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VALUING COUNTER-CYCLICAL PAYMENTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR PRODUCER RISK MANAGEMENT AND PROGRAM ADMINISTRATION AgEcon
Plato, Gerald E.; Skully, David W.; Johnsons, D. Demcey.
USDA’s current method for estimating expected counter-cyclical payment rates produces unintentionally biased estimates because it does not consider the variability of marketing year prices. Estimates with positive bias increase the risk of overpayment to producers who accept advance payments. According to statute, producers must reimburse the Government for any overpayments, which can lead to cash-flow problems. A model developed for this analysis improved upon the USDA method of estimating counter-cyclical payment rates by accounting for the variability in market price forecast errors. This enhanced method produced unbiased estimates. Forecasters and producers can also use the model to calculate the probabilities of repayment. Producers can use call...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: 2002 Farm Act; Farm and commodity policy; Counter-cyclical payments; Risk management; Price uncertainty; Agricultural and Food Policy; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7184
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Southeastern Peanut-Production Cost Efficiency Under the Quota System: Implications for the Farm-Level Impacts of the 2002 Farm Act AgEcon
Nadolnyak, Denis A.; Fletcher, Stanley M.; Hartarska, Valentina M..
In the article, stochastic frontier analysis of peanut-production efficiency in the Southeastern region of the United States is conducted with a view of assessing the likely farm-level impacts of the 2002 Farm Act. Results indicate that , although quota ownership did not significantly impact inefficiency, it is likely that limitations on the quota’s transferability to areas with better growing conditions were a significant cause of inefficiency. The acreage shifts and improved yields following the passage of the 2002 Farm Act support this conclusion. Certain farm characteristics, such as farm size and operator’s education and age, were also important for efficiency.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: 2002 Farm Act; Peanut production; Stochastic cost frontier analysis; Supply management policies; Agricultural and Food Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Production Economics; Productivity Analysis; Q18; D61; Q15; Q12.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43762
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THE 2002 FARM ACT: PROVISIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR COMMODITY MARKETS AgEcon
Westcott, Paul C.; Young, C. Edwin; Price, J. Michael.
The Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 (2002 Farm Act), which governs agricultural programs through 2007, was signed into law in May 2002. This report presents an initial evaluation of the new legislation's effects on agricultural commodity markets, based on sectorwide model simulations under alternative policy assumptions. The analysis shows that loan rate changes under the marketing assistance loan program of the 2002 Farm Act initially result in an increase in total planted acreage of eight major program crops. This increase in plantings, however, is relatively small (less than 1 percent), partly due to the inelasticity of acreage response in the sector. In the longer run, the simulations indicate that overall plantings of the eight program...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Farm legislation; 2002 Farm Act; Agricultural programs; Commodity programs; Marketing loans; Counter-cyclical payments; Direct payments; Planting flexibility; Base acres; Payment yields; Farm income; Risk management; FAPSIM; Agricultural and Food Policy.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33745
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Economic Analysis of Base Acre and Payment Yield Designations Under the 2002 U.S. Farm Act AgEcon
Young, C. Edwin; Skully, David W.; Westcott, Paul C.; Hoffman, Linwood A..
The 2002 Farm Act provided farmland owners the opportunity to update commodity program base acres and payment yields used for calculating selected program benefits. Findings in this report suggest that farmland owners responded to economic incentives in these decisions, selecting those options for designating base acres that resulted in the greatest expected flow of program payments. Decisions of farmland owners in South Dakota, in upland cotton area, and in the Heartland region support the payment-maximization argument. In general, landowners favored maximizing payments over aligning base acres to current or recent plantings. Farmland owners with high-payment base acres, such as rice and cotton, held on to these base acres and, whenever possible, expanded...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Base; 2002 Farm Act; Direct payments; Counter-cyclical payments; Production flexibility contract payments; Base acres; Program yields; Agricultural and Food Policy; Farm Management.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33594
Registros recuperados: 4
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