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| Corsetti, Giancarlo; Pericoli, Marcello; Sbracia, Massimo. |
| This paper builds a general test of contagion in financial markets based on bivariate correlation analysis a test that can be interpreted as an extension of the normal correlation theorem. Contagion is defined as a structural break in the data generating process of rates of return. Using a factor model of returns as theoretical framework, we nest leading contributions in the literature as special cases of our test. We show that, while the literature on correlation analysis of contagion is successful in controlling for a potential bias induced by changes in the variance of global shocks, current tests are conditional on a specific yet arbitrary assumption about the variance of country specific shocks. Our results suggest that, for a number of pairs of... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Contagion; Financial crisis; Correlation analysis; Financial Economics; F30; C10; G10; G15. |
| Ano: 2001 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28420 |
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| Tirole, Jean. |
| The recent crisis was characterized by massive illiquidity. This paper reviews what we know and don't know about illiquidity and all its friends: market freezes, fire sales, contagion, and ultimately insolvencies and bailouts. It first explains why liquidity cannot easily be apprehended through a single statistics, and asks whether liquidity should be regulated given that a capital adequacy requirement is already in place. The paper then analyzes market breakdowns due to either adverse selection or shortages of financial muscle, and explains why such breakdowns are endogenous to balance sheet choices and to information acquisition. It then looks at what economics can contribute to the debate on systemic risk and its containment. Finally, the paper takes a... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Liquidity; Contagion; Bailouts; Regulation; Financial Economics; E44; E52; G28. |
| Ano: 2010 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91011 |
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| Ciuriak, Dan. |
| Latin Americas trade relationships have been severely strained by the series of uncoordinated currency depreciations within the region since the Asian Crisis spilled over into Brazil in 1999 and by large swings in G-3 exchange rates. Large depreciations, whether forced by capital markets or unilaterally effected for competitive trade reasons, are equivalent to steep increases in tariffs facing trading partners; they damage trade relationships and distort trade-oriented economic growth. The sources of the unfolding regional crisis and its implications for intra-regional trade as well as trade with major external trading partners are examined. Implications for future regional economic integration are drawn. |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Capital flows; Contagion; Exchange rates; Finance; Trade; Western Hemisphere; International Relations/Trade. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23919 |
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