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Widening the Scope of Scenario Planning in Small Communities: a Case Study Use of an Alternative Method Ecology and Society
Rawluk, Andrea; University of Alberta; ajrawluk@ualberta.ca; Godber, Annelise; McGill University.; annelise.godber@mail.mcgill.ca.
Scenario planning can be invaluable for empowerment and learning in resource dependent communities. Pre-existing scenario planning methods call for collaboration between community members, but when cultural norms prevented men, women, and youth from coming together in the community of Ukupseni in Panama, the authors and community sought to devise an alternative method. The research objectives were twofold. First, to develop an alternative scenario planning method that would facilitate learning among decision makers about community needs and perspectives, and second, to explore ways to direct desired futures. Instead of forecasting through community-wide collaboration and backcasting with the creation of one vision through consensus, forecasting used...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Backcasting; Collaboration; Forecasting; Kuna Yala; Scenario planning.
Ano: 2011
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Toward an Integrated History to Guide the Future Ecology and Society
van der Leeuw, Sander; Arizona State University; vanderle@asu.edu; Costanza, Robert; Institute for Sustainable Solutions, Portland State University; robert.costanza@pdx.edu; Aulenbach, Steve; NEON, Inc.; saulenbach@neoninc.org; Brewer, Simon; University of Utah; simon.brewer@geog.utah.edu; Burek, Michael; National Center for Atmospheric Research; mburek@ucar.edu; Cornell, Sarah; University of Bristol; sarah.cornell@bristol.ac.uk; Crumley, Carole; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Stockholm Resilience Centre; crumley@unc.edu; Dearing, John A; University of Southampton; j.dearing@soton.ac.uk; Downy, Catherine; University of Bristol; cat.downy@bristol.ac.uk; Graumlich, Lisa J.; University of Washington; envdean@uw.edu; Heckbert, Scott; Institute for Sustainable Solutions, Portland State University; scott.heckbert@gmail.com; Hegmon, Michelle; Arizona State University; Michelle.Hegmon@asu.edu; Hibbard, Kathy; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; kathy.hibbard@pnl.gov; Jackson, Stephen T.; University of Wyoming; jackson@uwyo.edu; Kubiszewski, Ida; Institute for Sustainable Solutions, Portland State University; ida.kub@gmail.com; Sinclair, Paul; Uppsala University; Paul.Sinclair@arkeologi.uu.se; Steffen, Will; Australian National University; will.steffen@anu.edu.au.
Many contemporary societal challenges manifest themselves in the domain of human–environment interactions. There is a growing recognition that responses to these challenges formulated within current disciplinary boundaries, in isolation from their wider contexts, cannot adequately address them. Here, we outline the need for an integrated, transdisciplinary synthesis that allows for a holistic approach, and, above all, a much longer time perspective. We outline both the need for and the fundamental characteristics of what we call “integrated history.” This approach promises to yield new understandings of the relationship between the past, present, and possible futures of our integrated human–environment system. We...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Synthesis Palavras-chave: Agency; Anthropocene; Backcasting; Causality; Contingency; Holistic approach; Integrated history; Long-term perspective; Resilience; Social and ecological systems.
Ano: 2011
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