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Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Cabrini, Silvina M.; Stark, Brian G.; Shi, Wei; Webber, Rick L.; Hagedorn, Lewis A.; Williams, Steven L.. |
This report presents marketing profiles and loan deficiency payment/marketing loan gain profiles for the advisory services followed by the AgMAS Project for the 1995 through 2000 corn crops. Marketing profiles are constructed by plotting the cumulative net amount priced under each program's set of recommendations throughout a crop year. Loan deficiency payment/marketing loan gain (LDP/MLG) profiles are constructed by plotting the cumulative percentage of the crop on which the LDP/MLG was claimed during the crop year. Marketing profiles provide information to evaluate the style of advisory services in several ways. The percentage of crop priced is a measure of within-crop year price risk. The higher the proportion of a crop priced, the lower the... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Marketing. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14776 |
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Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes; Hagedorn, Lewis A.. |
The purpose of this research report is to summarize the pricing performance of professional market advisory services for the 1995-2003 corn and soybean crops. First, advisory programs in corn do not consistently beat market benchmarks, but tend to consistently beat the farmer benchmark. Second, advisory programs in soybeans exhibit just the opposite pattern, consistently beating the market benchmarks but not the farmer benchmark. Third, in terms of 50/50 revenue, advisory programs show marginal consistency in beating both the market benchmarks and the farmer benchmark. So, the results provide mixed performance evidence with respect to both the market benchmarks and the farmer benchmark. |
Tipo: Report |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37486 |
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Shi, Wei; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Hagedorn, Lewis A.. |
The cost of forward contracting corn is estimated with weekly pre-harvest forward bases for seven regions of Illinois from 1975 to 2002. Given the panel structure of the forward basis dataset, we extend Townsend and Brorsen's univariate unit root model for forward bases to a panel unit root model. With the time series of forward bases modeled as unit root processes, the cost of forward contracting is estimated. The empirical results from the estimation show that the cost of forward contracting corn is about 1¢/bushel, one hundred days before the harvest, for all regions in Illinois as a whole. The results also indicates that the cost could vary across regions and that the cost of forward contracting could be substantially higher than that of futures... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Marketing. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20409 |
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Hagedorn, Lewis A.; Irwin, Scott H.; Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes; Good, Darrel L.; Sherrick, Bruce J.; Schnitkey, Gary D.. |
The purpose of this research report is to summarize the features of several types of "new generation" grain marketing contracts. Over the last several years, new types of grain marketing contracts have been developed by the grain industry in an attempt to improve the results of the marketing process for farmers. These products use automated pricing rules, discretionary marketing on the part of a professional advisor, options strategies, or some combination of all three; their goal is to achieve a price for the farmer near or above the "average" price offered by the market over a given time. Reports in the farm media suggest interest in new generation contracts has increased rapidly in recent years. This publication describes some of the contracts... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14782 |
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Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Cabrini, Silvina M.; Stark, Brian G.; Shi, Wei; Webber, Rick L.; Hagedorn, Lewis A.; Williams, Steven L.. |
This report presents marketing profiles and loan deficiency payment/marketing loan gain profiles for the advisory services followed by the AgMAS Project for the 1995 through 2000 soybean crops. Marketing profiles are constructed by plotting the cumulative net amount priced under each program's set of recommendations throughout a crop year. Loan deficiency payment/marketing loan gain (LDP/MLG) profiles are constructed by plotting the cumulative percentage of the crop on which the LDP/MLG was claimed during the crop year. Marketing profiles provide information to evaluate the style of advisory services in several ways. The percentage of crop priced is a measure of within-crop year price risk. The higher the proportion of a crop priced, the lower the... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Marketing. |
Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14791 |
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Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H.; Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes; Hagedorn, Lewis A.. |
The purpose of this research report is to evaluate the pricing performance of market advisory services for the 1995-2003 corn and soybean crops. Four basic indicators of performance are applied to advisory program prices and revenues over 1995-2003. Test results provide little evidence that advisory programs as a group outperform market benchmarks, particularly after considering risk. The evidence is somewhat more positive with respect to the farmer benchmark, even after taking risk into account. For example, the average advisory return relative to the farmer benchmark is $7 per acre with only a negligible increase in risk. While this return is small it nonetheless represents a non-trivial increase in net farm income per acre for grain farms in... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Marketing. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14775 |
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Hagedorn, Lewis A.; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.. |
Marketing is viewed as an important component of the farm management process, and poor marketing is often cited as a cause of low farm incomes. However, widespread beliefs about poor performance are not based upon a large body of research, and available evidence is too limited to make definitive conclusions about farmer marketing abilities. This paper examines the actual marketing performance of corn and soybean producers in Illinois. Farmer marketing data is based on the USDA's "Average Producer Price Received" over the period 1975-2002. Marketing performance is assessed using 20- and 24-month average price market benchmarks. A comparison of farmer prices received to the price range for each crop year reveals that in the majority of years producers market... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries; Marketing. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19029 |
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