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Registros recuperados: 11
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Uma análise do comércio bilateral brasil-china: A deterioração dos termos de troca e o caso da soja. Infoteca-e
MARQUES, T. C. de A.; CAMPOS, R..
Durante a primeira década dos anos 2000, a América Latina viveu o chamado boom das commodities, causado principalmente pela alta demanda chinesa por bens primários. Isso levou a região a apresentar altas taxas de crescimento e garantiu superavit na balança comercial, estreitando os laços desses países com a República Popular da China (RPC). No entanto, sem mudanças estruturais significativas, a região manteve sua posição de exportadora de bens primários na divisão internacional do trabalho e, a partir de 2011, começou a perder seu dinamismo. Este artigo busca analisar esse fenômeno no século XXI a partir do comércio bilateral entre Brasil e RPC, destacando a importância da soja nesse contexto e suas implicações estratégicas e econômicas. Isso é feito com...
Tipo: Artigo de divulgação na mídia (INFOTECA-E) Palavras-chave: Brasil-China; Comércio bilateral; Prebisch-Singer; Deterioração dos termos de troca; CGVs; Bilateral trade; Deterioration of terms of trade; Global value chains (GVC); Deterioro de los términos de intercambio; Comercio; Deterioração.
Ano: 2020 URL: http://www.infoteca.cnptia.embrapa.br/infoteca/handle/doc/1130656
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U.S.-CANADA WHEAT TRADE AND ITS EFFECTS ON U.S. PRICE AND INCOME AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Mattson, Jeremy W..
The objectives of this study are to analyze the factors causing an increase in wheat imports from Canada and to estimate the effect of increased wheat imports on U.S. prices and farm income. An econometric model is developed and estimated to determine these factors and effects. Canadian exports to the United States are estimated as a function of U.S. price, the U.S. - Canada exchange rate, and other variables, while U.S. price is estimated as a function of imports from Canada, U.S. domestic supply and consumption, and exports. The two equations are estimated simultaneously. Results from this model are used to estimate the effect of imports from Canada on U.S. farm prices and income. Results indicate that imports from Canada have a significant negative...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Canada; Bilateral trade; Hard red spring wheat; Durum wheat; Farm price; Farm income; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23572
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THE GATT/WTO HAS PROMOTED TRADE, BUT ONLY IN CAPITAL-INTENSIVE COMMODITIES! AgEcon
Engelbrecht, Hans-Jurgen; Pearce, Christopher.
This paper contributes to the recent empirical debate about the effectiveness of the GATT and the WTO in promoting trade. We use gravity models to explore the impact of the GATT/WTO on bilateral trade in a sample of 46 countries over the period 1965-1997. Our data enable us to disaggregate trade by broad commodity aggregates. The results for total trade are similar to those reported by Rose (2004). However, the disaggregated estimates reveal that the GATT/WTO has had a positive and statistically significant impact on trade in capital-intensive commodities, but that it has had no statistically significant impact on trade in other commodities. The paper demonstrates that simple modifications of Rose's approach lead to results that are much more 'common...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: GATT/WTO; Gravity model; Bilateral trade; Commodity aggregates; Capital-intensive commodities.; International Relations/Trade; F10; F15.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23707
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Bilateral Trade and Economic Growth: The Empirical Evidence Between U.S. and South Korea AgEcon
Kang, Hyunsoo; Kennedy, P. Lynn.
This paper analyzes the relationships between bilateral trade and economic growth in the U.S. and Korean economies. Using quarterly data from 1990 to 2008, the theoretical procedures utilize Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) models under the static model assumption, an Impulse Response Function (IRF) and Forecast Error Variation Decomposition (FEVD) under the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, and Granger causality tests. Empirical results indicate a causal relationship between bilateral export growth and economic growth for the U.S. and Korean economies. The export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis is strongly supported by the results of Granger causality tests on Korean exports.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Export-led growth; Bilateral trade; Granger causality; South Korea; United States; International Relations/Trade; Political Economy; Production Economics.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90684
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CANADIAN EXPORTS OF LIVESTOCK AND MEAT TO THE UNITED STATES AgEcon
Mattson, Jeremy W.; Wachenheim, Cheryl J.; Koo, Won W.; Petry, Timothy A..
Canadian exports of beef and live cattle to the United States have increased significantly since the late 1980s. Hog exports have increased since the mid-1990s. Major factors affecting exports of beef, pork, cattle, and hogs from Canada to the United States include the exchange rate, increased Canadian production, U.S.-Canada price differentials, and trade liberalization under the Canada - United States Free Trade Agreement (CUSTA) of 1989. Increased Canadian exports have resulted in small but significant reductions in U.S. domestic prices of beef, pork, and hogs.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Beef; Bilateral trade; Canada - United States Free Trade Agreement; Cattle; Free trade agreement; Pork; Hogs; Prices; Livestock Production/Industries.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23610
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CANADIAN EXPORTS OF WHEAT AND BARLEY TO THE UNITED STATES AND ITS IMPACTS ON U.S. DOMESTIC PRICES AgEcon
Mattson, Jeremy W.; Koo, Won W..
Canadian exports of wheat and barley to the United States have increased significantly since the late 1980s. The objectives of this study are to determine the factors that affect trade flows of hard red spring wheat, durum wheat, malting barley, and feed barley from Canada to the United States and to evaluate the impacts of Canadian wheat and barley exports on the U.S. domestic prices of these commodities. Major factors affecting trade flows of these commodities from Canada to the United States include the exchange rate, quality differences, differences in market size, the U.S. Export Enhancement Program, the elimination of Canadian rail subsidies, and trade liberalization under the Canada - United States Free Trade Agreement of 1989 (CUSTA). These...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Bilateral trade; Free trade agreement; Wheat; Barley; Farm price; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23499
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The application of spatial models in the analysis of bilateral trade flows: An alternative to the Armington approach for the world sugar market AgEcon
Nolte, Stephan.
This paper suggests spatial models as an alternative to the Armington approach to model bilateral trade. While the use of spatial models has been accepted for decades, they are rarely chosen for such analyses. However, problems inherent in the application of the Armington approach can be overcome through the use of spatial models. To demonstrate, a simple spatial model of the world sugar market is built and used to simulate a multilateral liberalization scenario. Additionally, an identical model is constructed, applying the Armington approach. The results of the spatial model of the sugar market are found to be more plausible than those generated by the Armington-based model.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Bilateral trade; Trade preferences; Partial equilibrium models; Armington approach; Sugar; International Relations/Trade; F11; F15; C69.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/10288
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Factor Content of Agricultural Trade: The Role of Firm Heterogeneity and Transaction Costs AgEcon
Kancs, d'Artis; Ciaian, Pavel.
In this paper we study the determinants of the factor content of the CEE agricultural trade. Examining empirically three hypothesis, which relate cross-country differences in technology, relative factor abundance and transaction costs and market imperfections to the factor content of trade, we find that the first two hypotheses are confirmed by the majority of the developed EU countries, but rejected by roughly one half of the CEE transition country pairs. Second, we find that when accounting for transaction costs of farm (re)organisation, both hypotheses are confirmed by the majority of the CEE country pairs. These findings provide empirical evidence of market imperfections, and particularly, of transaction costs of farm (re)organisation in the CEE.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Factor content; Bilateral trade; Relative factor abundance; Technological differences; Agriculture; Transaction costs; Institutional and Behavioral Economics; International Relations/Trade; Production Economics; F12; F14; D23; Q12; Q17.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51429
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U.S.-CANADA BORDER DISPUTES IN GRAINS: DYNAMIC INTERFACE BETWEEN THE FREE TRADE AGREEMENT AND TRADE REMEDY LAWS AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Uhm, Ihn H..
Agricultural trade between the United States and Canada has been contentious since the inception of the CUSTA agreement in 1989. Even though Canadian exports of wheat and barley are not found to have violated U.S. trade remedy laws, friction seems likely to continue as long as the surge in Canadian exports remains unabated. Gradual harmonization of trade policies, farm subsidy programs, and marketing institutions may reduce trade disputes between the two countries in the future. To diffuse the threat of future trade disputes, a Canada - U.S. joint research team should be formed to deal with the matter through better understanding for causes of the disputes.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Bilateral trade; Free trade agreement; Trade disputes; Trade remedy laws; Farm income; Farm price; Harmonization; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23267
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Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Bilateral Trade Balance: The Case of U.S. Agriculture AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W.; Mulik, Kranti.
This study examines the dynamic effects of changes in exchange rates on bilateral trade of agricultural products between the United States and its 15 major trading partners. Special attention is paid to investigate whether or not the J-curve hypothesis holds for U.S. agricultural trade. For this purpose, an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration is applied to quarterly time-series data from 1989 and 2007. Results show that the exchange rate plays a crucial role in determining the short- and long-run behavior of U.S. agricultural trade. However, we find little evidence of the J-curve phenomenon for U.S. agricultural products with the United States’ major trading partners.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration; Bilateral trade; J-curve effect; International Relations/Trade; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55546
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Riceflow: a Multi-region, Multi-product, Spatial Partial Equilibrium Model of the World Rice Economy AgEcon
Durand-Morat, Alvaro; Wailes, Eric J..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Rice; Spatial trade model; Bilateral trade; Policy; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C02; C61; F11; F14; Q17; Q18.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92010
Registros recuperados: 11
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