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Registros recuperados: 15 | |
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Nielsen, Chantal Pohl; Robinson, Sherman; Thierfelder, Karen. |
New advances in biotechnology have enhanced production of maize, soybeans, and cotton. Consumer reactions to the new technology have been mixed. Both the supply shock, from an increase in productivity or a reduction in input use, and the demand shock, which is determined by the consumer response to consuming GM foods, affect production, trade, and prices of GM foods. In this paper, we survey models that analyze the market effects of GM technology. The results depend on a number of important issues such as the cost of market segmentation and labeling, the nature of the productivity shock to producers of GM products, and the extent of any adverse reaction to GM products by consumers. The results from global trade models indicate that, if costs of labelling... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16317 |
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Burfisher, Mary E.; Robinson, Sherman; Thierfelder, Karen. |
In this paper, we review the debate on "new regionalism," focusing on the tools used to evaluate regional trade agreements (RTAs). We find that much analysis uses tools from old trade theory in the Viner-Meade tradition, focusing on trade creation, trade diversion, and terms-of-trade effects. These tools are adequate for the analysis of the effects of removing commodity trade barriers ("shallow" integration), but the comfortable Viner-Meade framework misses many of the impacts associated with new regionalism, which typically involves "deep integration," often between developing and developed countries. A framework for analyzing new regionalism should include dynamic changes such as trade-productivity links and endogenous growth theory, international factor... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Community/Rural/Urban Development. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16137 |
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Burfisher, Mary E.; Robinson, Sherman; Thierfelder, Karen. |
Much of the debate over whether or not developing countries gain from regional trade agreements (RTA’s) has focused on two characteristics that are common to developing countries: their relatively high tariffs and their high trade dependencies on one or a few developed trade partners. In this paper, we address a third common characteristic: their use of distorting domestic policies that are closely linked to trade restrictions. We argue that participation in an RTA can create pressures for domestic policy reforms. We analyze the case of a small country, Mexico, forming an RTA with two larger countries, the U.S. and Canada, in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). Mexico exhibits all three characteristics of a developing country: relatively high... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2000 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16295 |
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Lewis, Jeffrey D.; Robinson, Sherman; Thierfelder, Karen. |
Countries in Southern Africa have engaged in a variety of trade liberalization initiatives. For example, South Africa and the European Union (EU) negotiated a free trade agreement (FTA) in 1999. The EU unilaterally opened its markets to the least developing countries, which includes some of the countries in the region, in 2001 under its “Everything But Arms” (EBA) initiative. Although not formally established, countries in the region have discussed a SADC FTA. In this paper, we use a multi-country, computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze the impact of trade liberalization on countries, sectors, and factor. To focus on trade flows among countries in Southern Africa, the model includes seven countries in the region (South Africa, Botswana,... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16275 |
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McDonald, Scott; Thierfelder, Karen. |
This paper reports a method for converting versions 5 and 6 of the GTAP Data Base into a global SAM that is stored in both the GAMS data exchange (GDX) and Header Array (HAR) formats. The focus of attention is on the generation of a SAM representation of the GTAP Data Base that is fully consistent with the GTAP model; as such the resultant SAM can be readily used to calibrate a version of the GTAP model that had been coded in GAMS. The GAMS code used to generate the SAM representation of the GTAP Data Base is provided as a GAMS model library this code has been tested with versions 5.3, 5.4 and 6.0 (pre release 5) of the GTAP Data Base. |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28716 |
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Robinson, Sherman; Thierfelder, Karen. |
We surveyed the empirical literature using multi-country computable general equilibrium (CGE) models to analyse potential and actual regional trade agreements (RTAs). The studies indicate that these RTAs improve welfare, that trade creation greatly exceeds trade diversion, and that they are consistent with further global liberalisation. The welfare gains are bigger when models incorporate aspects of ‘‘new trade theory’’ such as increasing returns, imperfect competition, and links between trade liberalisation, total factor productivity growth, and capital accumulation. We also conjectured that an RTA expands market size and stability, allowing firms to pursue economies of fine specialisation, generating additional ‘‘Smithian’’ efficiency gains. |
Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/118597 |
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Nielsen, Chantal Pohl; Thierfelder, Karen; Robinson, Sherman. |
This paper analyzes price, production and trade consequences of changing consumer preferences regarding the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in food production. The analytical framework used is an empirical global general equilibrium model, in which the entire food processing chain – from primary crops through livestock feed to processed foods – is segregated into genetically modified (GM) and non-GM lines of production. This model is used to analyze the implications of widespread use of genetically engineered crops in some regions whilst consumers in Western Europe and High- income Asia adopt a critical attitude toward GM foods. Two different representations of consumer preference changes are illustrated: (1) a change in price sensitivity:... |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade; Research and Development/Tech Change/Emerging Technologies. |
Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16287 |
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Thierfelder, Karen; Robinson, Sherman. |
There is a continuing debate about whether international trade is responsible for the observed skilled-unskilled wage gap. In this paper we present a general equilibrium trade model with differentiated goods. We begin with an analytical model and show how changes in relative factor returns can be decomposed into changes in commodity prices, changes in the trade balance, and changes in the factor endowment Then we use a computable general equilibrium (CGE) trade model calibrated to the U.S. economy in 1982 to analyze the effects of these shocks, as well as technology changes, observed in the U.S. in the 1980's. |
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Labor and Human Capital; F11; F14; F15. |
Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/16280 |
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Registros recuperados: 15 | |
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