| Climate change affects marine systems stability, in particular temperature increase induces a shift of the fish spatial distribution polewards. Phenology of ecological processes, such as reproduction, migration seasons, and species physiology subject to temperature increase are also expected to change. The ecosystem response to climate change implying all these processes remains unknown and difficult to estimate due to the numerous interactions between species. To better understand the relative importance of the different processes affected by climate change, we use the multispecies model OSMOSE applied to the eastern English Channel and we simulated two climate scenarios for 2040-2049 from IPCC (B1 and A2). ... |
