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Sitas, Nadia; Harmáčková, Zuzana V.; Anticamara, Jonathan A.; Arneth, Almut; Badola, Ruchi; Biggs, Reinette; Blanchard, Ryan; Brotons, Lluis; Cantele, Matthew; Coetzer, Kaera; Dasgupta, Rajarshi; Den Belder, Eefje; Ghosh, Sonali; Guisan, Antoine; Gundimeda, Haripriya; Hamann, Meike; Harrison, Paula A.; Hashimoto, Shizuka; Hauck, Jennifer; Klatt, Brian J.; Kok, Kasper; Krug, Rainer M.; Niamir, Aidin; O'Farrell, Patrick J.; Okayasu, Sana; Palomo, Ignacio; Pereira, Laura M.; Riordan, Philip; Santos-martín, Fernando; Selomane, Odirilwe; Shin, Yunne-jai; Valle, Mireia. |
Scenario analyses have been used in multiple science-policy assessments to better understand complex plausible futures. Scenario archetype approaches are based on the fact that many future scenarios have similar underlying storylines, assumptions, and trends in drivers of change, which allows for grouping of scenarios into typologies, or archetypes, facilitating comparisons between a large range of studies. The use of scenario archetypes in environmental assessments foregrounds important policy questions and can be used to codesign interventions tackling future sustainability issues. Recently, scenario archetypes were used in four regional assessments and one ongoing global assessment within the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform for Biodiversity... |
Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Assessment; Biodiversity; Decision making; Ecosystem services; Futures; Nature; Regional; Scenarios. |
Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00516/62748/67140.pdf |
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Okayasu, Sana; Schoolenberg, Machteld; Alkemade, Rob; Den Belder, Eefje; Pereira, Henrique; Lundquist, Carolyn; Cheung, William; Rondinini, Carlo; Halouani, Ghassen; Hyejin, Kim; Miller, Brian; Hirsch, Tim; Abbasov, Rovshan; Arneth, Almut; Diaw, Mariteuw Chimè; Eddy, Tyler; Harfoot, Michael; Hasegawa, Tomoko; Hickler, Thomas; Hill, Samantha; Humpenöder, Florian; Johnson, Justin; Kok, Marcel; Leadley, Paul; Leclere, David; Navarro, Laetitia; Ohashi, Haruka; Peterson, Garry; Schipper, Aafke; Shin, Yunne-jai; Stehfest, Elke; Visconti, Piero; Van Vuuren, Detlef. |
A three-day workshop on ‘Global Modelling of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services’, was held in the Hague, Netherlands, from 24th to 26th June 2019. The workshop, attended by 35 modelling and scenario-building experts, was organised on behalf of the former IPBES1expert group on scenarios and models of the first IPBES work programme by its interim technical support unit, and hosted by the PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. The workshop drew on the ‘nature futures’ participatory scenario-building exercise initiated by the IPBES expert group on scenarios and models, and other biodiversity modelling initiatives such as the ISIMIP project2 working on adding biodiversity to the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios framework, the 'bending... |
Tipo: Text |
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Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00663/77481/79211.pdf |
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