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CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON US AGRICULTURE 31
Beach, Robert H.; Thomson, Allison M.; McCarl, Bruce A..
There is general consensus in the scientific literature that human-induced climate change has taken place and will continue to do so over the next century. The Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concludes with “very high confidence” that anthropogenic activities such as fossil fuel burning and deforestation have affected the global climate. The AR4 also indicates that global average temperatures are expected to increase by another 1.1°C to 5.4°C by 2100, depending on the increase in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases that takes place during this time. Increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide levels, temperature increases, altered precipitation patterns and other factors influenced by climate have...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Climate change; Crop yields; EPIC; FASOM; Crop Production/Industries; Environmental Economics and Policy; International Relations/Trade; Land Economics/Use; Resource /Energy Economics and Policy; C61; Q18; Q54.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/91393
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Avian Influenza outbreaks and poultry production mitigation strategies in the U.S. 31
Mu, Jianhong H.; McCarl, Bruce A..
In this paper, two AI mitigation strategies are examined, quarantine and vaccination. Meanwhile, associated welfare changes are evaluated by using FASOM. Results found that changes of total national welfare of U.S are insignificant with or without vaccination. Once comes to livestock producers, impacts become significant although magnitudes are small. For example, under 20% demand shocks, vaccination strategy dominates no vaccination at the production, market and national level. However, vaccination has no advantage when there is no demand shifts.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: AI outbreak; Mitigation strategies; Vaccination; Demand shift; FASOM; Welfare; Agricultural and Food Policy; Consumer/Household Economics; Demand and Price Analysis; Food Consumption/Nutrition/Food Safety; Food Security and Poverty; Health Economics and Policy; Q1.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/116452
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