| In October 2019, AllEnvi [the French National Alliance for Environmental Research] published the findings of a foresight study on the environmental, social and economic consequences of rising sea levels — one of the direct manifestations of climate change — in the years to 2100 and the way we might anticipate these consequences and prepare for them. That exercise, based on the scenario-building method, enabled eight general scenarios and three territorial focuses to be developed. Denis Lacroix and Nicolas Rocle outline its main lessons here. After first going into the framing, methodology and context involved, they present the scenarios in three family groups (‘Coastal adaptation’, ‘Denial’ and ‘Fragmented World’), together with the territorial focuses... |
