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Macro Effects on Agricultural Prices in Different Time Horizons AgEcon
Koo, Won W.; Cho, Guedae; Kim, MinKyoung.
Using monthly data covering 1974:1 to 2002:12, this paper explores the linkage between changes in macroeconomic variables (real exchange rate and inflation rate) and changes in relative agricultural prices in different time horizons (1, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 months). By controlling factors that determine the long-run trend of relative agricultural prices, the results show that long-term changes in real exchange rates have had a significant negative correlation with the long-term changes in relative agricultural prices. Conversely, changes in the general price significantly affect short-term changes in the relative agricultural price.
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Relative agricultural price; Exchange rates; Inflation rates; Unit root test; Canonical cointegration regression; Money neutrality; Demand and Price Analysis.
Ano: 2005 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/19349
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Monetary Impacts and Overshooting of Agricultural Prices in a Transition Economy: The Case of Hungary AgEcon
Bakucs, Lajos Zoltan; Ferto, Imre.
This article examines the impacts of monetary policy on agricultural prices in the Hungarian economy using time series analysis. The empirical results indicate that agricultural prices adjust faster to monetary shocks than industrial prices do, affecting relative agricultural prices in the short run, but strict long-run money neutrality does not hold. We also find that the exchange rate as a flexible sector variable, adjusts faster to temporary shocks than the sticky, industrial prices. This implies that in a case of monetary shocks the agricultural sector associated with flexible changes bears the burden of adjustment vis-à-vis the sectors with sticky changes. These macroeconomic effects are reflected in real agricultural price volatility and the...
Tipo: Conference Paper or Presentation Palavras-chave: Overshooting of agricultural prices; Money neutrality; Cointegration; Transition economy; Agricultural and Food Policy; Demand and Price Analysis; Production Economics.
Ano: 2009 URL: http://purl.umn.edu/51798
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