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Registros recuperados: 39
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Análisis del comportamiento de la demanda de importaciones de limón persa (Citrus latifolia tanaka) y mexicano (Citrus aurantifolia swingle) en los Estados Unidos Colegio de Postgraduados
Sánchez Torres, Yolanda.
La agricultura mexicana en la década de los setentas inicia un proceso de expansión en la producción de frutas y hortalizas; y con ello la relevancia de frutas de clima tropical en el mercado mundial. Para 2008 México ocupaba el segundo lugar como productor mundial (14.94%) de limones y el primero como exportador (20.5%), teniendo dos variedades altamente competitivas: el limón mexicano, orientado al mercado nacional (96.2%) y el limón persa vinculado al mercado internacional (50.3%). El objetivo de la investigación fue identificar y valorar la relación funcional que tienen la población hispana, el precio unitario de importación, el ingreso y el tipo de cambio real con la demanda de importaciones para ambas variedades en Estados Unidos, en el periodo...
Palavras-chave: Demanda de importaciones; Limón mexicano; Limón persa; Población hispanica; Precio unitario de importación; Tipo de cambio; Ingreso real; Import demand; Mexican lime; Persian lime; Hispanic population; Unit price of import; Exchange rate; Real income; Doctorado; Economía.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10521/357
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Money-Income Relationships between Three ERM Countries AgEcon
Choudhry, Taufiq.
This paper investigates the monetary interdependence and the money-income relationship between countries under a pegged and a floating exchange rate system during the same time period (1979-1997). The relationship is tested between three ERM countries, France, Germany and Holland, and also between these countries and the United States. The ERM countries have a pegged exchange rate between themselves, and the rate between these countries and the United States is freely floating. The empirical tests are conducted by means of the Johansen multivariate cointegration method and the error correction model. Among the ERM countries, international transmission of monetary policy is found in almost all directions. This may provide evidence against the theory of...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Monetary policy; Cointegration; Error correction; Speed of adjustment; Exchange rate; Public Economics; E50; E52.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/44428
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A Re-examination of Factors Affecting United States Softwood Lumber Imports from Canada AgEcon
Baek, Jungho.
This paper examines the effects of the lumber price, the housing starts, and the bilateral exchange rate on U.S. softwood lumber imports from Canada in a cointegration framework. To that end, the Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration (FM-OLS) procedure is applied to monthly data for the period from January 1994 through June 2009. Results show that there exists the long-run equilibrium relationship between the U.S. lumber imports from Canada and the selected macroeconomic and market variables. We also find that the U.S. lumber price and housing starts are more important than the bilateral exchange rate in influencing U.S.-Canada softwood lumber trade.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Housing starts; Lumber imports; Lumber price; Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration technique; Softwood lumber trade; International Relations/Trade; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/60930
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Exchange Rate Sensitivity of Mexican Maize Imports from the United States AgEcon
Sarker, Rakhal; Jaramillo-Villanueva, Jose Luis.
Since the implementation of NAFTA in 1994 agri-food trade between Mexico and the United States grew substantially. While some analysts argue that NAFTA has contributed the most, others have emphasized the role played by exchange rate in this process. An attempt is made in this paper to address this issue by determining the extent to which NAFTA, expansion of the livestock sector, exchange rate and exchange rate variability have contributed to the expansion of Mexican maize imports from the United States from January 1989 to December 2004.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Maize trade; Exchange rate; Volatility of exchange rate; Livestock inventory; Cointegration analysis; Error-correction model; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9864
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Exchange Rates Impacts on Agricultural Inputs Prices using VAR AgEcon
Yeboah, Osei-Agyeman; Shaik, Saleem; Allen, Albert J..
The effects of the U.S. dollar exchange rate versus the Mexican peso are evaluated for four traded nonfarm-produced inputs (fertilizer, chemicals, farm machinery, and feed) in the U.S. Unit root tests suggest that the exchange rate and the four input price ratios support the presence of unit roots with a trend model but the presence unit roots can be rejected in the first difference model. This result is consistent with a fixed price/flex price conceptual framework, with industrial prices more likely to be unresponsive to the exchange rate than farm commodity prices.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Pass-through; Law of one price; SUR; VAR; Agribusiness; Financial Economics; International Relations/Trade; F14; F31; F36; F42; C23.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53096
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Exchange Rate Sensitivity of Fresh Tomatoes Imports from Mexico to the United States AgEcon
Jaramillo-Villanueva, Jose Luis; Sarker, Rakhal.
The agri-food trade between Mexico and the United States grew substantially after the implementation of NAFTA in 1994. While some analysts argue that NAFTA has contributed the most to the dramatic expansion of this trade, others have emphasized the role played by the exchange rate in this process. An attempt is made in this paper to address this issue by quantifying the effects of NAFTA, the Mexico-US exchange rate changes and its volatility on the fresh tomato imports into the United States from Mexico using the maximum likelihood cointegration analysis. The results from the cointegration analysis show that while changes in exchange rate have a positive effect on trade flows, volatility of the exchange rate has a significant negative effect on trade...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Exchange rate volatility; Fresh tomatoes trade; NAFTA; Cointegration analysis and error-correction modelling; Agricultural and Food Policy; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51459
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Histerese no comércio internacional brasileiro: uma análise por modelos ARFIMA AgEcon
Maia, Sinezio Fernandes; Jubert, Roberto Wagner; Paixao, Marcia Cristina.
Após a abertura comercial em 1998, grandes mudanças ocorreram no comércio exterior nacional devido sucessivos choques cambiais aos quais a economia foi exposta. A literatura de referência sugere que grandes choques na taxa de câmbio induzem mudanças persistentes na relação entre a taxa de câmbio e o comércio. Este fenômeno é conhecido por histerese. Desta forma, o objetivo deste trabalho é evidenciar a existência de histerese no comércio internacional brasileiro, com interesse particular no setor agrícola. Os resultados indicaram evidências de histerese simples na taxa de câmbio e nas importações brasileiras, e de histerese fraca no setor agrícola e nas exportações. Conclui-se que a mudança de regime cambial em 1999 e a unificação cambial em 2005...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Agrícola; ARFIMA; Histerese; Quebra estrutural; Taxa de Câmbio; Agricultural. ARFIMA; Exchange rate; Hysteresis; Structural breaks; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/102896
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The Consequences of a Strong Depreciation of the U.S. Dollar on Agricultural Markets AgEcon
Charlebois, Pierre; Hamann, Nathalie.
World prices for basic food commodities increased significantly in 2007-2008, triggering a worldwide food crisis. Among all the factors that contributed to the rise in agricultural prices in 2008, the depreciation of the U.S. dollar relative to other major currencies cannot be overlooked. The currencies of the major players in agricultural markets have shown strong appreciation from 2002 to 2008. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of a strong depreciation of the U.S. dollar on the world prices of food commodities. Given the current U.S. budget situation, future depreciation is possible. This would again have consequences on world commodity prices and on the competitiveness of different countries. Thus, the final section assesses what...
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Depreciation; Exchange rate; U.S. dollar; Currencies; AGLINK; World prices; Competitiveness; Agricultural markets; Demand and Price Analysis; International Relations/Trade; Political Economy.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/94750
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THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON WHEAT TRADE WORLDWIDE AgEcon
Sun, Changyou; Kim, Mina; Koo, Won W.; Cho, Guedae; Jin, Hyun Joung.
A modified gravity-type model was employed to evaluate the effect of exchange rate volatility on wheat exports worldwide. Special attention was given to the econometric properties of the gravity model within panel framework. Short and long-term measures of exchange rate volatility were constructed and compared. Both measures of exchange rate volatility have exhibited a negative effect on world wheat trade and the long-term effect was even larger. This result implies that exchange rate volatility is an important factor in explaining the trade pattern of wheat trade worldwide. Keywords: wheat, export, exchange rate, volatility, gravity model, and panel data.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Wheat; Export; Exchange rate; Volatility; Gravity model; And panel data.; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19766
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MACROECONOMIC FACTORS AND THE THOROUGHBRED INDUSTRY AgEcon
Karungu, Peter; Reed, Michael R.; Tvedt, Douglas D..
A capitalization approach is used to estimate econometrically the effects of exchange rate, interest rate and tax law changes on thoroughbred yearling prices. The analysis found that exchange rate and tax law changes have significantly influenced yearling prices since the early 1980s. Another serious price-reducing event was the 1986 tax law change. Both of these factors have counteracted the positive impact of increased purse rates on yearling prices.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; Macroeconomics; Tax laws; Purse rates; Thoroughbreds; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 1993 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15208
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Estimating the Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export Volumes AgEcon
Wang, Kai-Li; Barrett, Christopher B..
This paper takes a new empirical look at the long-standing question of the effect of exchange rate volatility on international trade flows by studying the case of Taiwan's exports to the United States from 1989-1998. In particular, we employ sectoral-level, monthly data and an innovative multivariate GARCH-M estimator with corrections for leptokurtic errors. This estimator allows for the possibility that traders' forward-looking contracting behavior might condition the way in which exchange rate movement and associated risk affect trade volumes. Change in importing country industrial production and change in the expected exchange rate are found to jointly drive the trade volumes. More strikingly, monthly exchange rate volatility affects agricultural trade...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Exchange rate; Expectations; GARCH; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/8643
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EFEITOS DE CURTO E LONGO PRAZOS DE CHOQUES NA TAXA DE CÂMBIO REAL SOBRE O SALDO DA BALANÇA COMERCIAL AGROPECUÁRIA BRASILEIRA AgEcon
Scalco, Paulo Roberto; Carvalho, Henrique Duarte; Campos, Antonio Carvalho.
O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar os efeitos de longo e curto prazos de choques na taxa de câmbio real sobre o saldo da balança comercial agropecuária brasileira. O procedimento metodológico empregado foi a análise multivariada descrita em Johansen (1988 e 1991) apud Hamilton (1994). Os resultados indicam que existe uma relação de longo prazo entre a depreciação na taxa de câmbio real e o saldo da balança comercial. Verifica-se que, no longo prazo, um aumento de 1,0 % da taxa de câmbio leva a uma expansão de 2,10 % no saldo da balança comercial. Esse resultado está consistente com a condição de Marshall-Lerner que afirma: no longo prazo, o efeito volume deve superar o efeito preço, promovendo, assim, um aumento no saldo da balança comercial. Entretanto,...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Condição de Marshall-Lerner; Curva J; Taxa de câmbio; Balança comercial; Setor agropecuário; Marshall-Lerner condition; J-Curve; Exchange rate; Trade balance; Agricultural sector; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/109536
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Dynamic Interrelationships between the U.S. Agricultural Trade Balance and the Macroeconomy AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
The effects of the exchange rate and the income and money supply of the United States and its major trading partners on the U.S. agricultural trade balance are examined using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Results suggest that the exchange rate is the key determinant of the short-and long-run behavior of the trade balance. It is also found that the income and money supply in both the United States and the trading partners have significant impacts on U.S. agricultural trade in both the short and long run.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade balance; Autoregressive distributed lag model; Exchange rate; Income; Macroeconomy; Money supply; International Relations/Trade; C32; F14; Q17.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/6301
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Third-Country Effects on the Market Shares of U.S. Wheat in Asian Countries AgEcon
Jin, Hyun Joung; Cho, Guedae; Koo, Won W..
An import demand model, augmented with third-country effect variables, is developed to examine the effects of strong U.S. dollar, volatility of the U.S. dollar, and competition among the exporting countries on the shares of U.S. wheat in Asian markets. In the empirical model, the dependent variable is the market shares of U.S. wheat. Explanatory variables include wheat prices of exporting countries, exchange rates between the importing and exporting countries, and volatilities of the exchange rates. Panel estimation results show that the U.S. currency values and volatility, Australian wheat price, and the volatilities of Canadian and Australian currency values have significant effects on U.S. market shares.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Exchange rate; International grain trade; Market share; Panel analysis; Panel unit-root test; Third country effect; F14; Q17.
Ano: 2004 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/43478
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Growing U.S. Trade Deficit in Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products AgEcon
Zhuang, Renan; Koo, Won W.; Mattson, Jeremy W..
We investigate the factors behind the growing U.S. trade deficit in consumer-oriented agricultural products by using reliable panel data and an empirical trade model derived from international trade theory. The results indicate that per capita income in the United States appears to be the most important determinant for the growing U.S. trade deficit of consumer-oriented agricultural products. An increase in per capita income and trade liberalization in foreign countries would improve the U.S. trade balance. U.S. foreign direct investment abroad in food manufactures and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) are found to have negative effects on the U.S. trade balance.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Consumer-oriented products; Exchange rate; Trade balance; Trade deficit; Agribusiness; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; International Relations/Trade; F14; Q17.
Ano: 2008 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/47270
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Does the U.S. Midwest Have a Cost Advantage Over China in Producing Corn, Soybeans, and Hogs? AgEcon
Fang, Cheng; Fabiosa, Jacinto F..
China's accession to the World Trade Organization, a significant event for U.S. agricultural trade, has been viewed as benefitting U.S. farmers, especially midwestern farmers. This research compares the productivity and cost of production (COP) of China and the United States in producing corn, soybeans, and hogs. The results show that the U.S. Midwest (defined in this study as the Heartland region as classified by the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Economic Research Service) has a substantial advantage in land and labor productivities in producing corn and soybeans, especially compared to China's South and West producing regions. However, China's Northeast region, a major corn- and soybean-producing area, has a very competitive COP over the U.S. Midwest....
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Agricultural trade; Competitiveness; Corn; Cost of production; Exchange rate; Hogs; Land policy; Productivity; Soybeans; U.S. Midwest versus China; Agricultural Finance; Production Economics; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2002 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/18688
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THIRD COUNTRY EFFECTS ON U.S. WHEAT EXPORT PERFORMANCE IN ASIAN COUNTRIES AgEcon
Jin, Hyun Joung; Cho, Guedae; Koo, Won W..
This study examines third country effects on U.S. wheat export performance in Asian countries. An import demand model is developed to analyze the impacts of price competitiveness, exchange rates, and exchange rate volatilities on U.S. wheat market shares. The United States competes with Australia and Canada in the Asian wheat market. Empirical results show that two factors, Australian wheat price and U.S. dollar values against the Asian countries' currencies, have significant effects on U.S. market shares in this region. Furthermore, exchange rate risks between the exporting and importing countries are found to be important.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: International grain trade; Market share; Exchange rate; Panel analysis.; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/23529
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The U.S. Agricultural Sector and the Macroeconomy AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
The effects of the exchange rate, the U.S. agricultural price, the domestic income, and the interest rate on the U.S. net farm income are investigated in a cointegration framework. For this purpose, the Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration (FM-OLS) procedure is applied to annual data for the period 1957–2008. Results suggest that there exists the long-run equilibrium relationship between the U.S. net farm income and the selected macroeconomic variables. We also find that the exchange rate and U.S. agricultural price are more important than other variables in determining the U.S. net farm income.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Agricultural price; Exchange rate; Gross domestic product; Interest rate; Net farm income; Phillips-Hansen fully-modified cointegration technique; Agribusiness; Agricultural Finance; Land Economics/Use; Production Economics; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods; C22; E23; Q11.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/92580
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Determinants of the U.S. Trade Balance in Consumer-Oriented Agricultural Products AgEcon
Zhuang, Renan; Koo, Won W.; Mattson, Jeremy W..
This study investigates the factors behind the growing U.S. trade deficit in consumer-oriented agricultural and food products by using reliable panel data and an empirical trade model derived from international trade theory. The results indicate that per capita income in the United States appears to be the most important determinant for the growing U.S. trade deficit. Increases in per capita income and trade liberalization in foreign countries improve the U.S. trade balance. U.S. foreign direct investment abroad in food processing, a strong U.S. dollar, and NAFTA are found to have negative effects on the U.S. trade balance.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Consumer-oriented products; Trade balance; Trade deficit; Exchange rate; International Relations/Trade.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9079
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Sino-U.S. Price Transmission in Agricultural Commodities: How Important are Exchange Rate Movements? AgEcon
Mutuc, Maria Erlinda M.; Pan, Suwen; Hudson, Darren.
Commodity price transmissions between China and the U.S. are examined. The results indicate that variations in Chinese cotton and soybean prices are transmitted to U.S. cotton and soybean prices while variations in Chinese wheat and rice prices do not get transmitted to U.S. wheat and rice prices. The effects of volatilities in oil prices and in the exchange rate on the price transmission are also assessed.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Rice; Soybean; Cotton; Wheat; China; U.S.; Price transmission; Exchange rate; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Q11; Q17.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/103459
Registros recuperados: 39
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