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Economic and climatic models for estimating coffee supply PAB
Moraes-Oliveira,Adriana Ferreira de; Aparecido,Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira; Figueira,Sérgio Rangel Fernandes.
Abstract: The objective of this work was to estimate the coffee supply by calibrating statistical models with economic and climatic variables for the main producing regions of the state of São Paulo, Brazil. The regions were Batatais, Caconde, Cássia dos Coqueiros, Cristais Paulista, Espírito Santo do Pinhal, Marília, Mococa, and Osvaldo Cruz. Data on coffee supply, economic variables (rural credit, rural agricultural credit, and production value), and climatic variables (air temperature, rainfall, potential evapotranspiration, water deficit, and water surplus) for each region, during the period from 2000-2014, were used. The models were calibrated using multiple linear regression, and all possible combinations were tested for selecting the variables....
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Coffea arabica; Climate; Econometrics; Modelling; Rural credit.
Ano: 2017 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-204X2017001201158
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Impact of economic factors on formal milk collection by the dairy industry in the main producing states in Brazil: a cointegration analysis R. Bras. Zootec.
Silva Filho,Jairo Vieira da; Figueira,Sérgio Rangel Fernandes.
ABSTRACT The objective of this study was to measure the short- and long-term elasticities of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), productivity, prices paid to producers, milk powder imports, minimum wages, and exchange ratios in milk collection between 1999 and 2016. For the measurement, the cointegration technique for data in a balanced panel was used, contemplating five states with great representativeness in the Brazilian industrial milk collection: Minas Gerais, Paraná, Rio Grande do Sul, Goiás, and São Paulo. These states corresponded to 73.3% of all formal milk collection in 2016. Results indicated that GDP, productivity, and imports impacted long-term milk collection. Productivity and GDP were the variables with the greatest long-term impact, with...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Economy; Milk; Multiple regression; Price.
Ano: 2019 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1516-35982019000100105
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