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Does Price Asymmetry Exist In Commodity and Energy Markets? AgEcon
Wixson, Sarah E.; Katchova, Ani L..
Recent increases in the price of crude oil have led to a rise in the prominence of corn-based ethanol as an alternative source of energy. As a result linkages have been established between commodity and energy prices. The aim of this study is to determine if soybeans, corn, wheat, oil, and ethanol adjust their prices asymmetrically depending on whether their actual price is over- or under-predicted with respect to one another. This study’s goal of determining if asymmetric price relationships exist is accomplished by using monthly time series price data incorporated into a distributed lag error correction model distinguishing between positive and negative price difference and positive and negative values of the error correction term. The primary results...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Asymmetric price adjustment; Grain prices; Crude oil prices; Ethanol prices; Error correction model; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q11; Q13; Q42.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103735
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Examining the Evolving Correspondence Between Petroleum Prices and Agricultural Commodity Prices AgEcon
Campiche, Jody L.; Bryant, Henry L.; Richardson, James W.; Outlaw, Joe L..
Over the last few years, the production of renewable fuels has increased dramatically. Rising oil prices, limited supplies of fossil fuel, and increased concerns about global warming have created a growing demand for renewable energy sources. Both the ethanol and biodiesel industries have experienced tremendous growth in the past few years. The production of these fuels is highly dependent on the availability of agricultural feedstocks. This research examined the covariability between crude oil prices and corn, sorghum, sugar, soybeans, soybean oil, and palm oil prices during the 2003-2007 time period. Johansen cointegration tests revealed no cointegrating relationships during the 2003-2005 time frame. However, corn prices and soybean prices were...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Energy; Ethanol; Biodiesel; Renewable fuels; Crude oil prices; Cointegration; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q13; Q42.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9881
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The Impact of the Oil Sector on Commodity Prices: Correlation or Causation? AgEcon
Saghaian, Sayed H..
The interconnections of agriculture and energy markets have increased through the rise in the new biofuel agribusinesses and the oil–ethanol–corn linkages. The question is whether these linkages have a causal structure by which oil prices affect commodity prices and through these links, instability is transferred from energy markets to already volatile agricultural markets. In this article, we present empirical results using contemporary time-series analysis and Granger causality supplemented by a directed graph theory modeling approach to identify the links and plausible contemporaneous causal structures among energy and commodity variables. The results show that although there is a strong correlation among oil and commodity prices, the evidence for a...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Ethanol prices; Crude oil prices; Corn prices; Soybean prices; Wheat prices; Causal structure; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; Q11; Q13; Q42; Q48.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92582
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The Impact of Ethanol Production on U.S. and Regional Gasoline Prices and on the Profitability of the U.S. Oil Refinery Industry AgEcon
Du, Xiaodong; Hayes, Dermot J..
Using pooled regional time-series data and panel data estimation, we quantify the impact of monthly ethanol production on monthly retail regular gasoline prices. This analysis suggests that the growth in ethanol production has caused retail gasoline prices to be $0.29 to $0.40 per gallon lower than would otherwise have been the case. The analysis shows that the negative impact of ethanol on gasoline prices varies considerably across regions. The Midwest region has the biggest impact, at $0.39/gallon, while the Rocky Mountain region had the smallest impact, at $0.17/gallon. The results also indicate that ethanol production has significantly reduced the profit margin of the oil refinery industry. The results are robust with respect to alternative model...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Crack spread; Crude oil prices; Ethanol; Gasoline prices; Demand and Price Analysis; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6235
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Impact of Ethanol Production on U.S. and Regional Gasoline Prices and On the Profitability of U.S. Oil Refinery Industry AgEcon
Du, Xiaodong; Hayes, Dermot J..
Using pooled regional time-series data and panel data estimation, we quantify the impact of monthly ethanol production on monthly retail regular gasoline prices. This analysis suggests that the growth in ethanol production has caused retail gasoline prices to be $0.29 to $0.40 per gallon lower than would otherwise have been the case. The analysis shows that the negative impact of ethanol on gasoline prices varies considerably across regions. The Midwest region has the biggest impact, at $0.39/gallon, while the Rocky Mountain region had the smallest impact, at $0.17/gallon. The results also indicate that ethanol production has significantly reduced the profit margin of the oil refinery industry. The results are robust with respect to alternative model...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Crack spread; Crude oil prices; Ethanol; Gasoline prices; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6353
Registros recuperados: 5
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