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| Men, Ke-pei; Zhu, Shu-dan; Zhao, Kai. |
| According to the latest revised agricultural economic statistical data in China Statistical Yearbook-2010, by selecting and establishing the square root-treated grey model, the empirical analysis and forecast research on the grain output of China from 201 1 to 2015 are conducted. The results show that me grain output of China in 2011 will reach 557.739 million tons, and it will break through 600 million tons at 605.617 million tons in 2015. The persistent and stable grain output will ensure that the national economy develops in normal during the twelfth five-year plan period and remit the world grain crisis efficiently; meanwhile, the problem of exorbitant grain prices should be remitted in some level. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: China grain production; Square root-treated grey model; Forecast; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/117254 |
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| Men, Ke-pei; Tang, Sha-sha. |
| Based on correct understanding of the connotation and essence of agricultural modernization, according to the data in 2008 China Statistical Yearbook and the relevant literatures about eastern China, a total of 12 indices are selected to construct the evaluation index system of agricultural modernization in eastern China by combining with its social development and following the principles of systematization, comprehensiveness, representativeness, legitimacy and comparability. Then, according to the decision-making rules of modern science, 3 alternatives are put forward and max compatibility degree method is used to generate the optimization solution. Result shows that agricultural modernization in eastern China can be classified into three types. The... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural modernization; Entropy method; TOPSIS method; Max compatibility degree method; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93545 |
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| Men, Ke-pei; Zhao, Kai. |
| In order to analyze the relation between agricultural input factors and economic growth in Anhui Province, the evaluation index system of agricultural input is built from the perspectives of subject, object and tools based on grey system theory. The government investment in agricultural science and technology is selected as the index of labor subject, that is labor-related index（X1）, the total sown area of crops is selected as the index of labor object（X2）, the investment in rural water and electricity construction is chosen as the index of tools（X3）, and the GDP of Anhui Province is denoted by X0. According to the relevant data, the improved model of grey correlation analysis is adopted to calculate the correlation among the investment in agricultural... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Anhui Province; Agricultural input factors; Grey correlation; GDP; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93664 |
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| Men, Ke-pei; Zhao, Kai. |
| According to the latest amended agricultural economic statistical data from 1996 to 2009 in Henan Statistical Yearbook-2010，by selecting and establishing the optimized grey model of logarithmic new developed coefficient, we conduct the empirical analysis and forecast research on the grain output and the relevant main economic indices in Henan Province from 2010 to 2015. The results show that the grain output of Henan Province in 2010 will reach 54.8969 million tons, and it will break through 60 million tons at 60.17 million tons in 2015. In years ahead, the grain output of Henan Province will develops to a new stage steadily, which guarantees the national grain supply and socio-economic sustainable development forcibly. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Henan Province; Grain production; Grey model of LNDC; Forecast; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108398 |
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| Xian, Li-hua; Men, Ke-pei; Zhang, Na. |
| Based on the brief description of the developmental status of social economy in Jiangsu Province, the index system including 16 indices contained in 5 subsystems is established according to the statistics from Jiangsu Statistical Yearbook-2009, the practical situation of Jiangsu Province and the connotation of circular economy. The developmental trends of circular economy of 13 prefecture-level cities in Jiangsu Province is comprehensively evaluated by using the improved extreme value treatment, analytic hierarchy process(AHP), comprehensive evaluation of herdsman and comprehensive evaluation model of grey multi-level. The results show that the developmental level of circular economy in Jiangsu Province varies hugely in different areas, the difference of... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Jiangsu Province; Recycling economy; AHP; Comprehensive evaluation; China; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/113417 |
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