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Projected decreases in future marine export production: the role of the carbon flux through the upper ocean ecosystem ArchiMer
Laufkotter, Charlotte; Vogt, Meike; Gruber, Nicolas; Aumont, Olivier; Bopp, Laurent; Doney, Scott C.; Dunne, John P.; Hauck, Judith; John, Jasmin G.; Lima, Ivan D.; Seferian, Roland; Volker, Christoph.
Accurate projections of marine particle export production (EP) are crucial for predicting the response of the marine carbon cycle to climate change, yet models show a wide range in both global EP and their responses to climate change. This is, in part, due to EP being the net result of a series of processes, starting with net primary production (NPP) in the sunlit upper ocean, followed by the formation of particulate organic matter and the subsequent sinking and remineralisation of these particles, with each of these processes responding differently to changes in environmental conditions. Here, we compare future projections in EP over the 21st century, generated by four marine ecosystem models under the high emission scenario Representative Concentration...
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Ano: 2016 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00600/71205/69576.pdf
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Decadal trends in the ocean carbon sink ArchiMer
Devries, Tim; Le Quere, Corinne; Andrews, Oliver; Berthet, Sarah; Hauck, Judith; Ilyina, Tatiana; Landschuetzer, Peter; Lenton, Andrew; Lima, Ivan D.; Nowicki, Michael; Schwinger, Jorg; Seferian, Roland.
Measurements show large decadal variability in the rate of CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere that is not driven by CO2 emissions. The decade of the 1990s experienced enhanced carbon accumulation in the atmosphere relative to emissions, while in the 2000s, the atmospheric growth rate slowed, even though emissions grew rapidly. These variations are driven by natural sources and sinks of CO2 due to the ocean and the terrestrial biosphere. In this study, we compare three independent methods for estimating oceanic CO2 uptake and find that the ocean carbon sink could be responsible for up to 40% of the observed decadal variability in atmospheric CO2 accumulation. Data-based estimates of the ocean carbon sink from pCO(2) mapping methods and decadal ocean inverse...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Carbon dioxide; Ocean carbon sink; Terrestrial carbon sink; Climate variability; Carbon budget.
Ano: 2019 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00675/78728/80983.pdf
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