probability Distributions AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Traditionally, agricultural forecasts, whether for the coming year or several years into the future, have been based on assumptions of normal weather and trend crop yields. That weather is seldom normal and that yields seldom fit trends are well recognized. However, relatively little attention has been given to projecting crop yields stochastically even though computer capacity and software programs are available to do so. One reason is that the task is more challenging than to assign standard deviations to various crop yields and simulate normal distributions using random number generators. For one, deviations of crop yields from trends may be correlated especially if the locations of the crops overlap such as is the case with US corn and soybeans. To...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crop yields Crop yield correlations; Stochastic forecasting Econometric modeling; Non-normal crop yield distribution Risk assessment; Crop Production/Industries; C6; Q11.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25649
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AN ANALYSIS OF THE IMPORTANCE OF AGRICULTURE AND THE FOOD SECTOR TO THE MICHIGAN ECONOMY AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
The number of workers on farms and in food processing represents about 16 percent of total employment in basic industries in Michigan. Converting farm labor to full time equivalents, however, reduces the proportion to about 11 percent. The industries dependent upon agriculture and food processing enhance the importance of this sector. Adding backward linked industries increases the total employment from about 100 thousand to 200 thousand and output from $15 billion to $27 billion. If Michigan agriculture's share of the forward linked industries of wholesaling and retailing is added, total employment related directly or indirectly to farming and food processing is estimated to be 500 thousand and output to be $37 billion. In terms of employment, this...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Community/Rural/Urban Development.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11793
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Trends in Michigan Agriculture and Food Processing AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Agriculture, prominent in the early settlement of Michigan in the 1800s, was joined by food processing in the 1900s to become a major component of the economy even as the auto industry became predominant. Michigan farmers have adjusted to new opportunities and have taken advantage of the unique aspects of the soils and climate to generate a very diverse system of crops and livestock. The close rural-urban interface is mutually beneficial to the agricultural/food processing complex and the rest of the state. The interdependence of agriculture and food processing suggests that they be considered in combination in evaluating trends and prospects for both. The state being well suited for forage production and with an expanding urban population, dairying...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agribusiness.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11499
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EVALUATING THE IMPACTS OF AN INCREASE IN FUEL-ETHANOL DEMAND ON AGRICULTURE AND THE ECONOMY AgEcon
Ferris, John N.; Joshi, Satish V..
Fuel ethanol demand is projected to increase because of proposed ban on methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) in gasoline, renewable fuels standard, and the revised eight-hour ozone standards. In this paper, several scenarios of increased fuel ethanol demand and its effects on crop and feed prices, farm income and state finances under current tax-subsidy structure, are analyzed using a multi-sector econometric model AGMOD.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20089
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Modeling the U.S. Domestic Livestock Feed Sector in a Period of Rapidly Expanding By-Product Feed Supplies from Ethanol Production AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Rapidly expanding ethanol production in the U.S. was given further impetus with the passage of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 mandating a minimum production of 7.5 billion gallons of renewable fuels by 2012. The availability of the by-product feeds of ethanol production (corn gluten feed and meal and DDG) has not only become a significant share of the protein feed sector, but also the increase has been and will be extensive. The challenge is how to incorporate these feeds into econometric models of U.S. agriculture and measure their impact on the utilization of other feeds, particularly coarse grain and soybean meal. Another task is to forecast prices on the by-product feeds. This paper suggests a couple of procedures embracing the entire sector of...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11628
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The USDA/Land Grant Extension Outlook Program -- A History and Assessment AgEcon
Ferris, John N..
Base Document for a Power-Point Presentation Extension Section and Senior Section Track Session AAEA Centennial Theme
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/101723
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Trends in Real Food Prices in Six Sub-Saharan African Countries AgEcon
Jayne, Thomas S.; Mukumbu, Mulinge; Duncan, John; Staatz, John M.; Howard, Julie A.; Lundberg, Mattias K.A.; Aldridge, Kim; Nakaponda, Bethel; Ferris, John N.; Keita, Francis; Sanankoua, Abdel Kader.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis; Downloads July 2008-July 2009: 12.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/11327
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Patterns and Trends in Food Staples Markets in Eastern and Southern Africa: Toward the Identification of Priority Investments and Strategies for Developing Markets and Promoting Smallholder Productivity Growth AgEcon
Jayne, Thomas S.; Mason, Nicole M.; Myers, Robert J.; Ferris, John N.; Mather, David; Beaver, Margaret; Lenski, Natalie; Chapoto, Antony; Boughton, Duncan.
Accurate information on farmer and consumer behavior is the foundation for Identifying public investments and policies that can effectively promote national food security and income growth objectives. This report synthesizes recent findings on smallholder crop marketing behavior and urban consumption patterns in Eastern and Southern Africa, and their implications for public sector investments and policies to promote smallholder incomes and national food security.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Food security; Africa; Smallholder markets; Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; Community/Rural/Urban Development; Crop Production/Industries; International Development; Marketing; Q14; Q13; Q12; Q11.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62148
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Agriculture as a source of fuel prospects and impacts, 2007 to 2017 AgEcon
Ferris, John N.; Joshi, Satish V..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48771
Registros recuperados: 15
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