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| Moss, Joan E.; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Zhang, Lichun; Patton, Myles; Kim, In Seck. |
| Successive Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) reforms and trade liberalisation have led to a more market-orientated European agricultural sector, with EU commodity prices now more closely linked to world prices. As a consequence EU prices have become more volatile. Greater price volatility increases uncertainty and raises fresh challenges for projections of policy impacts in the EU. To take account of world price volatility stochastic modelling has been applied to the FAPRI-EU partial equilibrium model, which includes a UK modelling system. Stochastic modelling provides a means to capture some of the inherent uncertainty associated with agricultural production systems. By varying assumptions about certain exogenous variables, stochastic models can be used to... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural policy; Stochastic modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/108771 |
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| McErlean, Seamus; Wu, Ziping; Moss, Joan E.; IJpelaar, Jos; Doherty, Andrew. |
| In the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture, so-called ‘blue box’ support measures were exempted from reduction commitments, provided they were delivered under ‘production-limiting’ programs. Although classified as ‘blue box’, the EU system of direct payments (DP) to beef farmers imposes ‘claim-limiting’ restrictions rather than ‘production-limiting’ restrictions, allowing farmers to keep additional animals over and above the number upon which they are eligible to claim DP. The present paper provides empirical evidence that EU direct payments capitalise into the market prices of male calves and young steers in Ireland. It is also likely that DP capitalises into the prices of beef cows and heifers. Given this capitalisation process, some farmers can... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2003 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116173 |
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| Patton, Myles; Binfield, Julian C.R.; Moss, Joan E.; Kostov, Philip; Zhang, Lichun; Davis, John; Westhoff, Patrick C.. |
| In recent years the CAP has undergone significant reforms, but the dairy sector has largely avoided wholesale changes. The sector, however, is now faced with a significant effort by the Commission to instigate reform. In this study the FAPRI-UK modelling system is simulated to identify the impact of abolishing or phasing out EU milk quotas on the dairy sector in the UK and the results are compared against a 2007 Baseline projection (2007--2016). The results demonstrate that although the impact of the abolition of dairy quotas is fairly modest at the EU-25 level, significant impacts are apparent at the individual country level. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Milk Quotas; CAP Reform; Commodity Modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2008 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6650 |
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