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Gautier, Pascal; Soubeyran, Raphael. |
We propose a two dimensional infinite horizon model of public consumption in which investments are decided by a winner-take-all election. Investments in the two public goods create a linkage across periods and parties have different specialities. We show that the incumbent party vote share decreases the longer it stays in power. Parties chances of winning do not converge and, when the median voter is moderate enough, no party can maintain itself in power for ever. Finally, the more parties are specialized and the more public policies have long-term effects, the more political cycles are likely to occur. |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Political Economy. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12194 |
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Soubeyran, Raphael. |
Does a disadvantaged candidate always choose an extremist program? When does a less competent candidate have an incentive to move to extreme positions in order to differentiate himself from the more competent candidate? If the answer to these questions were positive, as suggested in recent work (Ansolabehere and Snyder (2000), Aragones and Palfrey (2002), Groseclose (1999), and Aragones and Palfrey (2003)), this would mean that extremist candidates are bad politicians. We consider a two candidates electoral competition over public consumption, with a two dimensional policy space and two dimensions of candidates heterogeneity. In this setting, we show that the conclusion depends on candidates relative competences over the two public goods and distinguish... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Political Economy. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12191 |
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Soubeyran, Raphael. |
We present a general model of two players contest with two types of efforts. Contrary to the classical models of contest, where each player chooses a unique effort, and where the outcome depends on the efforts of all the players, contestants are allowed to reduce the effort of the opponent. Defence increases ones chance of winning while attack annihilates the defence of the opponent. This model has many applications like political campaigning, wars, competition among lobbies, job promotion competitions, or sport contests. We study the general model of contest with attacks and defence and propose an application to negative political campaigns, where two candidates arbitrate between disparaging their opponent or enhancing their own image. We propose... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Political Economy. |
Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12199 |
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Soubeyran, Raphael. |
We propose a simple infinite horizon of repeated elections with two candidates. Furthermore we suppose that the government policy presents some degree of inertia, i.e. a new government cannot completely change the policy implemented by the incumbent. When the policy inertia is strong enough, no party can win the election a consecutive infinite number of times. |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Political Economy. |
Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/12192 |
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