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| Lu, Wencong C.; Kersten, Lutz. |
| Based on China's Agricultural Regional Market Equilibrium Model (CARMEM), the paper projects the production and consumption of rice, wheat and maize in China toward 2010 at both national and regional level under two different scenarios. The results show that China can ensure a stable grain market development under more liberalized internal and external conditions. Transmission of the world market prices as projected by the World Bank (2003) to the Chinese domestic market would lead to a long-run recovery of the growth in grain production. Total production of paddy rice, wheat and maize is forecast to increase from 386 million tons in the base period 2002 to over 420 million tons in 2010. However, the rate of grain self-supply will be 91% due to higher... |
| Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation |
Palavras-chave: China; Grain market; Projection; Multimarket model; Policy; Crop Production/Industries; Q11; Q13; Q18. |
| Ano: 2006 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/25662 |
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| Kemenyne Horvath, Zsuzsanna. |
| A tanulmány bemutatja a hazai gabona keresletében bekövetkezett vertikális és horizontális átrendeződést és annak hatásait. A kérdőíves megkeresés és a mélyinterjúkból született válaszokat felhasználva, klaszteranalízis segítségével lehetővé vált a felvásárlói oldalon álló szereplők tipizálása, továbbá az áralku döntéseik modellezése. Megállapítható, hogy a gabonapiacon elsősorban a nagy kereskedelmi cégek és holdingok az árvezetők, ami méretükkel, tároló kapacitá-saikkal, logisztikai adottságaikkal és stratégiájukkal magyarázható. A feldolgo-zók (malom, takarmánykeverő, vetőmagos cégek), az integrátorok, kiskereskedők és egyéb cégek árelfogadók a gabonapiacon. Az intervenciós árszint a keresleti oldalon álló szereplők áralkuit, gabonapiaci stratégiáját... |
| Tipo: Journal Article |
Palavras-chave: Gabonapiac; Intervenció; Klaszteranalízis; Keresleti oldal; Áralku; Grain market; Intervention; Cluster analysis; Demand side; Price deal; Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries; International Relations/Trade; Production Economics. |
| Ano: 2007 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/57664 |
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| Einax, Christian; Lissitsa, Alexej; Parkhomenko, Sergiy. |
| The following Discussion Paper aims to analyse the development path and profitability of grain production in Ukraine, which is one of the most important production branches of most Ukrainian agricultural companies. Methodologically, individual farm analysis and horizontal farm comparison are used. The cost benefit analysis has been widely used for farm analysis of the agricultural sector in market economies. However, only few applications could be observed in agribusiness research in Ukraine in the last years, presumably because of missing or unreliable data. Thus, the goal of this paper is to apply a standard farm management instrument for enterprise analyse in agriculture of a transition country. The results show small differences in production costs... |
| Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper |
Palavras-chave: Grain market; Costs of production; Transition; Ukraine; Crop Production/Industries; Q12; Q13; Q18; P27. |
| Ano: 2005 |
URL: http://purl.umn.edu/14892 |
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