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Second-Order Ambiguity in Very Low Probability Risks: Food Safety Valuation AgEcon
Kivi, Paul A.; Shogren, Jason F..
Food consumption involves inherently risky decisions with uncertain probabilities. This study examines how second-order ambiguity, or uncertainty over probabilities, affects food safety decisions. We conduct a food safety survey wherein subjects face both unambiguous and ambiguous situations, each with the same expected value. Respondents show a preference for unambiguous situations and state a willingness to pay to avoid ambiguity
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Ambiguity; Ambiguity avoidance; Expected utility theory; Food safety; Low probability events; Risk; Second-order probabilities; Uncertainty; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/97857
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An Outcome-Oriented Theory of Choice and Empirical Paradoxes in Expected Utility Theory AgEcon
Kaneko, Fumihiro.
I analyze observed choice between lotteries from an outcome-oriented point of view in the framework of choice between random variables. I characterize a choice maker, who faces a choice situation between lotteries, by (1) a surmising process that associates, with a pair of lotteries, a set of well-defined choice situations between random variables, and (2) a choice set that is a collection of well-defined choice situations. I give a partial axiomatic foundation of the theory. The theory is applied to explain the well-known paradoxes in expected utility theory.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Expected utility theory; SSA representation; SSB representation; Prospect theory; Choice under uncertainty; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 1997 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/28418
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