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Registros recuperados: 58
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An Internet-Based Tool for Weather Risk Management AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Norton, Michael T..
This paper introduces a web-based computer program designed to evaluate weather risk man-agement and weather insurance in the United States. The paper outlines the economics of weather risk in terms of agricultural production and household well-being; defines weather risk in terms of intensity, duration, and frequency; and illustrates the computer program use by comparing heat and precipitation risks at Ardmore, Oklahoma, and Ithaca, New York.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Weather insurance; Heat insurance; Precipitation insurance; Crop insurance; Weather derivatives; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44739
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Innovation and Entrepreneurship in Rural Communities: Early Business Survival Challenges for the Agribusiness Entrepreneur AgEcon
Escalante, Cesar L.; Turvey, Calum G..
Barriers and strategies for survival of agribusiness and non-agribusiness entrepreneurs during early business stages are analyzed under case-study approach. Results confirm qualitative differences in skill and execution deficiencies, market structure, and resource endowments. Moreover, agribusiness entrepreneurs tend to adopt different strategies to address similar barriers faced by non-agribusiness entrepreneurs.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Community/Rural/Urban Development.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35459
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CONCEPTUAL ISSUES IN LIVESTOCK INSURANCE AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18171
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An Economic Framework for Understanding Micro-Credit in Developing Countries AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Kong, Rong.
To reduce vulnerability and food insecurity this paper investigates the economics of micro-credit. We provide a model that shows how a micro-credit market based on trust can co-exist with a commercial collateral-based market. This model is developed in detail and certain propositions are supported using dominant strategies in a trust-honour game based on the prisoner’s dilemma. From a policy point of view the theoretical model indicates that trust-based lending, coupled with certain incentives, can go far in supporting growth opportunities in developing countries. It is argued that development policy should be flexible enough to permit trust-based micro-lending to the poor, regardless of how counter-intuitive this must appear to the conventional wisdom.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Financial Economics.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9929
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An Economic Analysis of the Potential Influence of Carbon Credits on Farm Management Practices AgEcon
Weersink, Alfons; Joseph, Stanley; Kay, Beverly D.; Turvey, Calum G..
The objective of the 1997 Kyoto agreement was to limit greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions among signatory countries and thereby slow global warming. Under the agreement, Canada has committed itself to reduce GHGs over the next decade by 6 percent from estimated 1990 levels. Debate has now begun on the appropriate government policies that will induce the desired GHG reductions. Regulations could be in the form of direct controls or economic incentives, such as a subsidy/tax system or an emission trading system. The success of the U.S. emission market for SO2 (Schmalenseeet al., 1998) has generated growing interest in the use of a similar market mechanism for carbon (Holmes and Friedman, 2000). The existence of a carbon credit market presents the agricultural...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/45728
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Fear, Trust and Agroterrorism AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G..
This paper presents results from a consumer survey on risk perceptions about agroterrorism and the safety of the US food supply. The survey conducted in the United States during the fall of 2004, provides insights into what consumers are thinking about terrorism against the food system, their knowledge base on food safety, the vulnerabilities of the food supply chain and food categories to terrorist contamination, and their trust in government and groceries to protect the food supply.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Institutional and Behavioral Economics.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7748
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How high is too high? Soaring Interest Rates and the Elasticity of Demand for Microcredit AgEcon
Salazar, Gabriela L.; Turvey, Calum G.; Bogan, Vicki; Cubero, Lourdes.
How high is too high? Soaring Interest Rates and the Elasticity of Demand for Microcredit
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Financial Economics.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61907
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The Confidence Limits of a Geometric Brownian Motion AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Power, Gabriel J..
This paper investigates whether the assumption of Brownian motion often used to describe commodity price movements is satisfied. Using historical data from 17 commodity futures contracts specific tests of fractional and ordinary Brownian motion are conducted. The analyses are conducted under the null hypothesis of ordinary Brownian motion against the alternative of persistent or ergodic fractional Brownian motion. Tests for fractional Brownian motion are based on a variance ratio test. However, standard errors based on Monte Carlo simulations are quite high, meaning that the acceptance region for the null hypothesis is large. The results indicate that for the most part, the null hypothesis of ordinary Brownian motion cannot be rejected for 14 of 17 series....
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/21239
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Commodity Linked Credit: A Risk Management Instrument for the Agrarians in India AgEcon
Shee, Apurba; Turvey, Calum G..
This research analyzes daily commodity spot prices and designs risk contingent structured financial instruments as a means to mitigate business and financial risk by reducing debt obligations depending on the embedded commodity options whose payoffs are linked with commodity price fluctuations. Models are developed for operating loans and farm mortgages. The results show that the distributions with the embedded option have higher probability of greater returns and the embedded option with the repayment contingent on the price fluctuation reduces the downside risk of the return from the investment.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural Finance; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/48139
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Whole Farm Income Insurance in a Canadian Context AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G..
This paper employs mean-variance and mean-skewness optimization to investigate farmers’ crop choices under Gross Revenue Insurance (GRIP), Whole Farm Income Insurance, the Canadian Agricultural Income Stabilization program, and its modified 2008 program AgrInvest. To our knowledge this paper is the first to fully consider the endogenous optimization of whole farm insurance in a farm optimization model. The results indicate that farmers will alter farm plans significantly in response to the type of insurance offered and the level of subsidy. Farmers will take on production risks that they would not otherwise take and this risk taking behavior is exacerbated by subsidy.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agricultural Insurance; Skewness Maximization; Mean-Variance; Farm Income Insurance; GRIP; CAIS; AgrInvest; Agricultural Finance.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/61732
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An Empirical Examination of the Relationship Between Real Options Values and the Rate of Investment AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Toole, Andrew A.; Kropp, Jaclyn D..
This paper examines the relationship between uncertainty and investment decisions by food and non-food firms. Using hysteresis and the real options paradigm, we review why uncertainty might cause firms to delay investment. In particular, our model looks for a negative relationship between capital invested and uncertainty. In the alternative, if the relationship is positive, this may be consistent with the exercise of growth options or competitive markets. Empirical results are mixed. In one of the four models we present there is clear evidence of hysteresis, that is a negative relationship between year over year investment and uncertainty. The remaining 3 models indicate the opposite, a positive relationship between investment and risk. Although the models...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Financial Economics.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6606
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Spurious Long Memory in Commodity Futures: Implications for Agribusiness Option Pricing AgEcon
Power, Gabriel J.; Turvey, Calum G..
Long memory, and more precisely fractionally integration, has been put forward as an explanation for the persistence of shocks in a number of economic time series data as well as to reconcile misleading findings of unit roots in data that should be stationary. Recent evidence suggests that long memory characterizes not commodity futures prices but rather price volatility (generally defined as $L_p$ norms of price logreturns). One implication of long memory in volatility is the mispricing of options written on commodity futures, the consequence of which is that fractional Brownian motion should replace geometric Brownian motion as the building block for option pricing solutions. This paper asks whether findings of long memory in volatility might be spurious...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Q13; Q14; Marketing; C52; C53; G12; G13.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9782
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Returns to the Jersey Fresh Promotional Program: The Impacts of Promotional Expenditures on Farm Cash Receipts in New Jersey AgEcon
Govindasamy, Ramu; Schilling, Brian J.; Sullivan, Kevin P.; Turvey, Calum G.; Brown, Logan; Puduri, Venkata S..
In 1984, the Jersey Fresh program was implemented by the New Jersey Department of Agriculture and was the first state-funded marketing campaign for agricultural products produced in New Jersey. In an effort to spur demand for New Jersey farm products, this program was designed to increase consumer awareness of the state’s agricultural products as well as to encourage food retailers to promote Jersey Fresh products. With funding from the USDA’s Federal-State Marketing Improvement Program, the New Jersey Department of Agriculture commissioned this study to determine the impact of Jersey Fresh promotion on farmer cash receipts in New Jersey. The econometric analysis was focused on the fruit and vegetable sectors, the primary commodity areas expected to...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Agribusiness; Marketing.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/36728
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Weather Risk and the Viability of Weather Insurance In Western China AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Kong, Rong; Belltawn, Burgen.
This paper presents preliminary results on the possible demand for weather insurance in China. Results from 1,564 farm households from Western and Central China between October 2007 and October 2008 suggest that the greater risk for farmers is drought followed by excessive rain. Heat is less critical as a risk but more significant than cool weather. Results suggest a strong interest in precipitation insurance with 50% and 44% of respondents indicating strong interest in the product. Supplementary results indicate that interest is equal between planting, cultivating, and harvesting. Furthermore results suggest that farmers are willing to adopt new ideas, and where possible already take action to self insure through diversification and other means, The...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Weather insurance; Rainfall insurance; China; Agricultural and Food Policy; Agricultural Finance; International Development; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/49362
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INSURING HEAT RELATED RISKS IN AGRICULTURE WITH DEGREE-DAY WEATHER DERIVATIVES AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G..
This paper presents a model and framework for pricing degree-day weather derivatives when the weather variable is a non-traded asset. The paper compares the options prices from the recommended model and compares it to a typical insurance-type model.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19896
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The Great Emu Bubble: A Retrospective Look at a New Industry Failure AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Sparling, David.
Innovative new products offer agri-food producers and processors an opportunity to differentiate their output from the commodities prevalent in the sector. Unfortunately, many new products do not live up to initial expectations and are eventually abandoned. However, even with products that are doomed to fail, there is occasionally a period of time after their introduction when strong, but fallacious, indicators of success appear. Sometimes the initial appearance of success is so strong that new entrants rush in, increasing demand and prices for production capacity, thereby strengthening the illusion of industry success. Eventually, supply catches up to the unsupported demand and the bubble bursts. The fall is often dramatic and painful. This paper provides...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/45698
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THE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH PARADIGM'S APPLICATION TO U.S. FARM BUSINESSES AgEcon
Escalante, Cesar L.; Turvey, Calum G..
The sustainable growth paradigm is used to analyze aggregate output decisions across U.S. agricultural productions regions. Results show that the farm sector has adapted to positive or negative sustainable growth challenges (SGC) and that, from an equilibrium point of view, SGC countercyclical measures indicate a usual tendency towards balanced growth.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Production Economics.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/35567
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FOREWORD: Special Issue on Crop Insurance and Risk Management AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G..
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44732
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Managing Producer Price Risk in Mexico with Quantos and Dual Risk Commodity-Foreign Exchange Hedges AgEcon
Verteramo, Leslie J.; Turvey, Calum G..
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/21/10.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Marketing; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/62062
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The Semivariance-Minimizing Hedge Ratio AgEcon
Turvey, Calum G.; Nayak, Govindaray.
This study presents a new approach to the optimal hedging decision. In some empirical studies, the standard hedge using the mean-variance hedge ratio provides results which are inconsistent with downside risk management. The new approach taken here relates the optimal hedge ratio to semivariance rather than variance. An algorithm to solve for the minimum semivariance hedge is presented, and applied to hedging Kansas City wheat and Texas steers.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Downside risk; Optimal hedging ratio; Risk management; Semivariance hedge ratio; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/30720
Registros recuperados: 58
Primeira ... 123 ... Última
 

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