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Schmitz, Christoph; Lotze-Campen, Hermann. |
Like agricultural trade, deforestation has increased tremendously throughout the past five decades. We analyse the linkage between both factors by applying trade and forest policy scenarios to the global land-use model MAgPIE ("Model of Agricultural Production and its Impact on the Environment"). The model predicts global landuse patterns in a spatially explicit way and uses endogenously derived technological change and land expansion rates. Our study is the first which combines global trade analysis with a spatially explicit mapping of deforestation. By implementing self-sufficiency rates in the regional demand and supply equations, we are able to simulate different trade settings. Our baseline scenario fixes current trade patterns until the year 2045.... |
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy. |
Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115993 |