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Registros recuperados: 5
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Avoiding Environmental Catastrophes: Varieties of Principled Precaution Ecology and Society
Johnson, Alan R; Clemson University; Alanj@Clemson.edu.
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Synthesis Palavras-chave: Adaptive management; Aldo Leopold; Ambiguity; Blaise Pascal; Daniel Ellsberg; Decision theory; Future generations; Gifford Pinchot; Intelligent tinkering; Precautionary principle; Resilience; Risk; Uncertainty.
Ano: 2012
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Integrating Data, Biology, and Decision Models for Invasive Species Management: Application to Leafy Spurge (Euphorbia esula) Ecology and Society
Hyder, Ayaz; McGill University; ayaz.hyder@mail.mcgill.ca; Leung, Brian; McGill University; brian.leung2@mcgill.ca; Miao, Zewei; Rutgers University; zmiao@rci.rutgers.edu.
Invasive species are a major cause of environmental change and are often costly to control. Decision theory should offer managers guidance to formulate the optimal allocation of resources. Unfortunately, current decision theory models typically do not consider invasion dynamics and do not make full use of the best models of biological spread and best biological data from theoretical models. We developed a decision theory model that integrated population dynamics, spread, uncertainty, and changes in management policies. We applied this model to leafy spurge (Euphorbia esula), a high-priority invasive weed in North America. We used field data to construct a biological model that included stochastic population dynamics and spatial spread and integrated it...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Decision theory; Leafy spurge; Management; Stochastic dynamic programming.
Ano: 2008
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Philosophical Issues in Ecology: Recent Trends and Future Directions Ecology and Society
Colyvan, Mark; University of Sydney; mcolyvan@usyd.edu.au; Linquist, Stefan; University of Guelph; linquist@uoguelph.ca; Grey, William; University of Queensland; wgrey@uq.edu.au; Griffiths, Paul E.; University of Sydney; paul@representinggenes.org; Odenbaugh, Jay; Lewis and Clark College; jay@lclark.edu; Possingham, Hugh P; University of Queensland; h.possingham@uq.edu.au.
Philosophy of ecology has been slow to become established as an area of philosophical interest, but it is now receiving considerable attention. This area holds great promise for the advancement of both ecology and the philosophy of science. Insights from the philosophy of science can advance ecology in a number of ways. For example, philosophy can assist with the development of improved models of ecological hypothesis testing and theory choice. Philosophy can also help ecologists understand the role and limitations of mathematical models in ecology. On the other side, philosophy of science will be advanced by having ecological case studies as part of the stock of examples. Ecological case studies can shed light on old philosophical topics as well as raise...
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Synthesis Palavras-chave: Biodiversity; Community ecology; Decision theory; Environmental ethics; Hypothesis testing; Philosophy of ecology; Population models.
Ano: 2009
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Zeitpräferenz und Zeitkonsistenz: Zur Rationalität sequenzieller Entscheidungen AgEcon
Weikard, Hans-Peter.
The paper discusses the problem of discounting, time preference, and time consistent decision making. While a constant pure rate of time preference leads to consistent consumption plans, other discounting schemes – like hyperbolic discounting – do not. Using a so-called money pump argument, time inconsistencies can be shown to be irrational. The paper also explores the use of a hedonic utility concept to explain sequential choice behaviour.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Decision theory; Discounting; Time preference; Time consistency; Institutional and Behavioral Economics.
Ano: 2001 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99006
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Some Estimates of Farmers' Utility Functions AgEcon
Hildreth, Clifford; Knowles, Glenn J..
Utility functions for 13 Minnesota farmers are estimated from their responses to hypothetical decision problems under uncertainty. The results furnish strong evidence of risk aversion and of decreasing absolute risk aversion as wealth increases.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Utility; Bayesian; Farmers; Uncertainty; Risk aversion; Decision theory; Cattle; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 1982 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/54545
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