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Climatic potential and risks for apple growing by 2040 Organic Eprints
Kaukoranta, Timo; Tahvonen, Risto; Ylämäki, Arto.
The impact of climatic change in 1971–2040 on the potential production areas and risks to nine apple cultivars (Malus domestica Borkh.) was studied over continental Finland using agro-climatic indices and gridded daily mean (Tm) and minimum temperatures from the Rossby Centre regional atmospheric climate model (RCA3) with SRES A2. Point data on daily minimum temperatures from 14 weather stations and low and high warming scenarios were also used. From the 1970’s to the present day, the areas of successful maturing of fruits have strongly expanded northwards. It is predicted that in 2011–2040, the warming of climate will allow expansion of commercial production in the south-eastern lake area, and a wider selection of cultivars for home gardens up to...
Tipo: Journal paper Palavras-chave: Crop husbandry.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://orgprints.org/17184/1/kaukoranta.pdf
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