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Short-Run Demand Relationships in the U.S. Fats and Oils Complex AgEcon
Goodwin, Barry K.; Harper, Daniel C.; Schnepf, Randall D..
Fats and oils play a prominent role in U.S. dietary patterns. Recent concerns over the negative health consequences associated with fats and oils have led many to suspect structural change in demand conditions. Our analysis considers short run (monthly) demand relationships for edible fats and oils. In that monthly quantities of fats and oils are likely to be relatively fixed, an inverse almost ideal demand system specification is used. A smooth transition function is used to model a switching inverse almost ideal demand system that assesses short-run demand conditions for edible fats and oils in the United States. The results suggest that short-run demand conditions for fats and oils experienced a gradual structural shift that began in the late 1980s...
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Fats and oils; Inverse demand system; Structural change; Q0; D1.
Ano: 2003 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/37858
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Forecasting Consumer Price Indexes for Food: A Demand Model Approach AgEcon
Huang, Kuo S..
Forecasting food prices is an important component of the U.S. Department of Agricultureís short-term outlook and long-term baseline forecasting activities. A food price-forecasting model is developed by applying an inverse demand system, in which prices are functions of quantities of food use and income. Therefore, these quantity and income variables can be used as explanatory variables for food price changes. The empirical model provides an effective instrument for forecasting consumer price indexes of 16 food categories.
Tipo: Report Palavras-chave: Food price forecasts; Inverse demand system; Autoregressive model; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2000 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/33564
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