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| Silva, Roberta Bessa Veloso; Ferreira, Daniel Furtado; Safadi, Thelma. |
| This piece of work was carried out objectifying to adjust the time series models to the series of price indexes for the consumer ( PIC ) of Lavras MG. It aimed at verifying the occurrence of differences in trend as for the period which preceeded, as well as for the one which succeeded the Plano Real, and if there was a simple linear trend along with Plano Real ( 1994-1999 ) as well as if any seasonality occurred. It also objectified to comparing the series of both Lavras and the Federal District. It was verified that there was no trend along the whole series, nor there was any seasonality, notwithstanding the fact that a level change occurred, which was characterized as an intervention, rather than a trend. It was necessary to fit a model featuring an... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Price index to the consumer; Trend; Seasonality; Forecast. |
| Ano: 2000 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43355 |
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