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Discounting and confidence AgEcon
Traeger, Christian P..
Revision of CUDARE Working Paper 1117 issued June 2011
Tipo: Working Paper Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Discounting; Climate change; Ambiguity; Confidence; Subjective beliefs; Prudence; Pessimism; Expected utility; Intertemporal substitutability; Intertemporal risk aversion; Risk and Uncertainty; D61; Q54; D81; D90.
Ano: 2011 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/120418
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The Social Discount Rate under Intertemporal Risk Aversion and Ambiguity AgEcon
Traeger, Christian P..
The social discount rate crucially determines optimal mitigation policies. This paper examines two shortcomings of the recent debate and the models on climate change assessment. First, removing an implicit assumption of (intertemporal) risk neutrality reduces the growth effect in social discounting and significantly amplifies the importance of risk and correlation. Second, debate and models largely overlook the difference in attitude with respect to risk and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic social discount rate and points out the importance of even thin tailed uncertainty for climate change evaluation.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Ambiguity; Discounting; Expected utility; Intertemporal substitutability; Intertemporal risk aversion; Recursive utility; Risk aversion; Social discount rate; Uncertainty; Political Economy; Risk and Uncertainty; D61; D81; D90; H43; Q00; Q54.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/55785
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Subjective Risk, Confidence, and Ambiguity AgEcon
Traeger, Christian P..
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Ambiguity; Subjective beliefs; Expected utility; Intertemporal substitutability; Intertemporal risk aversion; Recursive utility; Uncertainty; Climate change; Risk and Uncertainty; D81; Q54; D90; Q01.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90461
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Intertemporal risk aversion – or – wouldn’t it be nice to tell whether Robinson Crusoe is risk averse? AgEcon
Traeger, Christian P..
The paper introduces a new notion of risk aversion that is independent of the good under observation and its measure scale. The representational framework builds on a time consistent combination of additive separability on certain consumption paths and the von Neumann & Morgenstern (1944) assumptions. In the one-commodity special case, the new notion of risk aversion closely relates to a disentanglement of standard risk aversion and intertemporal substitutability.
Tipo: Working or Discussion Paper Palavras-chave: Uncertainty; Expected utility; Recursive utility; Risk aversion; Intertemporal substitutability; Certainty additivity; Temporal lotteries; Gauge-freedom; Intertemporal risk aversion; Risk and Uncertainty.
Ano: 2010 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/90421
Registros recuperados: 4
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