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| Planque, Benjamin; Mullon, Christian. |
| Nearly 30 years ago, emerged the concept of deterministic chaos. With it came sensitivity to initial conditions, nonlinearities, and strange attractors. This constituted a paradigm shift that profoundly altered how numerical modellers approached dynamic systems. It also provided an opportunity to resolve a situation of mutual misunderstanding between scientists and non-scientists about uncertainties and predictability in natural systems. Our proposition is that this issue can be addressed in an original way which involves modelling based on the principles of chance and necessity (CaN). We outline the conceptual and mathematical principles of CaN models and present an application of the model to the Barents Sea food-web. Because CaN models rely on concepts... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Chaos theory; Constraints; Nonlinear systems; Participatory modelling; Uncertainty; Viability theory. |
| Ano: 2020 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00585/69686/67759.pdf |
