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Registros recuperados: 8
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Modellgestützte Abschätzung der regionalen landwirtschaftlichen Landnutzung und Produktion in Deutschland vor dem Hintergrund der „Gesundheitsüberprüfung“ der GAP AgEcon
Kreins, Peter; Gomann, Horst.
The framework conditions surrounding agricultural production in Germany have changed dramatically due to the Renewable Energy Law (EEG) and a sustained increase in agricultural prices. The Common Agricultural Policy, substantially reformed in the Luxemburg Compromise, will be considered in the framework of the “Health Check”. Against this background, the regional developments anticipated in dairy production, beef cattle husbandry and agricultural land use by the year 2015 are analysed with the help of the regionalized agricultural sector model RAUMIS. Simulations on the adaptability of dairy production under different market conditions are carried out with regard to the expiration of the dairy quota regulation. The farming intensity on arable land is...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Common Agricultural Policy; Milk market reform; Bio-masse; Agricultural sector model; Land use; Agricultural and Food Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97592
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Koppelung agrarökonomischer und hydrologischer Modelle AgEcon
Gomann, Horst; Kreins, Peter; Kunkel, Ralf; Wendland, Frank.
The objective of the paper is to show the potential of interdisciplinary model networks consisting of agricultural economic and natural science models performing integrated impact assessments of agri-environmental policies. The potentials are exemplified using a coupling of the agricultural sector model RAUMIS with the hydrological models GROWA98 and WEKU in the scope of diffuse agricultural nitrogen immission into waterbodies. A brief classification of applied indicators is given. A key element for policy impact analyses are the relationships between the environmental indicator categories Driving Force, State and Response. The major relationships within this environmental scope as well as the modeling are explained. The presented model network represents...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Model-based policy consulting; Interdisciplinary model networks; Agricultural sector model; Diffuse agricultural nitrogen immissions; Agricultural and Food Policy; Environmental Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98360
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EINFLUSS STEIGENDER WELTAGRARPREISE AUF DIE WETTBEWERBSFAHIGKEIT DES ENERGIEMAISANBAUS IN DEUTSCHLAND (German) AgEcon
Gomann, Horst; Kreins, Peter; Breuer, Thomas.
Nicht zuletzt aufgrund der weltweit stark zunehmenden Nachfrage nach landwirtschaftlichen Rohstoffen zur Biokraftstoffherstellung wird mit einem starken Anstieg der Getreide- und Ölsaatenpreise gerechnet. In diesem Beitrag wurden die Auswirkungen steigender Getreidepreise auf die boomende Biogaserzeugung auf Basis Nachwachsender Rohstoffe in Deutschland mit Hilfe des regionalen Agrarsektormodells RAUMIS untersucht. Bei einem erwarteten Getreidepreisanstieg um 24 % geht die Gärsubstratproduktion gegenüber einer Referenzsituation, in der etwa 1,3 Mio. ha Energiemais angebaut werden, um rund 21 % zurück. Um eine gleich bleibende Gärsubstraterzeugung sicherzustellen, sind von Biogasanlagenbetreibern ca. 12 % höhere Auszahlungspreise für Energiemais zu zahlen....
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz - EEG; Energiemais; Agrarsektormodell; Landnutzung.; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7587
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Auswirkungen einer Entkopplung von Ausgleichszahlungen auf den EU-Getreidemarkt AgEcon
Gomann, Horst.
The proposals for reforming the Common Agricultural Policy within the Mid Term Review of the European Commission fueled the discussion about the future of direct payments to farmers. The EU Commission recommends a decoupling of animal and area payments from the production by granting these direct payments as a payment claim per hectare of eligible farm land. However, introducing area tied payments the intended shift of payments “from the produce to the producer” will not take place, but instead an increased transfer of payments to land owners seems likely. This study therefore analyses the impacts of changing the area payments for grand cultures into person-tied payments on the cereals market of the European Union. For the assessment of impacts homogenous...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Common Agricultural Policy; EU Cereal Market; Decoupling; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98267
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Approaches for assessing the impacts of the Rural Development Programmes in the context of multiple intervening factors AgEcon
Schuh, Bernhard; Lukesch, Robert; Michaelk, Jeane; Kaufmann, Peter; Pufahl, Andrea; Schiller, Simone; Koorberg, Pille; Beaufoy, Guy; Pinay, Gilles; Moran, Dominique; Gomann, Horst; Storti, Daniele; Rossi, Patrizia; Paracchini, Marie-Luise.
The Common Monitoring and Evaluation Framework (CMEF) provides a single framework for monitoring and evaluation of all EU Rural Development Programmes (RDP) in the current programming period (2007-2013). It provides continuity from previous periods and constitutes a significant simplification as regards assessment of results and impacts, while at the same time offering greater flexibility to Member States. The European Evaluation Network for Rural Development has published a Working Paper on Approaches for assessing the impacts of the Rural Development Programmes in the context of multiple intervening factors. The aim of the Working Paper is to inspire and to encourage programme evaluators, not to restrict or constrain them. From a methodological...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Assessment of impacts; Rural Development Programmes; Policy evaluation; EU policy; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99365
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Health Check der EU-Agrarpolitik - Auswirkungen der Beschlüsse AgEcon
Gomann, Horst; Kleinhanss, Werner; Kreins, Peter; Ledebur, Oliver von; Offermann, Frank; Osterburg, Bernhard; Salamon, Petra.
Zusammenfassung: Der Agrarministerrat hat im November 2008 zum Health Check (HC) der Gemeinsamen Agrarpolitik (GAP) eine politische Einigung erzielt. Das Ziel der Studie im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz ist es, aufbauend auf einer Wirkungsanalyse der Kommissionsvorschläge zum HC, die Konsequenzen der HC-Beschlüsse mit Hilfe des Modellverbundes der vTI-Agrarökonomie sowie mit einer statistischen Auswertung des EU-Testbetriebsnetzes (FADN) im Vergleich zu einer Referenzsituation im Zieljahr 2015 zu untersuchen. In der Referenzsituation wird eine langfristig positive Entwicklung im Agrarbereich unterstellt. Vor diesem Hintergrund wird in Deutschland nach den Modellergebnissen die Milcherzeugung nach...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Health Check; Gemeinsame Agrarpolitik; Modellgestützte Politikfolgenabschätzung; Common Agricultural Policy; Model-based impact analyses; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q12; Q15; Q18.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102726
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Deutschland – Energie-Corn-Belt Europas? AgEcon
Gomann, Horst; Kreins, Peter; Breuer, Thomas.
The amendment of the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) in 2004 has established an attractive support of using renewable resources for energy production, which since then has fuelled a rapid expansion of the competitive cropping of energy maize. The regionalised agricultural sector model RAUMIS was applied to calculate expected energy maize production as well as impacts on agricultural land use, production and income. Accordingly, the energy maize acreage rises up to about 1.8 mill hectares in the long run leading to substantial land use changes. The produced energy maize for biogas and power generation respectively is sufficient to provide circa 9% of the current German total electricity generation. In regard to the costs for the current consumer which...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Renewable Energy Sources Act; Biomass; Energy maize; Agricultural sector model; Land-use; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Land Economics/Use.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/96751
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Health Check der EU-Agrarpolitik - Auswirkungen der Legislativvorschläge AgEcon
Gomann, Horst; Heiden, Michael; Kleinhanss, Werner; Kreins, Peter; Ledebur, Oliver von; Offermann, Frank; Osterburg, Bernhard; Salamon, Petra.
Zusammenfassung: Die Europäische Kommission hat Mitte Mai 2008 Legislativvorschläge zum Health Check (HC) der Gemeinsamen Agrarpolitik (GAP) vorgelegt. Das Ziel der durchgeführten Studie im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz ist es, die Wirkungen der HC-Vorschläge mit Hilfe des Modellverbundes der vTI-Agrarökonomie sowie mit einer statistischen Auswertung des EU-Testbetriebsnetzes (FADN) zu analysieren. Die Auswirkungen der HC-Vorschläge wurden in einer komparativ-statischen Betrachtung gegenüber einem Referenzszenario im Zieljahr 2015 analysiert. Nach den Modellberechnungen wird die Milcherzeugung in Deutschland nach Auslaufen der Quotenregelung um 6 % ausgedehnt. Dies impliziert ein Absinken des...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Health Check; Gemeinsame Agrarpolitik; Modellgestützte Politikfolgenabschätzung; Common Agricultural Policy; Model-based impact analyses; Agricultural and Food Policy; Q12; Q15; Q18.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102725
Registros recuperados: 8
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