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Registros recuperados: 10
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Collective Moral Hazard, Maturity Mismatch and Systemic Bailouts AgEcon
Farhi, Emmanuel; Tirole, Jean.
The paper elicits a mechanism by which private leverage choices exhibit strategic complementarities through the reaction of monetary policy. When everyone engages in maturity transformation, authorities have little choice but facilitating refinancing. In turn, refusing to adopt a risky balance sheet lowers the return on equity. The key ingredient is that monetary policy is non-targeted. The ex post benefits from a monetary bailout accrue in proportion to the number amount of leverage, while the distortion costs are to a large extent fixed. This insight has important consequences. First, banks choose to correlate their risk exposures. Second, private borrowers may deliberately choose to increase their interest-rate sensitivity following bad news about...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Monetary Policy; Funding Liquidity Risk; Strategic Complementarities; Macro-Prudential Supervision; Financial Economics; E44; E52; G28.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/52545
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Illiquidity and all its Friends AgEcon
Tirole, Jean.
The recent crisis was characterized by massive illiquidity. This paper reviews what we know and don't know about illiquidity and all its friends: market freezes, fire sales, contagion, and ultimately insolvencies and bailouts. It first explains why liquidity cannot easily be apprehended through a single statistics, and asks whether liquidity should be regulated given that a capital adequacy requirement is already in place. The paper then analyzes market breakdowns due to either adverse selection or shortages of financial muscle, and explains why such breakdowns are endogenous to balance sheet choices and to information acquisition. It then looks at what economics can contribute to the debate on systemic risk and its containment. Finally, the paper takes a...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Liquidity; Contagion; Bailouts; Regulation; Financial Economics; E44; E52; G28.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91011
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Discussion: Revisiting Macroeconomic Linkages to Agriculture: The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables and the Oil Sector on Farm Prices and Income AgEcon
Penson, John B., Jr..
Periodically, events occur in the domestic and global economies that remind agricultural economists that macroeconomics matter. This was evident in the early 1980s when the Federal Reserve responded to double-digit inflation by driving interest rates to post–World War II period highs. The Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s, rising oil prices this past decade, and current stress in domestic and overseas financial markets serve to remind us again that externalities can have an effect on the economic performance and financial strength of U.S. agriculture. These effects are transmitted through interest rates, inflation, unemployment, real gross domestic product, and exchange rates.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Macroeconomics; Linkages; Net farm income; Exchange rates; Interest rates; Real GDP; Agribusiness; Farm Management; Financial Economics; Political Economy; Public Economics; E31; E44; Q41; Q43.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92583
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INVESTIGATING RAPESEED PRICE VOLATILITIES IN THE COURSE OF THE FOOD CRISIS AgEcon
Busse, Stefan; Brümmer, Bernhard; Ihle, Rico.
C2_3
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Multivariate GARCH; MATIF; Rapeseed; Crude oil; Volatilities; Food crisis; Demand and Price Analysis; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C32; E44; G1; Q11; Q13; Q49.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/93957
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The Puzzle of the Swiss Interest Rate Island: Stylized Facts and a New Interpretation AgEcon
Kugler, Peter; Weder, Beatrice.
This paper contributes to the debate about the puzzle of the Swiss Interest Rate Island. It starts out by establishing some stylized facts about the nature of the puzzle. First it shows that long run real returns on Swiss Euro Deposits have been significantly lower than in any other major currency. A decomposition of return differentials into deviations from uncovered interest rate parity and deviations from purchasing power parity reveals that the former contributes most to the puzzle. Two implications follow from these stylized facts: (i) since the puzzle is present in Euro Deposit rates it cannot be due to local factors such as banking secrecy, and (ii) solutions to the puzzle have to provide an explanation for a long run failure of uncovered interest...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Financial Economics; E43; E44; G15.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26190
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That's Where the Money Was: Foreign Bias and English Investment Abroad, 1866-1907 AgEcon
Chabot, Benjamin; Kurz, Christopher.
Why did Victorian Britain invest so much capital abroad? We collect over 500,000 monthly returns of British and foreign securities trading in London and the United States between 1866 and 1907. These heretofore-unknown data allow us to better quantify the historical benefits of international diversification and revisit the question of whether British Victorian investor bias starved new domestic industries of capital. We find no evidence of bias. A British investor who increased his investment in new British industry at the expense of foreign diversification would have been worse off. The addition of foreign assets significantly expanded the mean-variance frontier and resulted in utility gains equivalent to a meaningful increase in lifetime consumption.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Capital markets; Home bias; History; Victorian overseas investment; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; E44; F22; G11; G15; N21; N23; O16.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50950
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Financial Development, Institutional Quality and Economic Performance in East Asian Economies AgEcon
Law, Siong Hook; Habibullah, Muzafar Shah.
This paper examines the effects of financial development and institutional quality on economic performance in the East Asian economies using the panel cointegration and panel group mean fully modified OLS estimations. The empirical results based on the Solow growth model indicate that well developed institutional quality and financial market lead to the improved output per capita in East Asian economies. The effect of financial development on economic performance is larger when the financial system is embedded within a sound institutional framework. Thus, institutional improvements in these economies are important, not only in promoting economic development but also to deliver the benefits of financial development.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Financial development; Quality of institutions; Economic performance; Financial Economics; G20; E44.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/50150
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The relationships between stock market capitalization rate and interest rate: Evidence from Jordan AgEcon
Khrawish, Husni Ali; Siam, Walid Zakaria; Jaradat, Mohammad.
The paper examines the effect of interest rates on the stock market capitalization rate in Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) over the period of (1999-2008). It is used the OLS regression method, multiple linear regression model and simple regression model. The time series analysis revealed that there are significant and positive relationship between government Prevailing interest rate (R) and stock market capitalization rate (S). The study shows that Government development stock rate (D) exerts negative influence on stock market capitalization rate (S), also it finds a significant and negative relationship between government Prevailing interest rate (R) and Government development stock rate (D). Finally, this study suggested the importance of government...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Stock market capitalization rate; Prevailing interest rate; Government development stock rate.; Financial Economics; International Development; E44.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/95964
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Price Dividend Models, Expectations Formation, and Monetary Policy AgEcon
Valckx, Nico.
This paper applies the Campbell-Shiller (1988) methodology to estimate a price dividend model with volatility and inflation risk, extending existing models in this field. The model fits the data well over the period 1979-2002 for the Euro Area, but less so for the U.S. The latter is interpreted as reflecting fads and is borne out by a decomposition of the price dividend ratio into a fundamental and bubble part. Finally, it is shown that deviations from fundamentals enter significantly in the Fed's interest rate reaction function but at the cost of destabilising monetary policy. Alternatively, in case that Fed policy remained stable, there was not much of attention to asset bubbles. For the Euro Area, historically, the reaction function does not appear to...
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Dividend price ratio; Dynamic Gordon model; Asset price bubbles; Taylor rule; Financial Economics; E44; G12.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/26301
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Evolution of Rural Financial Market in China: An Institutional "Lock in" or Gradualism? AgEcon
Jia, Xiangping; Guo, Pei.
Historically, China's political attempts to provide access to rural credit has met with mixed results and an institutional structure that often strays from intended policy goals. There has been a close correspondence between financial depression and many policy-driven financial institutions that dominated the rural financial system in China. More recently, ongoing reforms are dedicated towards a gradual liberalization within the system. In this study, we explore the context of agricultural transition and political process as defined by the various interlinkages across the Chinese rural financial system. We find that there has been negligible progress in the evolution of the rural financial market in China. The policy-led financial institutions ended up as...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Rural finance; Institutions; Intervention; Gradualism; China; Financial Economics; E44; N25; D72; Q14.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/7944
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