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| Achterbosch, Thom J.; Dopfer, Dorte D.V.; Tabeau, Andrzej A.. |
| Projections of live cattle trade in the EU-25 assist to reduce the uncertainty on the risk of importing animal diseases in the Netherlands. The accession of 10 member states to the European Union has a potentially large impact on livestock trade in the EU as it liberalized in one stroke a trade that was administered by the Management Committee for Beef until May 1, 2004. The approach combines AG-Memod partial equilibrium with GTAP general equilibrium modelling in order to estimate the impact of quota liberalization. Quota removal will substantially alter the regional structure of livestock imports, as the share of new EU member states in the east triples to 25%. The risk outlook indicates a need for enhanced animal health services in the new member states. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Livestock; Animal disease; Trade; Projections; Quota; EU-enlargement; Risk and Uncertainty; F17; I18; Q17. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24558 |
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| Hinners-Tobragel, Ludger; Keszthelyi, Krisztian. |
| Direct payments are a controversial issue in the accession negotiations. While the EU proposes reduced payments the accession countries claim that they should be equally treated as the present EU members. The present study, based on micro-simulations on the farm level, shows impacts of various policy options (ranging from non-accession to the granting of full direct payments) on the production structure and profitability of Hungarian agricultural enterprises. For most products prices are expected to be higher in 2004 than in the reference year, 2001. EU accession will have an additional positive effect on the prices of all products. Direct payments would further increase farm profits. In particular crop producers would benefit (due to the increase in the... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: EU-enlargement; Direct payments; Farm model; Typical farms; Hungarian agriculture; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98272 |
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| Banse, Martin; Grethe, Harald. |
| The EU Commission suggests to exclude CEC from the dynamic modulation mechanism, being part of the MTR package. This article looks at the distributional aspects of including the CEC into dynamic modulation. Under the current accession proposal the CEC would account for only 18% of the rural development budget by 2006. If modulation would be realised with the CEC being excluded this share would drop to 14% by 2010. According to the criteria proposed by the Commission for the distribution of the modulation budget the CEC would get a higher share of the modulation budget if they were included as they account for high shares in agricultural area and employment, and their GDP per capita is relatively low. Based on the assumptions made for this article they... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Modulation; EU-enlargement; CAP-budget; Agricultural and Food Policy. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/98270 |
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