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ECONOMICS OF POULTRY LITTER UTILIZATION AND OPTIMAL ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY FOR PHOSPHORUS DISPOSAL IN GEORGIA AgEcon
Paudel, Krishna P.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
Poultry litter can be used as plant nutrients or cattle feed. Both of these alternatives may increase phosphorus concentration in the nearby watershed. Use of phosphorus consistent litter application rule in nutrient management combined with permit system has potential to curtail the over production of litter and prevent the possible contamination of water.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Environmental Economics and Policy; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23813
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RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS ESTIMATION OF GEORGIA SOYBEAN ACREAGE RESPONSE AgEcon
Ahouissoussi, Nicolas B.C.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
The general method of moments procedure is used for estimating a soybean acreage response function assuming the producers hold rational expectations. Results indicate that soybean, corn, and wheat futures prices, lagged acreage, and government programs are significant factors for determining soybean plantings. Implications of the results are that crop acreage selection by Georgia producers is not very responsive to demand shocks. Thus, producers in other regions are more likely to absorb impacts from these shocks on crop acreage selection.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Soybeans; GMM; Elasticities; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1995 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15270
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NONCONSTANT PRICE EXPECTATIONS AND ACREAGE RESPONSE: THE CASE OF COTTON PRODUCTION IN GEORGIA AgEcon
Parrott, Scott D.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
An adaptive regression model is used to examine the relative importance of cash and government support prices in determining cotton production over time. The results show that the cash price is more important as a source of price information for cotton producers than the government program price. The cash price was shown to have a greater influence on acreage response in every year, including periods thought to be dominated by government commodity programs.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adaptive regression; Cotton acreage response; Price expectations; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1996 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15235
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MULTIPRODUCT PRODUCTION CHOICES AND POLICY RESPONSE AgEcon
McIntosh, Christopher S.; Shumway, C. Richard.
A restricted profit function model of California agriculture is specified and estimated subject to prior information provided by economic theory. Symmetry, homogeneity, and convexity of the profit function are maintained in the estimation. Parameter estimates and elasticities are presented for four input and 10 output equations. Tests of the hypotheses of nonjointness in inputs and Hicks-neutral technical change in variable inputs and outputs are rejected. The impacts of decoupling agricultural program payments are examined.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 1991 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32610
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A STUDY ON SUBSTITUTION AND SEQUENCING EFFECTS USING CHECK-OFF MECHANISM AgEcon
Rudra, Bidisha; Keeler, Andrew G.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
Voluntary donations to non-game species protection through state income tax checkoffs are analyzed. An analogy between the contingent valuation method and check-off scheme is drawn by observing the existence of agenda effects in the latter. Results reveal that substitution and sequencing effects exist between species protection and other public goods.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Check-offs; Contingent Valuation; Substitution Effects; Sequencing Effects; Public Economics; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21688
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NUMERAIRE CHOICE IN AGRICULTURAL SUPPLY ANALYSIS AgEcon
Paudel, Krishna P.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
Economic theory provides little guidance for selecting a numeraire in estimating dual function profit functions. In this study, we examine the choice of numeraire price (equation) for profit function models of Iowa agriculture. The choice of numeraire is evaluated by forecasting accuracy and with a non-nested specification test.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20962
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AGRICULTURAL, AGRIBUSINESS, AND INTERNATIONAL MARKETING COURSES IN UNDERGRADUATE CURRICULA: ISSUES AND IDEAS AgEcon
Wysocki, Allen F.; Fairchild, Gary F.; Weldon, Richard N.; Biere, Arlo W.; Fulton, Joan R.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
Agricultural marketing courses cover a broad spectrum of topics and issues. Undergraduate committees, program coordinators, and marketing-oriented faculty struggle with the appropriate number and content of marketing course offerings. Curricula issues are discussed from the perspectives of three agricultural economics departments. Size, expertise, interests, and pedagogic philosophy assist in determining the number, mix, and content of courses. Solving these problems includes modulization and increasing depth or breadth, to reflect the changing marketing system and student needs. Educators must continually look outward at the changing food system and inward to their marketing curriculum to assess needs and implement changes as they are warranted.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness curricula; Agricultural marketing; Marketing courses; Marketing curricula; Teaching/Communication/Extension/Profession.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14670
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The Potential Impact of Nutrient Management Legislation on the U.S. Broiler Industry AgEcon
McIntosh, Christopher S.; Park, Timothy A.; Karnum, Chandrasekar.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35899
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ECONOMIC CRITERIA FOR EVALUATING COMMODITY PRICE FORECASTS AgEcon
Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
Forecasts of economic time series are often evaluated according to their accuracy as measured by either quantitative precision or qualitative reliability. We argue that consumers purchase forecasts for the potential utility gains from utilizing them, not for their accuracy. Using Monte Carlo techniques to incorporate the temporal heteroskedasticity inherent in asset returns, the expected utility of a set of qualitative forecasts is simulated for corn and soybean futures prices. Monetary values for forecasts of various reliability levels are derived. The method goes beyond statistical forecast evaluation, allowing individuals to incorporate their own utility function and trading system into valuing a set of asset price forecasts.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Commodity prices; Forecast evaluation; Value of information; Consumer/Household Economics.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15060
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MULTIPRODUCT PRODUCTION CHOICES AND PESTICIDE REGULATION IN GEORGIA AgEcon
McIntosh, Christopher S.; Williams, Albert A..
An increasing emphasis on surface and groundwater quality and food safety may result in some form of pesticide regulations. A restricted profit function model of Georgia agriculture is used to examine the short-run effects of 2 and 5 percent reductions in all pesticides. Point estimates of short-run impacts, along with their 90 percent confidence intervals are presented.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 1992 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30358
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The Impact of Coordination of Production and Marketing Strategies on Price Behavior: Evidence from the Idaho Potato Industry AgEcon
Bolotova, Yuliya; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Muthusamy, Kalamani; Patterson, Paul E..
High potato price volatility, decreasing demand for fresh potatoes and prices below the cost of production led to a decision of a number of Idaho potato growers to organize the United Fresh Potato Growers of Idaho, a marketing cooperative. The programs and strategies of the cooperative target both the production and marketing of fresh potatoes in Idaho. To evaluate the effectiveness of the programs implemented by the cooperative, we examine the level and volatility of fresh potato prices during two periods: before the cooperative was organized and when the cooperative is in the market. We find empirical evidence suggesting that fresh potato prices were higher and less volatile during the period when the cooperative was in the market.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural markets; Cooperative; Price volatility; Potato industry; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing; Q10; Q11; Q13.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53648
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LEADING INDICATORS FOR REGIONAL COTTON RESPONSE: STRUCTURAL AND TIME SERIES MODELING RESULTS AgEcon
Stavriotis, Paul A.; Houston, Jack E.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Turner, Steven C..
Resurging southeastern cotton production compels better cotton acreage forecasts for planning seed, chemical, and other input requirements. Structural models describe leading acreage response indicators, and forecasts are compared time-series models. Cotton price, loan rate, deficiency payments, lagged corn acreage, the PIK program, and previous cotton yield significantly influence response.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16717
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THE EFFECT OF GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS ON ACREAGE RESPONSE OVER TIME: THE CASE OF CORN PRODUCTION IN IOWA AgEcon
McIntosh, Christopher S.; Shideed, Kamil H..
Corn acreage response in Iowa is examined using a time-varying parameter regression model. Separate estimates of the permanent portion of the parameter vector are obtained for each year over the period 1957-82. The estimated elasticities are grouped into “program” and “nonprogram” periods. The results indicate corn acreage response is more own-price elastics, and the elasticity is less variable under government acreage control programs than under a “nonprogram” regime. The assumption of parameter constancy is shown to be inappropriate for modeling Iowa corn acreage response over time.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1989 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32462
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PUTTING THE "ECON" INTO ECONOMETRICS AgEcon
Dorfman, Jeffrey H.; McIntosh, Christopher S..
Should econometricians always incorporate economic theory in their models or only when unrestricted estimators are found to violate an inviolable theory? Using Monte Carlo experiments, we find that econometricians should use economic theory to the fullest extent possible. To paraphrase Leamer's classic article, we should put the "econ" into econometrics.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1998 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/20874
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GEORGIA COTTON ACREAGE RESPONSE TO THE BOLL WEEVIL ERADICATION PROGRAM AgEcon
Tribble, Camille M.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Wetzstein, Michael E..
An adaptive regression model is employed for estimating pre-and post-boll weevil eradication cotton-acreage response. Results indicate cotton acreage becoming more inelastic to own- and cross-price changes. As a result of this shift in acreage response and yield increases from eradication, net producer benefits on average are $88.73 per acre.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Adaptive regression; Pest eradication; Producer surplus; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15151
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FORECASTING AGRICULTURAL PRICES USING A BAYESIAN COMPOSITE APPROACH AgEcon
McIntosh, Christopher S.; Bessler, David A..
Forecast users and market analysts need quality forecast information to improve their decision-making abilities. When more than one forecast is available, the analyst can improve forecast accuracy by using a composite forecast. One of several approaches to forming composite forecasts is a Bayesian approach using matrix beta priors. This paper explains the matrix beta approach and applies it to three individual forecasts of U.S. hog prices. The Bayesian composite forecast is evaluated relative to composites made from simple averages, restricted least squares, and an adaptive weighting technique.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1988 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/29269
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The Effects of a Pesticide Tax on Agricultural Production and Profits AgEcon
Chen, Pei-Chi; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Epperson, James E..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Financial Economics.
Ano: 1994 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90643
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Monitoring Inefficiency in Public Education AgEcon
Saito, Yoshie; McIntosh, Christopher S..
The efficiency of public education is examined using a cost indirect output distance function. Efficiency estimates are obtained using data envelopment analysis applied to data from Georgia public schools. Georgia school districts utilize educational budgets with reasonable efficiency, achieving an overall efficiency of 98% with a range of 93%-100%. If all school districts were 100% efficient, outputs could be expanded 2%. This could be achieved by increasing funding $75.46 million state-wide in total for each of the 3 years. From the consumers’ (voters) point of view, this result suggests that inefficiency costs Georgia, on average, a total of $226.38 million from 1994 to 1996.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Cost-indirect output distance function; Data envelopment analysis; Education; Efficiency; H72; I21; I28; C60.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43197
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LEADING INDICATORS OF REGIONAL COTTON ACREAGE RESPONSE: STRUCTURAL AND TIME SERIES MODELING RESULTS AgEcon
Houston, Jack E.; McIntosh, Christopher S.; Stavriotis, Paul A.; Turner, Steven C..
Resurgent cotton production compels better acreage forecasts for planning seed, chemical, and other input requirements. Structural models describe leading acreage response indicators, and forecasts are compared to time-series models. Cotton price, loan rate, deficiency payments, lagged corn acreage, the PIK program, and previous cotton yield significantly influence cotton acreage response.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Resurgent cotton production; Cotton acreage; Crop Production/Industries.
Ano: 1999 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15147
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Controlling Potato Supply and Price Volatility – Does It Work? Empirical Evidence from Idaho AgEcon
McIntosh, Christopher S.; Bolotova, Yuliya; Patterson, Paul E.; Muthusamy, Kalamani.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Idaho; Potato Industry; Price and Variance Analysis; Agribusiness; Demand and Price Analysis; Industrial Organization; Marketing.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37767
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