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On the Dynamic Relationship between U.S. Farm Income and Macroeconomic Variables AgEcon
Baek, Jungho; Koo, Won W..
This study examines the short- and long-run effects of changes in macroeconomic variables—agricultural commodity prices, interest rates and exchange rates—on the U.S. farm income. For this purpose, we adopt an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration with quarterly data for 1989–2008. Results show that the exchange rate plays a crucial role in determining the long-run behavior of U.S. farm income, but has little effect in the short-run. We also find that the commodity price and interest rate have been significant determinants of U.S. farm income in both the short- and long-run over the past two decades.
Tipo: Journal Article Palavras-chave: Autoregressive distributed lag model; Commodity price; Exchange rate; Farm income; Interest rate; Long-run; Short-run; Agribusiness; Consumer/Household Economics; Farm Management; Financial Economics; C22; E23; Q11.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/53097
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Price Relationships in the U.S. Tree Nut Market AgEcon
Ibrahim, Mohammed; Florkowski, Wojciech J..
Although most U.S. tree nuts have very specific and different uses, some substitutability does occur, complicating the price analysis in the tree nut market. We examine the relationships among U.S. tree nut prices using the Johansen’s cointegration procedure. We found long run equilibrium among some nut prices, namely, pecans, walnuts, and almonds. These findings are consistent with recent suggestions that cointegration exist among substitutes.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Substitutability; Cointegration; Tree nuts; Long-run; Equilibrium; Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing.
Ano: 2007 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/9898
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