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THE DISTRIBUTIONAL BEHAVIOR OF FUTURES PRICE SPREADS AgEcon
Kim, MinKyoung; Leuthold, Raymond M..
The distributional behavior of futures price spreads is examined for four commodities: corn, live cattle, gold and T-bonds. Remarkably different results are found over commodities, time period, and sample size. Actual spread changes for the smaller sample size of gold and T-bonds and for corn produce more normal distributions for weekly than for daily differencing intervals, while all live cattle spreads for actual changes are normally distributed. However, the larger sample size of both gold and T-bonds and the relative spread changes for corn and live cattle do not become more normally distributed under temporal aggregation of the data.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Corn; Futures price spreads; Gold; Goodness of fit; Live cattle; Normality tests; Spread distributions; T-bonds; Marketing.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/15399
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Multivariable modeling with cubic regression splines: A principled approach AgEcon
Royston, Patrick; Sauerbrei, Willi.
Spline functions provide a useful and flexible basis for modeling relationships with continuous predictors. However, to limit instability and provide sensible regression models in the multivariable setting, a principled approach to model selection and function estimation is important. Here the multivariable fractional polynomials approach to model building is transferred to regression splines. The essential features are specifying a maximum acceptable complexity for each continuous function and applying a closed-test approach to each continuous predictor to simplify the model where possible. Important adjuncts are an initial choice of scale for continuous predictors (linear or logarithmic), which often helps one to generate realistic, parsimonious final...
Tipo: Article Palavras-chave: Mvrs; Uvrs; Splinegen; Multivariable analysis; Continuous predictor; Regression spline; Model building; Goodness of fit; Choice of scale; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/119254
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Goodness-of-fit test for a logistic regression model fitted using survey sample data AgEcon
Archer, Kellie J.; Lemeshow, Stanley.
After a logistic regression model has been fitted, a global test of goodness of fit of the resulting model should be performed. A test that is commonly used to assess model fit is the Hosmer–Lemeshow test, which is available in Stata and most other statistical software programs. However, it is often of interest to fit a logistic regression model to sample survey data, such as data from the National Health Interview Survey or the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Unfortunately, for such situations no goodness-of-fit testing procedures have been developed or implemented in available software. To address this problem, a Stata ado-command, svylogitgof, for estimating the F-adjusted mean residual test after svy: logit or svy: logistic estimation...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Svylogitgof; Goodness of fit; Survey design; Svy; Logistic regression; Logit; Research Methods/ Statistical Methods.
Ano: 2006 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/117559
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Comparing non-linear mathematical models to describe growth of different animals Animal Sciences
Teleken, Jhony Tiago; Galvão, Alessandro Cazonatto; Robazza, Weber da Silva.
The main objective of this study was to compare the goodness of fit of five non-linear growth models, i.e. Brody, Gompertz, Logistic, Richards and von Bertalanffy in different animals. It also aimed to evaluate the influence of the shape parameter on the growth curve. To accomplish this task, published growth data of 14 different groups of animals were used and four goodness of fit statistics were adopted: coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error (RMSE), Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC). In general, the Richards growth equation provided better fits to experimental data than the other models. However, for some animals, different models exhibited better performance. It was obtained a possible...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Body weight gain; Richards model; Goodness of fit.
Ano: 2017 URL: http://periodicos.uem.br/ojs/index.php/ActaSciAnimSci/article/view/31366
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Revisiting the critical values of the Lilliefors test: towards the correct agrometeorological use of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov framework Bragantia
Blain,Gabriel Constantino.
Several studies have applied the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (KS) to verify if a particular parametric distribution can be used to assess the probability of occurrence of a given agrometeorological variable. However, when this test is applied to the same data sample from which the distribution parameters have been estimated, it leads to a high probability of failure to reject a false null hypothesis. Although the Lilliefors test had been proposed to remedy this drawback, several studies still use the KS test even when the requirement of independence between the data and the estimated parameters is not met. Aiming at stimulating the use of the Lilliefors test, we revisited the critical values of the Lilliefors test for both gamma (gam) and normal distributions,...
Tipo: Info:eu-repo/semantics/article Palavras-chave: Goodness of fit; Gamma distribution; Normal distribution.
Ano: 2014 URL: http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0006-87052014000200015
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