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| Registros recuperados: 15 | |
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| Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.. |
| The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2005-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: • Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms, and • Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) January 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk faced by farmers for prices... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42086 |
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| Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Bryant, Henry L.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
| The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (2002 Farm Bill) on representative crop, dairy, and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2007-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate agricultural operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: • Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. • Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) December 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
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| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37977 |
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| Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
| Under the December 2006 Baseline, 25 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good liquidity condition (less than a 25 percent chance of negative ending cash in 2011). Five crop farms have between a 25 percent and a 50 percent likelihood of negative ending cash. The remaining 35 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent chance of negative ending cash. Additionally, 33 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good equity position (less than a 25 percent chance of decreasing real net worth during the study period). Eight crop farms have between a 25 percent and 50 percent likelihood of losing real net worth, and 24 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent probability of decreasing real net worth. The following discussion provides an overall evaluation by... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42089 |
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| Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
| Under the January 2007 Baseline, 20 of the 64 crop farms are considered in good liquidity condition (less than a 25 percent chance of negative ending cash in 2012). Five crop farms have between a 25 percent and a 50 percent likelihood of negative ending cash. The remaining 39 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent chance of negative ending cash. Additionally, 30 of the 64 crop farms are considered in good equity position (less than a 25 percent chance of decreasing real net worth during the study period). Nine crop farms have between a 25 percent and 50 percent likelihood of losing real net worth, and 25 crop farms have greater than a 50 percent probability of decreasing real net worth. The following discussion provides an overall evaluation by... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42088 |
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| Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Raulston, J. Marc. |
| While projected cattle prices are considered to be the primary determinant of the financial viability of the representative ranches, the prices of feed crops and bi-products can also have an impact. The ranches produce hay and are often net buyers or net sellers. At least two of the ranches retain ownership through the backgrounding stage and feed some concentrates. The smaller Missouri ranch produces a number of grain and oilseed crops, and the smaller Texas ranch also raises broilers. Additionally, crop prices have an impact on fed cattle returns, which impacts feeder cattle prices. Projected livestock prices for FAPRI’s August 2007 Baseline are presented in Table 1. In general, beef cattle prices are projected to decline each year from 2008 though 2012,... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37979 |
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| Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
| The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (2002 Farm Bill) on representative crop, dairy, and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2007-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate agricultural operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: 1) Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms. 2) Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) August 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37983 |
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| Outlaw, Joe L.; Richardson, James W.; Herbst, Brian K.; Knapek, George M.; Anderson, David P.; Sartwelle, James D., III; Raulston, J. Marc; Fumasi, Roland J.; Klose, Steven L.; Zimmel, Peter. |
| The Agricultural and Food Policy Center (AFPC) at Texas A&M University develops and maintains data to simulate 100 representative crop, dairy, and livestock operations in major production areas in 28 states. The chief purpose of this analysis is to project those farms’ economic viability by region and commodity for 2006 through 2011. The data necessary to simulate the economic activity of these operations is developed through ongoing cooperation with panels of agricultural producers in each of these states. The Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) provided projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates in their August 2006 Baseline. Under the August 2006 Baseline, 14 of the 65 crop farms are considered in good... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42101 |
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| Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.. |
| The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2004-2011 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: • Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms, and • Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) December 2006 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk faced by farmers for prices... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/42090 |
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| Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L.; Knapek, George M.; Raulston, J. Marc; Herbst, Brian K.; Fumasi, Roland J.; Anderson, David P.; Klose, Steven L.. |
| The farm level economic impacts of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 on representative crop and livestock operations are projected in this report. The analysis was conducted over the 2005-2012 planning horizon using FLIPSIM, AFPC’s whole farm simulation model. Data to simulate farming operations in the nation’s major production regions came from two sources: • Producer panel cooperation to develop economic information to describe and simulate representative crop, livestock, and dairy farms, and • Projected prices, policy variables, and input inflation rates from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) August 2007 Baseline. The FLIPSIM policy simulation model incorporates the historical risk faced by farmers for prices... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37982 |
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| Fumasi, Roland J.. |
| While government safety-net programs are used to mitigate the price risk for commodity producers, limited programs exist for specialty crop producers. Specialty crop producers utilize forward contracts to reduce downside price risk. In order to estimate the method of price-risk management, if any, that is preferable to selling at market determined prices, a stochastic simulation model was constructed. The completed simulation model was used to estimate probability distributions for Salinas Valley net income under different pricing scenarios. Probabilities of reaching various net income thresholds were compared. Results indicate that Salinas Valley lettuce producers should maximize profitability by using forward contracts. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm Management; Risk and Uncertainty. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36310 |
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| Registros recuperados: 15 | |
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