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| Jongeneel, Roelof A.. |
| This paper analyses the impact of the dairy quota scheme on the size distribution of the Dutch dairy industry. A non-stationary Markov model approach is use, where the transition probabilities are explained by a set of exogenous (policy) variables. Using an information theoretical approach, a model is estimated for The Netherlands and used to simulate the impacts of alternative EU dairy policies. Several results emerged: a) There is an autonomous over time decline in farm numbers (implying increase in farm size). b) The dairy quota regime positively influences 'small' and 'medium' farm sizes; c) Abolition of the dairy quota will negatively affect the total number of active farms and favours further increase of farm scale. d) Targeting support according to... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm size structure; Dairy; Milk quota; Policy; Maximum entropy; Agribusiness. |
| Ano: 2002 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24892 |
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| Jongeneel, Roelof A.; Longworth, Natasha; Huettel, Silke. |
| This paper analyses the dynamics in the farm size distribution for The Netherlands, Germany, Poland and Hungary. A (non-)stationary Markov model approach is used. The transition probabilities are explained by a set of exogenous (policy) variables. The models are estimated using an information theoretical approach, including non-sample (prior) information. The models can be used to simulate the impact of alternative dairy policies on the dairy sector structure. For all countries there is an autonomous decline in farm numbers over time (implying increase in average farm size). This trend continues irrespective of the EU dairy policy type. For both Hungary and Poland the role of the subsistence sector is expected to substantially decrease over time. |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: Farm size structure; Dairy; Milk quotas; Policy; Maximum entropy; Livestock Production/Industries. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/24772 |
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