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| Thorne, Karen M; USGS Western Ecological Research Center; kthorne@usgs.gov; Mattsson, Brady J.; Department of Integrative Biology and Biodiversity Research, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria; brady.mattsson@gmail.com; Takekawa, John; USGS Western Ecological Research Center, San Francisco Bay Estuary Field Station; john_takekawa@usgs.gov; Cummings, Jonathan; University of Vermont; jwcummin@uvm.edu; Crouse, Debby; USFWS, Endangered Species Recovery Program; debby_crouse@fws.gov; Block, Giselle; USFWS, Inventory & Monitoring; Giselle_block@fws.gov; Bloom, Valary; USFWS, Sacramento Field Office; valary_bloom@fws.gov; Gerhart, Matt; State Coastal Conservancy; mgerhart@scc.ca.gov; Goldbeck, Steve; Bay Conservation and Development Commission; steveg@bcdc.ca.gov; Huning, Beth; San Francisco Bay Joint Venture; bhuning@sfbayjv.org; Sloop, Christina; Blue Earth Consultants; christina.s@blueearthconsultants.como; Stewart, Mendel; USFWS, Carlsbad Fish and Wildlife Office; mendel_stewart@fws.gov; Taylor, Karen; California Department of Fish & Wildlife, Napa-Sonoma Marshes Wildlife Area; Karen.Taylor@wildlife.ca.gov; Valoppi, Laura; USGS Western Ecological Research Center; laura_valoppi@usgs.gov. |
| Decision makers that are responsible for stewardship of natural resources face many challenges, which are complicated by uncertainty about impacts from climate change, expanding human development, and intensifying land uses. A systematic process for evaluating the social and ecological risks, trade-offs, and cobenefits associated with future changes is critical to maximize resilience and conserve ecosystem services. This is particularly true in coastal areas where human populations and landscape conversion are increasing, and where intensifying storms and sea-level rise pose unprecedented threats to coastal ecosystems. We applied collaborative decision analysis with a diverse team of stakeholders who preserve, manage, or restore tidal marshes across the... |
| Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports |
Palavras-chave: Bayesian decision network; Climate change; Expert elicitation; San Francisco Bay; Sea-level rise; Structured decision making; Tidal marsh. |
| Ano: 2015 |
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| Singh, Gerald G.; Hilmi, Nathalie; Bernhardt, Joey R.; Cisneros Montemayor, Andres M.; Cashion, Madeline; Ota, Yoshitaka; Acar, Sevil; Brown, Jason M.; Cottrell, Richard; Djoundourian, Salpie; González‐espinosa, Pedro C.; Lam, Vicky; Marshall, Nadine; Neumann, Barbara; Pascal, Nicolas; Reygondeau, Gabriel; Rocklӧv, Joacim; Safa, Alain; Virto, Laura R.; Cheung, William. |
| Climate change is impacting marine ecosystems and their goods and services in diverse ways, which can directly hinder our ability to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), set out under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Through expert elicitation and a literature review, we find that most climate change effects have a wide variety of negative consequences across marine ecosystem services, though most studies have highlighted impacts from warming and consequences of marine species. Climate change is expected to negatively influence marine ecosystem services through global stressors—such as ocean warming and acidification—but also by amplifying local and regional stressors such as freshwater runoff and pollution load. Experts indicated... |
| Tipo: Text |
Palavras-chave: Climate change; Expert elicitation; Marine ecosystem services; Ocean sustainability; Sustainable Development Goals. |
| Ano: 2019 |
URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00636/74858/75256.pdf |
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