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An observing system simulation for Southern Ocean carbon dioxide uptake ArchiMer
Majkut, Joseph D.; Carter, Brendan R.; Froelicher, Thomas L.; Dufour, Carolina O.; Rodgers, Keith B.; Sarmiento, Jorge L..
The Southern Ocean is critically important to the oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO2. Up to half of the excess CO2 currently in the ocean entered through the Southern Ocean. That uptake helps to maintain the global carbon balance and buffers transient climate change from fossil fuel emissions. However, the future evolution of the uptake is uncertain, because our understanding of the dynamics that govern the Southern Ocean CO2 uptake is incomplete. Sparse observations and incomplete model formulations limit our ability to constrain the monthly and annual uptake, interannual variability and long-term trends. Float-based sampling of ocean biogeochemistry provides an opportunity for transforming our understanding of the Southern Ocean CO2 flux. In this work,...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Carbon; Southern Ocean; Observational system simulation experiment.
Ano: 2014 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00290/40115/38747.pdf
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Variability of the Ocean Carbon Cycle in Response to the North Atlantic Oscillation ArchiMer
Keller, Kathrin M.; Joos, Fortunat; Raible, Christoph C.; Cocco, Valentina; Froelicher, Thomas L.; Dunne, John P.; Gehlen, Marion; Bopp, Laurent; Orr, James C.; Tjiputra, Jerry; Heinze, Christoph; Segschneider, Joachim; Roy, Tilla; Metzl, Nicolas.
Climate modes such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), representing internal variability of the climate system, influence the ocean carbon cycle and may mask trends in the sink of anthropogenic carbon. Here, utilising control runs of six fully coupled Earth System Models, the response of the ocean carbon cycle to the NAO is quantified. The dominating response, a seesaw pattern between the subtropical gyre and the subpolar Northern Atlantic, is instantaneous (<3 months) and dynamically consistent over all models and with observations for a range of physical and biogeochemical variables. All models show asymmetric responses to NAO+ and NAO− forcing, implying non-linearity in the connection between NAO and the ocean carbon cycle. However, model...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: North Atlantic Oscillation; Carbon cycle; Ocean biogeochemistry; Climate modeling; Ocean-atmosphere interaction.
Ano: 2012 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00140/25166/23272.pdf
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Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on Threatened Species in UK Waters ArchiMer
Jones, Miranda C.; Dye, Stephen R.; Fernandes, Jose A.; Froelicher, Thomas L.; Pinnegar, John K.; Warren, Rachel; Cheung, William W. L..
Global climate change is affecting the distribution of marine species and is thought to represent a threat to biodiversity. Previous studies project expansion of species range for some species and local extinction elsewhere under climate change. Such range shifts raise concern for species whose long-term persistence is already threatened by other human disturbances such as fishing. However, few studies have attempted to assess the effects of future climate change on threatened vertebrate marine species using a multi-model approach. There has also been a recent surge of interest in climate change impacts on protected areas. This study applies three species distribution models and two sets of climate model projections to explore the potential impacts of...
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Ano: 2013 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00120/23104/20952.pdf
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