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| Registros recuperados: 21 | |
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| Dewulf, Art; Public Administration and Policy Group, Wageningen University; art.dewulf@psy.kuleuven.be; Taillieu, Tharsi; Center for Work, Organizational and Personnel Psychology, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; tharsi.taillieu@psy.kuleuven.be. |
| Uncertainty of late has become an increasingly important and controversial topic in water resource management, and natural resources management in general. Diverse managing goals, changing environmental conditions, conflicting interests, and lack of predictability are some of the characteristics that decision makers have to face. This has resulted in the application and development of strategies such as adaptive management, which proposes flexibility and capability to adapt to unknown conditions as a way of dealing with uncertainties. However, this shift in ideas about managing has not always been accompanied by a general shift in the way uncertainties are understood and handled. To improve this situation, we believe it is necessary to recontextualize... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Adaptive management; Ambiguity; Frames; Framing; Knowledge relationship; Multiple knowledge frames; Natural resource management; Negotiation; Participation; Social learning; Uncertainty; Water management. |
| Ano: 2008 |
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| Carpenter, Stephen R; University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA; srcarpen@wisc.edu; Bennett, Elena M.; McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; elena.bennett@mcgill.ca; Peterson, Garry D; McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada; garry.peterson@mcgill.ca. |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed article |
Palavras-chave: Adaptive governance; Ambiguity; Ecological change; Ecosystem services; Poverty reduction; Regime shift; Resilience; Scenarios.. |
| Ano: 2006 |
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| Stirling, Andy C.; Science and Technology Policy Research, University of Sussex; a.c.stirling@sussex.ac.uk; Scoones, Ian; Institute for Development Studies, University of Sussex; i.scoones@ids.ac.uk. |
| Governance of infectious disease risks requires understanding of often indeterminate interactions between diverse, complex, open, and dynamic human and natural systems. In the face of these challenges, worldwide policy making affords disproportionate status to “ science-based” risk-assessment methods. These reduce multiple, complex dimensions to simple quantitative parameters of “outcomes” and “probabilities,” and then re-aggregate across diverse metrics, contexts, and perspectives to yield a single ostensibly definitive picture of risk. In contrast, more precautionary or participatory approaches are routinely portrayed as less rigorous, complete, or robust. Yet, although conventional... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Ambiguity; Ignorance; Participation; Precaution; Risk; Uncertainty.. |
| Ano: 2009 |
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| van den Hoek, Ronald E.; University of Twente; r.e.vandenhoek@utwente.nl; Brugnach, Marcela; University of Twente; marcela.brugnach@gmail.com; Mulder, Jan P. M.; University of Twente; Deltares; jan.mulder@deltares.nl; Hoekstra, Arjen Y.; University of Twente; a.y.hoekstra@utwente.nl. |
| We aimed to uncover the origin of ambiguity in flood infrastructure projects using Building with Nature (BwN) design principles. BwN is a new approach in flood management that simultaneously integrates societal goals, such as flood safety and recreation development, with nature development goals by actively using natural dynamics and materials in the project’s design. Because BwN projects affect multiple stakeholders and several societal functions, participatory project development is of key importance to successfully implement these projects. In such a multiactor decision-making process, a diversity of actors are involved, all of whom have their own view of the project based on their interests, values, beliefs, backgrounds, and past experiences.... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Ambiguity; Building with Nature; Flood management; Framing; Participatory processes; Water policy. |
| Ano: 2014 |
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| Murray-Prior, Roy B.; Wright, Vic. |
| Decisions by Australian wool producers were modelled with a technique combining personal construct psychology and hierarchical decision models. Both strategic and tactical approaches were evident in wool producers’ responses to the risks associated with producing and marketing their wool. Strategic responses included avoiding short to medium-term response to price changes, diversification, maintaining equity and selling wool at auction in the same sale each year. Producers identified many types of risk, with each engendering a distinctive response. Similarly the context of a decision appeared to have a major influence on the attitude to risk. Simplifying decision rules were apparent that helped producers deal with the physical, information, and processing... |
| Tipo: Article |
Palavras-chave: Hierarchical decision models; Risk; Uncertainty; Ambiguity; Strategy; Wool; Farm Management. |
| Ano: 2004 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120919 |
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| Jouvet, Pierre-Andre; Le Cadre, Elodie; Orset, Caroline. |
| We analyse the decision of an agent to invest and engage in industrial activities that are characterized by two forms of uncertainty: market size uncertainty and competitive effect uncertainty. We apply our model on the bioenergy industries. We compare the case of an ambiguity neutral agent with that of an ambiguity adverse agent. We show that the investment decision of an agent depends on the effects of both the capital investment and the level of production on the cost and the uncertainty the agent is confronted with. Moreover, we find that ambiguity aversion tends to decrease the agent's optimal levels of production and investment. Our numerical analysis of the French case illustrates the different effects associated with market size uncertainty and... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Ambiguity; Bioenergy; Irreversible investment; Uncertainty; Agricultural and Food Policy; D21; D81; Q42; Q23. |
| Ano: 2011 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/115437 |
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| Registros recuperados: 21 | |
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